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SCST

South Carolina State 0 at UCF 38

UCF
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Farrika Grier run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense+5.0Pregame prior+20.9Score differential+1.8Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:06: Adrian Killins Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +3.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:34: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 5 yds to the UCF 46 — UCF win probability +2.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:02: Matthew Wright 25 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +3.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:10: Otis Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +4.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:08: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +3.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SCST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 14:07SCST 4th & 11 at SCST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:41SCST 4th & 14 at UCF 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SCST 4th & 1 at UCF 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.6%−2.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:02UCF 4th & 7 at SCST 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−7.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:02SCST 4th & 14 at SCST 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−4.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:13SCST 4th & 8 at SCST 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00SCST 4th & 15 at SCST 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:18UCF 4th & 3 at SCST 15, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:08SCST 4th & 15 at SCST 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:39SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:25UCF 4th & 13 at UCF 30, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:40SCST 4th & 21 at UCF 34, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:29UCF 4th & 12 at SCST 43, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:53SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21UCF 4th & 12 at SCST 43, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:15SCST 4th & 9 at SCST 46, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:26UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:06UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:10UCF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:08UCF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:39UCF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
77.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 7 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
77.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete, broken up by Bruce JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+22
77.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 22 yds to the SCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
77.4%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
77.4%
McKenzie Milton pass intercepted Alex Brown return for no gain to the SCSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
77.1%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Datron James for 4 yds to the SCSt 44Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
77.1%
Datron James run for no gain to the SCSt 44Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-5
77.1%
Tyrece Nick sacked by Titus Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the SCSt 39Similar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+48
77.2%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 50 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 48 yds to the SCSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:2377% → 78%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
77.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+38
76.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 38 yds to the SCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 4INT
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
77.4%
Tyrece Nick sacked by Nevelle Clarke for a loss of 5 yards to the SCSt 16Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+16
77.5%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Will Vereen for 16 yds to the SCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
77.4%
Omar Cummings run for 3 yds to the SCSt 35Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+19
77.3%
Tyrece Nick run for 19 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
77.2%
Datron James run for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
77.2%
UCF Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
77.1%
Datron James run for 4 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
77.1%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-2
77.1%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
77.3%
Tyrece Nick pass intercepted Kyle Gibson return for no gain to the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
77.6%
Marlon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 10Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+14
77.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 14 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
77.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
77.6%
McKenzie Milton pass intercepted Chris Adams return for no gain to the UCF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2923% → 22%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
76.9%
Jarius Jenkins run for 9 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+16
76.8%
Datron James run for 16 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
76.5%
Datron James run for 1 yd to the UCF 23Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
76.5%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-5
76.9%
Tyrece Nick sacked by Brendon Hayes for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+57
78.0%
Dillon Bredson 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Kyle Gibson return for 57 yds to the SCSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:3579% → 83%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
78.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCSt 24Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
82.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:0619% → 19%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
81.4%
Tyrece Nick run for 4 yds to the SCSt 21Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
81.4%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Tyler Schadewald for 7 yds to the SCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
81.3%
Farrika Grier run for 6 yds to the SCSt 34Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+7
81.1%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Farrika Grier for 7 yds to the SCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
81.2%
Tyrece Nick run for 1 yd to the SCSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
81.6%
Tyrece Nick run for 9 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
81.3%
Farrika Grier run for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
81.2%
Farrika Grier run for 3 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
81.3%
Farrika Grier run for 2 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-1
81.3%
Farrika Grier run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:3284% → 87%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
84.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 5 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+20
84.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 20 yds to the SCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
84.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 2 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+21
84.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 21 yds to the SCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
84.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCSt 8Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
84.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis AndersonSimilar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
84.2%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Adrian Killins Jr.Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
87.3%
Matthew Wright 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.6%
Datron James run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 23Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
85.7%
Datron James run for 1 yd to the SCSt 24Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-3
85.8%
Tyrece Nick sacked by Rashard Causey for a loss of 3 yards to the SCSt 21Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+13
85.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 44 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 13 yds to the UCF 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11INT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
88.6%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the SCSt 47Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
88.7%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the SCSt 46Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+16
88.3%
Greg McCrae run for 16 yds to the SCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
88.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+21
88.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 21 yds to the SCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
88.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 0
-15
87.8%
MILTON, M. pass incomplete to SNELSON, D., PENALTY UCF pass interference (NIXON, Tre) 15 yards to the SCSU24, NO PLAY, PENALTY UCF ineligible downfield on pass declined.Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+1
88.5%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the SCSt 23Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+12
88.3%
McKenzie Milton pass intercepted Lane Jones return for 12 yds to the SCSt 11 UCF Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:4714% → 13%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
86.4%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 17Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+5
86.6%
NICK,Tyrece pass incomplete to BAXLEY,Jermaine (BURGESS-BECKER), PENALTY UCF offside defense (CONNORS, Joey) 5 yards to the SCSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+23
86.4%
Tyrece Nick run for 23 yds to the SCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
85.9%
Datron James run for 2 yds to the SCSt 47Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
85.7%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
86.8%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
87.1%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
23 plays · 94 yds · 4:4889% → 96%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
89.3%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UCF 7Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+7
89.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 7 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+3
89.2%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
89.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 9 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+7
89.5%
McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
89.5%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-4
89.5%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 31Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+14
89.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 14 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
90.7%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, offside defense (Bruce Johnson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 5
50
+4
90.8%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the SCSt 46Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+8
90.6%
Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the SCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
90.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 5 yds to the SCSt 33Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+10
90.9%
Otis Anderson run for 10 yds to the SCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson, broken up by Jayden BrunsonSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
90.8%
Otis Anderson run for 14 yds to the SCSt 9 UCF Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Gabriel Davis) to the SCSt 24Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+6
90.8%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the SCSt 18Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+7
90.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the SCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
90.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel Davis, broken up by Decobie DurantSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
90.9%
Otis Anderson run for 10 yds to the SCSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.8%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.7%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will Vereen, broken up by Richie GrantSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
93.8%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCSt 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 10
0
93.8%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the SCSt 10Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
93.8%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 2 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
95.3%
Taj McGowan run for 9 yds to the SCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 5 yds to the SCSt 39Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
95.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 6 yds to the SCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 5 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
95.3%
Taj McGowan run for 6 yds to the SCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.3%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael ColubialeSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
95.3%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the SCSt 19Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+4
95.2%
Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the SCSt 15Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+2
94.8%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the SCSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 17INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
95.8%
Omar Cummings run for 2 yds to the SCSt 15Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+26
95.8%
Dewann Ford pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 26 yds to the SCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.6%
Omar Cummings run for no gain to the SCSt 41Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.6%
Dewann Ford pass intercepted Richie Grant return for 2 yds to the SCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:4297% → 100%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
96.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCSt 47 for a 1ST down S CAROLINA ST Penalty, personal foul (Roderick Perry) to the SCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre Nixon, broken up by Zafir KellySimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+19
96.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 19 yds to the SCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.3%
NICK,Tyrece rush for 2 yards to the SCSU27 (EVANS, Nate), PENALTY SCSU holding (STEPHENSON,Robb) 10 yards to the SCSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
99.3%
Tyrece Nick run for 3 yds to the SCSt 18Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+2
99.3%
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds to the SCSt 20Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Omar CummingsSimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+13
99.3%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 57 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 13 yds to the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
99.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 24 yds to the SCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 8 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+32
99.6%
Greg McCrae run for 32 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.6%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, delay of game (Tyrece Nick) to the SCSt 20Similar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Datron James run for no gain to the SCSt 20Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Datron James run for no gain to the SCSt 20Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+20
99.6%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Austin Ruger for 20 yds to the SCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
Datron James run for 3 yds to the SCSt 43Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.6%
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds to the SCSt 45Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 5
OWN 45
-4
99.6%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 47 yds , Dredrick Snelson returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
99.7%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 7Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+8
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 8 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 3 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-5
99.7%
UCF Penalty, Offensive offside (Jordan Johnson) to the UCF 13Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+20
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 20 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael Colubiale, broken up by Paul McKeiverSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-5
99.7%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (Mac Loudermilk) to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 23INT
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.8%
Datron James run for 8 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+15
99.8%
Datron James run for 15 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
99.8%
Datron James run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Dewann Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
-5
99.8%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Dewann Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 16
OPP 29
-5
99.9%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, false start (Mailk Mickle) to the UCF 34Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 21
OPP 34
+27
99.9%
Dewann Ford pass intercepted Antwan Collier return for 27 yds to the UCF 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Marlon Williams run for 8 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds to the SCSt 44Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 3 yds to the SCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 9 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-11
99.9%
THOMPSON, Ben. rush for 2 yards to the SCSU30 (PERRY,Roderick), PENALTY UCF HOLD (MCMULLEN, Josh) 11 yards to the SCSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 12
OPP 43
+38
99.8%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 34 yds S CAROLINA ST Penalty, HOLD (Scott Robinson) to the SCSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 15 yds to the SCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Farrika Grier run for 3 yds to the SCSt 23Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for no gain to the SCSt 23Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds to the SCSt 25Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the SCSt 48Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 17
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 17
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 22
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 10 yds to the SCSt 43Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 39 yds, downed at the SCSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
100.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 4 yds to the SCSt 8Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+2
100.0%
LeBron Morris run for 2 yds to the SCSt 10Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
LeBron Morris run for 4 yds to the SCSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
100.0%
LeBron Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCSt 11Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+10
100.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 10 yds to the SCSt 21Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+24
100.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 24 yds to the SCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 1 yd to the SCSt 46Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Dewann Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will VereenSimilar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+13
100.0%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 44 yds , Richie Grant returns for 13 yds to the UCF 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28END OF GAME
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 5 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 4 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCF 46 UCF Penalty, personal foul (Randy Charlton) to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 23 yds to the SCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
100.0%
UCF Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the UCF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q1 3:06
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)
+3.5
FG · Q2 11:02
Matthew Wright 25 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com