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KENN

Kennesaw State 20 at Georgia State 24

GAST
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2018 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:25 · Dan Ellington pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+2.4Home team on offense−7.2Garbage-time factor−5.1Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:50: Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 3 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +8.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:03: Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +12.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:48: Justin Thompson 32 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +7.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:56: Justin Thompson 24 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +10.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:41: Dan Ellington pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +60.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:00KENN 4th & 1 at KENN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:27KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 15, up 14
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00KENN 4th & 1 at GAST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−2.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−8.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:48KENN 4th & 6 at GAST 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−10.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:48GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 45, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:56KENN 4th & 7 at GAST 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−14.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:35GAST 4th & 18 at KENN 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−4.8
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−12.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:35KENN 4th & 1 at GAST 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−9.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−8.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:25GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 36, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 2.6 ptsWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%−2.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:08KENN 4th & 9 at GAST 35, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:34KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3KENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:44KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:50GAST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:03GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:41GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.1%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
72.1%
Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
72.1%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
72.1%
Brandon Wright punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ksaw 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 4:5528% → 32%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
71.9%
Chandler Burks pass incomplete to Justin SumpterSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
71.9%
Shaquil Terry run for 11 yds to the Ksaw 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.9%
Jake McKenzie run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 27Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
71.9%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Xavier Harper for 14 yds to the Ksaw 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
71.8%
Chandler Burks run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 45Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+14
71.8%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Justin Sumpter for 14 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
71.7%
Darnell Holland run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+13
71.8%
Shaquil Terry run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
71.7%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Darnell Holland for 23 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
71.7%
Chandler Burks run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.1%
Shaquil Terry run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Thompson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
68.9%
Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
69.0%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
69.0%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
68.9%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-1
69.0%
Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+10
68.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 42 yds , Isaac Foster returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard line KENNESAW ST Penalty, illegal block (Charlie Patrick) to the Ksaw 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
66.9%
Chandler Burks run for no gain to the Ksaw 14Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
67.0%
Darnell Holland run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 16Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
67.2%
Chandler Burks pass incomplete to Justin SumpterSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
67.5%
Nicholas Jones punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Taz Bateman at the GeoSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.5%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Le'Vonte LarrySimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
66.4%
Destin Coates run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+24
67.0%
Dan Ellington run for 24 yds to the Ksaw 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
67.9%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 26Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
67.9%
Devin Gentry run for 7 yds to the Ksaw 15 Devin Gentry fumbled, forced by Le'Vonte Larry, recovered by Ksaw Peyton MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 0:0035% → 40%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
64.7%
Bronson Rechsteiner run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 17Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
64.7%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Xavier Harper for 6 yds to the Ksaw 23Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
64.6%
Shaquil Terry run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 24Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+2
59.9%
Chandler Burks run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
47.9%
Bronson Rechsteiner run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 12Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+3
48.3%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Shaquil Terry for 3 yds to the Ksaw 15Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
48.9%
Nicholas Jones punt for 53 yds, downed at the GeoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:0646% → 57%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
46.4%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+18
45.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 18 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
48.0%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
48.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 9 yds to the Ksaw 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
48.3%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 39Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+19
48.4%
Dan Ellington run for 19 yds to the Ksaw 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
48.9%
Seth Paige run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ksaw 21Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+10
48.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the Ksaw 11Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
48.3%
Seth Paige run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
48.9%
Seth Paige run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 3Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 3 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
49.5%
Chandler Burks pass intercepted DeAndre Applin return for 12 yds to the Ksaw 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:3756% → 69%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
55.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 9 yds to the Ksaw 28Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+13
57.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Taz Bateman for 13 yds to the Ksaw 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-12
57.1%
Dan Ellington sacked by Anthony Gore Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the Ksaw 27Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 22
OPP 27
+11
54.0%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Hart, Penny, PENALTY KSU pass interference (LARRY, LeVonte) 11 yards to the KSU16, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
55.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Taz Bateman for 10 yds to the Ksaw 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
69.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 8:1238% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.4%
Chandler Burks run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
62.4%
Jake McKenzie run for 8 yds to the Ksaw 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
61.6%
Jake McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
61.5%
Bronson Rechsteiner run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+14
61.2%
Shaquil Terry run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
59.4%
Chandler Burks run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
59.4%
Bronson Rechsteiner run for no gain to the GeoSt 43 Bronson Rechsteiner fumbled, recovered by Ksaw Bronson RechsteinerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
59.9%
TJ Reed run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
58.6%
Jake McKenzie run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
58.3%
Jake McKenzie run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
59.5%
Chandler Burks run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+7
61.1%
Shaquil Terry run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.3%
Jake McKenzie run for no gain to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
58.6%
Jake McKenzie run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+2
59.8%
Darnell Holland run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
52.5%
Justin Thompson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
56.2%
Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
58.8%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
57.8%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
56.4%
Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15FG
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:2948% → 62%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
52.0%
Bronson Rechsteiner run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 21Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
52.3%
Darnell Holland run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 25Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+68
53.1%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Shaquil Terry for 60 yds to the GEORGIAST 15 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Jerome Smith) to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
46.8%
Trey Chivers run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
46.8%
Chandler Burks run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
48.5%
KENNESAW ST Penalty, false start (Matt Olson) to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
48.5%
Chandler Burks pass incomplete to Justin Sumpter, broken up by Cedric StoneSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
37.9%
Justin Thompson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 6:2144% → 43%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
43.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 14 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
44.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Taz Bateman for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+4
43.7%
Taz Bateman run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+15
42.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 15 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
47.1%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
47.9%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
47.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the Ksaw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
47.9%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+26
48.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 16 yds to the Ksaw 20 for a 1ST down KENNESAW ST Penalty, personal foul (Travis Bell) to the Ksaw 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
49.9%
Dan Ellington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ksaw 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
49.8%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the Ksaw 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-6
47.1%
Dan Ellington sacked by McKenzie Billingslea for a loss of 6 yards to the Ksaw 18Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+35
42.6%
Brandon Wright 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:0060% → 66%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.1%
Chandler Burks run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 28Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
39.6%
Chandler Burks run for 6 yds to the Ksaw 34Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+17
38.9%
Darnell Holland run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
36.0%
Chandler Burks run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
36.0%
Chandler Burks run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
36.5%
Bronson Rechsteiner run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+25
39.0%
Shaquil Terry run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Victor Heyward) to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
34.0%
Jake McKenzie run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 14 Jake McKenzie fumbled, forced by Terry Thomas, recovered by GeoSt Tamir JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
39.9%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Christian Owens, broken up by Cincere MasonSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
39.4%
Taz Bateman run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+9
37.7%
Dan Ellington run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
40.9%
Dan Ellington run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
42.3%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
42.0%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
40.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Taz Bateman for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-10
41.1%
Ellington, Dan pass complete to Ifedi, Jonathan for 14 yards to the KSU40 (LARRY, LeVonte), PENALTY GSU holding (Paxton, Jamal) 10 yards to the GSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
36.7%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:1782% → 82%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
18.0%
Jake McKenzie run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
15.1%
Chandler Burks run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-4
15.7%
Darnell Holland run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+8
18.3%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Justin Sumpter for 8 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 1:2033% → 95%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
32.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
34.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Christian Owens, broken up by Demetrius PettwaySimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
27.8%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Ifedi, Jonathan, PENALTY KSU offside defense (97) 5 yards to the GSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+14
30.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 14 yds to the Ksaw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
33.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Taz BatemanSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
32.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 18 yds to the Ksaw 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
37.5%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+10
37.5%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Ifedi, Jonathan, PENALTY KSU holding (LARRY, LeVonte) 10 yards to the KSU11, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
37.5%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 8Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
95.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0714% → 10%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.1%
Chandler Burks sacked by Javonte Lain for a loss of 1 yard to the Ksaw 24Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
90.5%
Chandler Burks pass complete to Justin Sumpter for 8 yds to the Ksaw 32Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
89.7%
Chandler Burks pass incomplete to Shaquil TerrySimilar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
90.4%
Chandler Burks pass incomplete to Bronson RechsteinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
95.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ksaw 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:41
Dan Ellington pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)
+60.2
TD · Q2 0:03
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)
+12.6
FG · Q3 1:56
Justin Thompson 24 yd FG GOOD
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com