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SCST

South Carolina State 6 at Georgia Southern 37

GASO
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Cliff Benjamin punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+40.2Home team on offense+4.6Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:36: Shai Werts run for 23 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:57: Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49 — GASO win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:20: Wesley Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:08: Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Bredson PAT BLOCKED) — SCST win probability +2.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:30: Shai Werts run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 5SCST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SCST 4th & 8 at SCST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:18GASO 4th & 1 at SCST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:55GASO 4th & 10 at SCST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:27SCST 4th & 4 at SCST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SCST 4th & 1 at GASO 43, down 13
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:19GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 45, up 13
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:54GASO 4th & 2 at SCST 2, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04SCST 4th & 12 at SCST 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:57GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 49, up 16
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:20SCST 4th & 1 at GASO 6, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:58SCST 4th & 12 at SCST 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:27SCST 4th & 8 at SCST 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SCST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:43GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:36GASO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:20GASO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:08SCST Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:30GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:27GASO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Datron James run for no gain to the SCSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.5%
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds to the SCSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+12
96.5%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 36 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 12 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:2396% → 96%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
96.3%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the SCSt 48Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
96.3%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the SCSt 42Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Monteo Garrett run for no gain to the SCSt 42Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
96.3%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the SCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
95.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCSt 43Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+8
95.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 8 yds to the SCSt 35Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-5
95.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCSt 40Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Shai Werts punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:195% → 5%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.3%
Datron James run for 4 yds to the SCSt 24Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-2
95.3%
Datron James run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 22Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
95.2%
Tyrece Nick run for 4 yds to the SCSt 26Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+55
95.2%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 71 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 55 yds to the SCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:5595% → 95%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
95.3%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 44Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+9
95.3%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the SCSt 35Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
95.3%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the SCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
95.4%
Monteo Garrett run for 3 yds to the SCSt 24Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+19
95.4%
Shai Werts run for 19 yds to the SCSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
95.4%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the SCSt 1Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
94.8%
Jarius Jenkins run for 1 yd to the SCSt 35Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+17
94.8%
Dewann Ford pass complete to Will Vereen for 17 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
94.5%
Dewann Ford sacked by Deshon Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the SCSt 28 Dewann Ford fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Ty Phillips , return for 0 yards , return for 17 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:4595% → 96%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
94.9%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the SCSt 23Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
96.2%
Shai Werts run for 23 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:294% → 5%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
95.6%
Omar Cummings run for 7 yds to the SCSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
95.4%
Dewann Ford pass incomplete to Will Vereen, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+10
95.5%
Omar Cummings run for 10 yds to the SCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.5%
Omar Cummings run for no gain to the SCSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
95.5%
Omar Cummings run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
95.4%
Omar Cummings run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
95.4%
Cliff Benjamin punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
96.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 4 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
96.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+19
95.9%
Shai Werts run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.0%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
96.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
96.0%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Magill Bauerle punt for 36 yds, downed at the SCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 9INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.3%
Dewann Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
95.3%
Tyrece Nick run for 4 yds to the SCSt 23Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+10
95.4%
Tyrece Nick run for 10 yds to the SCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.2%
Dewann Ford pass incomplete to Will VereenSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Dewann Ford pass incomplete to Will Vereen, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.4%
Dewann Ford pass intercepted Tomarcio Reese return for 4 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:0596% → 96%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
95.8%
Shai Werts run for 16 yds to the SCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
95.8%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the SCSt 10Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
95.8%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the SCSt 7Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
95.7%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the SCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
95.9%
Monteo Garrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCSt 6Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
95.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (TEAM) to the SCSt 11Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
95.7%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the SCSt 4Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.6%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the SCSt 2Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
96.3%
Tyler Bass 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:505% → 5%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.3%
Tyrece Nick run for 4 yds to the SCSt 29Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
95.1%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCSt 25Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.3%
Tyrece Nick sacked by Quan Griffin and Tomarcio Reese for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 23Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
95.2%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
96.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson, broken up by Alex BrownSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
96.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley FieldsSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
96.1%
Magill Bauerle punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:3395% → 98%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.4%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
95.6%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.6%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the SCSt 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+10
95.6%
Wesley Fields run for 10 yds to the SCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.6%
Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the SCSt 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+22
95.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 22 yds to the SCSt 15 Wesley Kennedy III fumbled, forced by Chris Adams, recovered by GeoSo Logan Wright for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
95.6%
Monteo Garrett run for 14 yds to the SCSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 15TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 9:122% → 4%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Datron James run for 8 yds to the SCSt 33Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 4 yds to the SCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
98.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 7 yds to the SCSt 44Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the SCSt 44Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
98.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ian Bush) to the SCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+8
97.9%
Datron James run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
98.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
97.9%
Omar Cummings run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
97.7%
Datron James run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
97.7%
Tyrece Nick run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
97.7%
Tyrece Nick run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-5
97.7%
Tyrece Nick run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 2 S CAROLINA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (De'Montrez Burroughs) to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
97.7%
Datron James run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
97.9%
Tyrece Nick run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
97.9%
Datron James run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.7%
Datron James run for no gain to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.8%
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Bredson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:3097% → 99%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
97.1%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
97.1%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+12
97.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 12 yds to the SCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
97.3%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+4
97.2%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the SCSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+25
97.2%
Shai Werts run for 15 yds to the SCSt 29 for a 1ST down S CAROLINA ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Lane Jones) to the SCSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
97.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 10 yds to the SCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
97.3%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
97.3%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 13Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
99.3%
Shai Werts run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:321% → 1%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Omar Cummings run for 1 yd to the SCSt 26Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
99.2%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 14 yds to the SCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.2%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 38Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the SCSt 38Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the SCSt 38Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Cliff Benjamin punt for 30 yds, downed at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:5199% → 100%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
99.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 33 yds to the SCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+15
99.5%
Logan Wright run for 15 yds to the SCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the SCSt 14Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Cory Fields pass incomplete to De'Montrez BurroughsSimilar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
LeBron Morris run for 2 yds to the SCSt 27Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Cory Fields sacked for 0 yards to the SCSt 27 Cory Fields fumbled, recovered by SCSt Cory Fields , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Cliff Benjamin punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Grant Walker run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Grant Walker run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Grant Walker run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
50
+2
100.0%
Grant Walker run for 2 yds to the SCSt 48Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Grant Walker run for no gain to the SCSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:20
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q3 1:08
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Bredson PAT BLOCKED)
-2
TD · Q4 10:30
Shai Werts run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com