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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 21 at Arkansas State 48

ARST
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Centennial Bank Stadium
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Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playARST scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:01 · Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 11 yds to the SEMo 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+46.9Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:34: Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kobe Bryer for 5 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK) — SEMO win probability +2.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:02: Marquis Terry run for 67 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK) — SEMO win probability +2.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:18: Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 36 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:01: Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 57 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +2.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:51: Justice Hansen pass complete to Bubba Ogbedor for 6 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams PAT MISSED) — ARST win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SEMO made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:01ARST 4th & 2 at SEMO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:14SEMO 4th & 6 at SEMO 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARST 4th & 2 at SEMO 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:02ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:51SEMO 4th & 11 at SEMO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:59SEMO 4th & 4 at ARST 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:56SEMO 4th & 7 at SEMO 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:51SEMO 4th & 19 at SEMO 16, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:05SEMO 4th & 7 at ARST 33, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:27SEMO 4th & 6 at SEMO 22, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:03SEMO 4th & 14 at SEMO 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:50ARST 4th & 5 at midfield, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:20SEMO 4th & 14 at SEMO 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SEMO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:05ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:34SEMO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:47ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:02SEMO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:18ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:01ARST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:51ARST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:11ARST Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:21ARST Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:37SEMO Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SEMODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
97.9%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Marquis Terry for 9 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Marquis Terry run for 1 yd to the SEMo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.9%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Zack Smith for 5 yds to the SEMo 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
97.9%
Marquis Terry run for 4 yds to the SEMo 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-1
97.9%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:5698% → 97%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
97.5%
Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
97.5%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick EdwardsSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+15
97.5%
Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Edwards, Kendri, PENALTY SEMO pass interference (YOUNG, Al) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
50
+5
97.5%
Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the SEMo 45Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
97.5%
Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the SEMo 41Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
97.5%
Warren Wand run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 42Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+11
97.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 11 yds to the SEMo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
97.6%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 4 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
97.6%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 1 yd to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+26
97.4%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.3%
Marquis Terry run for 7 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+8
97.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kobe Bryer for 8 yds to the SEMo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jerrick Orr for 2 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
97.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jerrick Orr for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 38Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-10
97.3%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 10 yards to the SEMo 28Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 20
OWN 28
+16
97.3%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (William Bradley-King) to the SEMo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kobe BryerSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
97.3%
Marquis Terry run for 2 yds to the SEMo 46Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
97.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete, broken up by Ronheen BinghamSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+2
97.3%
Jake Reynolds punt for 42 yds , Warren Wand returns for 2 yds to the ArkSt 48 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, HL (Brandon Byner) to the ArkSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
96.9%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 10Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
96.9%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+20
96.8%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 20 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.9%
Justice Hansen run for no gain to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
96.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dahu Green for 4 yds to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
96.9%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete, broken up by Clarence ThorntonSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Cody Grace punt for 42 yds , Zack Smith returns for no gain to the SEMo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.6%
Mark Robinson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 4 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
96.6%
Mark Robinson run for 1 yd to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
96.6%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Jake Reynolds punt for 50 yds , Warren Wand returns for no gain to the ArkSt 25 Warren Wand fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Warren WandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 6INT
11 plays · 54 yds · 0:5096% → 96%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.2%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 8 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-10
96.3%
Murray, Marcel rush for 33 yards to the SEMO34, out-of-bounds (DAVIS, Shabari), PENALTY ASU HL 10 yards to the ASU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
96.2%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 7 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+28
96.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 28 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick EdwardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Justice Hansen run for no gain to the SEMo 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+8
96.2%
Justice Hansen run for 8 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+10
96.1%
Marcel Murray run for 10 yds to the SEMo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.3%
Marcel Murray run for no gain to the SEMo 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.3%
Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the SEMo 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+35
96.2%
Justice Hansen pass intercepted Marcus Lucas return for 35 yds to the SEMo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:245% → 7%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+52
95.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 52 yds to the ArkSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.9%
SANTACATERINA pass incomplete to WILKERSON, K., PENALTY ASU pass interference (Byner, Brandon) 1 yards to the ASU2, 1ST DOWN SEMO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
94.9%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 5Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kobe Bryer for 5 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:4094% → 95%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
94.0%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (Justice Hansen) to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+19
93.8%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dahu Green for 19 yds to the SEMo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
94.3%
Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the SEMo 46Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+15
94.3%
Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Bingham, Ronhee, Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Ogbedor, Bubba, PENALTY SEMO pass interference (YOUNG, Al) 15 yards to the SEMO31, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
94.4%
Warren Wand run for 13 yds to the SEMo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
94.4%
Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the SEMo 15Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
95.4%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 15 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:405% → 8%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
94.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Zack Smith for 5 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+67
91.9%
Marquis Terry run for 67 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.0%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnisSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
92.6%
Justice Hansen run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+40
92.7%
Cody Grace punt for 55 yds, downed at the ARKST 11 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the SEMo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-8
91.6%
Daniel Santacaterina run for a loss of 8 yards to the SEMo 11 Daniel Santacaterina fumbled, forced by William Bradley-King,Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 25
OWN 11
+1
91.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Zack Smith for 1 yd to the SEMo 12Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Jake Reynolds punt for 59 yds, downed at the ArkSt 16Similar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
91.6%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SEMo 21Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 24
OWN 12
+5
91.9%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the SEMo 17Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 19
OWN 17
+8
91.9%
Mark Robinson run for 8 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 12TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:2392% → 94%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
91.5%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
91.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 11 yds to the ArkSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
91.6%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
92.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 8 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
92.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 7 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
92.3%
Marcel Murray run for 5 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.4%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
92.3%
Marcel Murray run for 11 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.4%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Warren WandSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.2%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 36 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:147% → 8%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+26
93.4%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, targeting (Demari Medley) to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.6%
Anthony Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
92.7%
Anthony Cooper run for no gain to the ArkSt 46 SE MISSOURI Penalty, HL ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+6
93.1%
Anthony Cooper run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
92.2%
Jake Reynolds punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 0:5393% → 95%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
93.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 7 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+16
93.2%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 16 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
93.6%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Bubba Ogbedor for 9 yds to the SEMo 48Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+3
93.6%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the SEMo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.6%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
93.6%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+16
93.3%
Justice Hansen run for 16 yds to the SEMo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
94.5%
Sawyer Williams 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5993% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 9 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
93.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 9 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
96.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 57 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
95.8%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 17Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+1
95.8%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Marquis Terry for 1 yd to the SEMo 18Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+5
95.9%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Zack Smith for 5 yds to the SEMo 23Similar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
95.9%
Jake Reynolds punt for 34 yds, downed at the ArkSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0496% → 99%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
96.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 13 yds to the SEMo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.1%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 4 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
96.1%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 5 yds to the SEMo 35Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
96.0%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 6 yds to the SEMo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
96.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 13 yds to the SEMo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
96.1%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 14 yds to the SEMo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
96.1%
Armond Weh-Weh run for a loss of 4 yards to the SEMo 6Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.1%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar Bayless, broken up by Al YoungSimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.7%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Bubba Ogbedor for 6 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.4%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 23Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-9
98.4%
Anthony Cooper sacked by Dajon Emory for a loss of 9 yards to the SEMo 14Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+2
98.4%
Marquis Terry run for 2 yds to the SEMo 16Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+19
98.4%
Jake Reynolds punt for 57 yds , Warren Wand returns for 19 yds to the ArkSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 54 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Anthony Cooper pass incomplete to Jerrick Orr, broken up by Jeremy SmithSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Zack Smith for 4 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+35
99.8%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Jerrick Orr for 35 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.8%
Anthony Cooper run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+4
99.7%
Mark Robinson run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Mark Robinson for 2 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 2
OPP 28
-5
99.6%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Anthony Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 67 yds for a TD (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Mark Robinson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 22Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Anthony Cooper pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Anthony Cooper pass incomplete to Mark RobinsonSimilar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+17
99.9%
Jake Reynolds punt for 38 yds , Warren Wand returns for 17 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23INT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:11100% → 100%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
99.9%
Bonner, Logan rush for 2 yards to the SEMO41, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ASU HL 10 yards to the ASU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+20
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 20 yds to the SEMo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
-3
99.9%
Jamal Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass intercepted Omardrick Douglas return for no gain to the SEMo 34Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.9%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 5 yds to the SEMo 26 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the SEMo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.9%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Jerrick Orr for 4 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
99.9%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 13
50
-10
99.9%
COOPER, Anthony rush for 4 yards to the ASU46, out-of-bounds (Bean, Derrick), PENALTY SEMO HL 10 yards to the SEMO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 23
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Anthony Cooper pass incomplete to Mark RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 23
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Kobe Bryer for 9 yds to the SEMo 49Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Jake Reynolds punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Warren Wand at the ArkSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 11 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 5
50
-1
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 5
50
0
99.9%
Cody Grace punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zack Smith at the SEMo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
100.0%
Anthony Cooper run for 13 yds to the SEMo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Anthony Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Mark Robinson run for 1 yd to the SEMo 32Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-5
100.0%
Anthony Cooper sacked by Jarrod Chandler and Forrest Merrill for a loss of 5 yards to the SEMo 27Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Jake Reynolds punt for 52 yds, downed at the ArkSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Jamal Jones run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+8
100.0%
Jamal Jones run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 45 Jamal Jones fumbled, forced by Zach Hall, recovered by SEMo Bydarrius Knighten , return for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 28TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
100.0%
Mark Robinson run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
Mark Robinson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+14
100.0%
Anthony Cooper pass complete to Zack Smith for 14 yds to the ArkSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
100.0%
Mark Robinson run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 12Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-2
99.9%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Anthony Cooper run for 14 yds for a TD (Nicholas Litang KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the SEMo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:02
Marquis Terry run for 67 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q3 14:01
Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 57 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q3 8:51
Justice Hansen pass complete to Bubba Ogbedor for 6 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams PAT MISSED)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com