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GAST

Georgia State 22 at Memphis 59

MEM
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2018 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:36 · Brandon Wright punt for 51 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 21 yds to the Memph 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+45.7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:13: Darrell Henderson run for 54 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:19: Dan Ellington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Barry Brown KICK) — GAST win probability +1.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:21: Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 11 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:02: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 21 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:12: Riley Patterson 28 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:36GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30MEM 4th & 2 at GAST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:01GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:51GAST 4th & 3 at MEM 23, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:44GAST 4th & 1 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:03GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:16MEM 4th & 16 at GAST 42, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12MEM 4th & 11 at GAST 11, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:33MEM 4th & 12 at midfield, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:21GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 27, down 29
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:30GAST 4th & 4 at MEM 20, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:21GAST 4th & 13 at MEM 19, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:58GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 42, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:33MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:36MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:13MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:19GAST Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:21MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:02MEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:28MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:59GAST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:22MEM Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:33MEM Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:33GAST Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan IfediSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.2%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-3
96.1%
Dan Ellington sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+21
96.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 51 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 21 yds to the Memph 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:4596% → 96%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.0%
Tony Pollard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
50
+4
95.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
95.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+4
95.8%
Jonathan Wilson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+29
95.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 29 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
95.9%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 13 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:254% → 4%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Tra BarnettSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 50 yds, downed at the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1596% → 96%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
95.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Kick (-5 Yards) to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
95.7%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 13 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
95.7%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 4 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
95.5%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 8 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
95.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 49Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+18
95.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 18 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
95.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:384% → 5%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
95.8%
Destin Coates run for 24 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
95.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+14
95.6%
Dan Ellington run for 14 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
95.5%
Seth Paige run for 2 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
95.4%
Seth Paige run for 5 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
95.4%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
94.9%
Barry Brown 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:1595% → 96%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
95.1%
Tony Pollard run for 9 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+54
96.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 54 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:414% → 6%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
96.1%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
96.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.9%
Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the MEMPHIS 47 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Penny Hart) to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 9
OWN 42
+2
96.0%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
96.0%
Demarcus Kirk run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 1
50
0
95.9%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 1
50
+5
95.9%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Austin Hall) to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+6
95.8%
Seth Paige run for 6 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
95.7%
Seth Paige run for 19 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
95.6%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+1
95.8%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the Memph 19Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+15
95.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Memph 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.6%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Barry Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4195% → 96%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
94.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 33 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
94.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+17
94.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
94.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
96.4%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 11 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:084% → 4%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
96.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 10 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
95.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
95.7%
Dan Ellington pass intercepted Tito Windham return for 1 yd to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:0097% → 98%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
96.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
96.5%
John Pop Williams run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
96.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-2
96.2%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+21
97.6%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 21 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:534% → 4%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
96.2%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+47
96.2%
Brandon Wright punt for 52 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 47 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3998% → 98%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
98.2%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 8 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-10
97.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dylan Parham) to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
98.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-4
98.3%
Brady White sacked by Akeem Smith and Terry Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
98.2%
Adam Williams punt for 29 yds, downed at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:414% → 4%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
96.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+11
96.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
96.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for a loss of 8 yards Destin Coates fumbled, recovered by GeoStSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 18
OWN 18
-7
96.2%
Dan Ellington sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 25
OWN 11
+15
96.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 15 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.3%
Brandon Wright punt for 57 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 4 yds to the Memph 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:0598% → 99%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
98.4%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 21 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+48
98.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 48 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
98.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Drew Kyser) to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
98.5%
Brady White run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
98.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
98.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.4%
Riley Patterson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:061% → 1%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 12 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 12 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+22
99.5%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 22 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+6
99.5%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
99.6%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+2
99.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+14
99.6%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 14 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 11 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
19 plays · 70 yds · 6:540% → 0%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+15
99.7%
Destin Coates run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Christian OwensSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 7
50
+10
99.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 10 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
99.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Seth Paige for 15 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.7%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan IfediSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.8%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+15
99.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Perry) to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.7%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 7Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the Memph 4Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (T.J. Carter) to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Seth Paige run for 1 yd to the Memph 1Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Seth Paige run for 1 yd for a TD, (Barry Brown PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
John Pop Williams run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+24
99.9%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 24 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-7
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 41 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Brady White pass complete to Kenny Gainwell for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 12
50
0
99.9%
Adam Williams punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Diondre ChampaigneSimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 3 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 48 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+12
99.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 12 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 61 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21MISSED FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 7:550% → 0%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 3 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Seth Paige run for 1 yd to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+9
99.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 11 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Aaron Winchester pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 6 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 4 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
100.0%
Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 18Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-1
100.0%
Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Roger CarterSimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
100.0%
Barry Brown 37 yd FG blocked by John Tate IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Kenny Gainwell run for 8 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+72
100.0%
Kenny Gainwell run for 72 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Jack Walker run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Jack Walker pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 7 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Jack Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
Jack Walker pass complete to Christian Owens for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Jack Walker pass incomplete to Diondre ChampaigneSimilar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 44 yds , Hunter Hill returns for 1 yd to the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:02100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-11
100.0%
Taylor, Timothy rush for 4 yards to the MEMPHIS19, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding 11 yards to the MEMPHIS8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+1
100.0%
Brady McBride pass intercepted for a TD Terrance Dixon return for 1 yd for a TD (Barry Brown PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25Uncategorized
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 3 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 5 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 4 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+33
100.0%
Marquavius Weaver run for 33 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:19
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Barry Brown KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q2 10:21
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 11 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 7:02
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 21 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com