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HAW

Hawai'i 23 at BYU 49

BYU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.3BYU 99.9%Zach Wilson pass complete to GunnerRomney for 26 yds for a TD (SkylerSoutham KICK)AWAY 23 - HOME 49 · Q4 3:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:45 · Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 26 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense+35.6Pregame prior+2.1Score differential+22.8Garbage-time factor+13.4Blowout margin+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:24: Matt Hadley 21 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick) — BYU win probability +7.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:24: Ryan Meskell 33 Yd Field Goal — HAW win probability +4.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:35: Dallin Holker 13 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Skyler Southam Kick) — BYU win probability +6.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:25: Dayton Furuta 1 Yd Run (Ryan Meskell Kick) — HAW win probability +7.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:57: Dayton Furuta 20 Yd pass from Cole McDonald (Ryan Meskell Kick) — HAW win probability +4.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:20HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28BYU 4th & 1 at HAW 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:05HAW 4th & 22 at HAW 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:28HAW 4th & 6 at BYU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−1.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:24HAW 4th & 10 at BYU 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:15BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:13HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:48BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 22, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:55HAW 4th & 3 at BYU 5, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:23BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:15HAW 4th & 10 at BYU 30, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:45BYU 4th & 6 at HAW 26, up 19
    Close callWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:54HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 43, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:28BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:02BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:24BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:35BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:25HAW Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:39BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:57HAW Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:50BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:08HAW Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:45BYU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3019% → 20%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
80.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 13 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
80.4%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+2
80.1%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
80.1%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
80.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:3280% → 81%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
80.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 6 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+16
80.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 16 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
80.0%
Riley Burt run for 16 yds to the HAWAII 49 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+12
80.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
79.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 15 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
79.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
79.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-6
79.8%
Zach Wilson sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+5
79.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Hadley for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+10
79.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 10 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
80.9%
Lopini Katoa 12 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 3:1520% → 19%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
80.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
80.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 7 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
80.4%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-11
80.3%
Cole McDonald sacked by Khyiris Tonga for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 18
OWN 22
-4
80.8%
Dayton Furuta run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 18 Dayton Furuta fumbled, recovered by Hawa Dayton FurutaSimilar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 22
OWN 18
+7
80.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:5881% → 85%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
81.3%
Lopini Katoa run for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
81.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Akile Davis for 16 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
81.6%
Zach Wilson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+5
81.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
81.5%
Wilson, Zach rush for no gain to the HAWAII18, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the HAWAII28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
81.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Lopini KatoaSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+5
81.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 5 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+23
84.8%
Zach Wilson 23 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1116% → 16%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.8%
Elijah Dale run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.2%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+10
84.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds , Aleva Hifo returns for 10 yds to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3285% → 86%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
85.0%
Aleva Hifo run for 6 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
85.6%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Shumway, Talon, PENALTY HAWAII holding (Farris II, Rojesterman) 10 yards to the HAWAII49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
85.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
85.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
85.7%
Zach Wilson pass intercepted Rojesterman Farris II return for 4 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3216% → 15%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
84.3%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
84.3%
McDonald, Cole pass complete to Ursua, John for 18 yards to the BYU42, PENALTY HAWAII ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the HAWAII35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+15
84.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
84.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
84.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
84.3%
Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
84.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:5687% → 94%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
86.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+16
86.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 16 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
87.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
87.2%
Dax Milne run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
86.4%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
93.6%
Matt Hadley 21 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:418% → 12%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
91.9%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
91.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+42
91.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 42 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+5
91.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
91.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
91.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
87.9%
Ryan Meskell 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:0589% → 89%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
89.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 10 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.3%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
89.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Brayden El-BakriSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+1
88.9%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
88.6%
Rhett Almond punt for 42 yds, downed at the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1911% → 10%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
88.9%
Cole McDonald sacked by Isaiah Kaufusi for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+36
89.6%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Austin Lee return for 36 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.3%
Dallin Holker 13 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:059% → 8%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
90.9%
Cole McDonald sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+5
90.4%
Elijah Dale run for 5 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
87.0%
Elijah Dale run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+6
91.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 6 yds to the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0595% → 96%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.4%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
95.8%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5797% → 97%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.9%
Zach Wilson sacked by Maxwell Hendrie for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
96.7%
Danny Jones punt for 30 yds, downed at the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:054% → 11%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.9%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the BYU 47 Fred Holly III fumbled, forced by Isaiah Kaufusi, recovered by Hawa Fred Holly IIISimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+19
96.4%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Corbin Kaufusi) to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
96.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+7
96.3%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
96.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
96.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
96.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+4
97.0%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.4%
Dayton Furuta 1 Yd Run (Ryan Meskell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3794% → 94%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
94.1%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
94.2%
Dylan Collie run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-5
94.3%
Zach Wilson sacked by Maxwell Hendrie for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
93.8%
Rhett Almond punt for 41 yds , Justice Augafa returns for no gain to the Hawa 35 Justice Augafa fumbled, recovered by BYU Dayan GhanwolokuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:2195% → 99%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
94.9%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+5
94.9%
Riley Burt run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
94.9%
Riley Burt run for 13 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
95.0%
Riley Burt run for 6 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Riley Burt 3 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:252% → 7%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
97.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 10 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
97.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
97.9%
Dayton Furuta run for 7 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
98.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 8 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
98.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 7 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+6
98.2%
Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
93.5%
Dayton Furuta 20 Yd pass from Cole McDonald (Ryan Meskell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:0096% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.5%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
95.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
95.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 9 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
96.3%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
96.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 7 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
96.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-5
97.0%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+13
97.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 13 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
97.4%
Matt Hadley run for 6 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+7
97.5%
Matt Hadley run for 7 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
97.5%
Matt Hadley run for 5 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
97.6%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-10
97.5%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Addison Pulsipher) to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+24
99.6%
Aleva Hifo 24 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Skyler Southam Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:221% → 3%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 26 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
99.5%
Cole McDonald sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+4
99.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+21
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 21 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Tristin KamakaSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 11 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
99.5%
McDonald, Cole pass incomplete to Armstrong-Brown, Marcus, PENALTY HAWAII ineligible downfield on pass (Tuulima, Taaga) 5 yards to the BYU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+7
99.4%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
96.9%
John Ursua 17 Yd pass from Cole McDonald (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1598% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
98.5%
Matt Hadley run for 2 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+39
98.5%
Matt Hadley run for 39 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.8%
Riley Burt run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
98.9%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
99.1%
Matt Hadley run for 3 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-5
99.2%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Tristen Hoge) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 26 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
100.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Dylan Collie run for 7 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:25
Dayton Furuta 1 Yd Run (Ryan Meskell Kick)
-7.5
TD · Q2 7:24
Matt Hadley 21 Yd Run (Skyler Southam Kick)
+7.2
TD · Q2 1:35
Dallin Holker 13 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Skyler Southam Kick)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com