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VMI

VMI 14 at Old Dominion 77

ODU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:17 · Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:26: Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — VMI win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:08: Reece Udinski pass intercepted for a TD Justin Noye return for 37 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:14: Kesean Strong run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:13: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 23 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:15: Matt Geiger run for 11 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5VMI made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 3 at VMI 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26VMI 4th & 17 at VMI 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:02VMI 4th & 3 at VMI 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:07VMI 4th & 2 at VMI 37, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:18VMI 4th & 3 at ODU 42, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:15VMI 4th & 7 at VMI 28, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:35ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 43, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:30VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 27, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:56VMI 4th & 6 at ODU 49, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:42VMI 4th & 4 at ODU 4, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 17 at VMI 37, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:19VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 22, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:05VMI 4th & 7 at VMI 39, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:05VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 25, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:17ODU 4th & 3 at VMI 48, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:17ODU 4th & 3 at VMI 22, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10VMI made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:26ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:23ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:08ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:14ODU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:22ODU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:13ODU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:15ODU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:56ODU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:49ODU Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:57VMI Touchdown, down 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 3:32VMI Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 11:28ODU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:3498% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+9
97.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 9 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
97.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 20 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
97.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 10 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.8%
Matt Geiger run for 2 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
97.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 7 yds to the VMI 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
-2
97.8%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+13
97.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 13 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.4%
Quan Myers run for 9 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
97.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Michael Jackson for 9 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Quan Myers run for no gain to the VMI 43Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 5 yds to the VMI 48Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+5
97.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Colby Rider for 5 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete, broken up by Justin NoyeSimilar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-7
97.4%
Reece Udinski sacked by Juwan Ross for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 46Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Reece Udinski punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Harper at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:0097% → 97%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
97.1%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis (A.J. Smith), PENALTY VMI pass interference (Collin Loftis) 15 yards to the ODU43, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+10
97.1%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete, QB hurry by Uzoma Kpaduwa, PENALTY VMI holding (Kaleb Tucker) 10 yards to the VMI47, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
97.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 10 yds to the VMI 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
97.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 9 yds to the VMI 17Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
97.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the VMI 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
97.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Matt Geiger for 3 yds to the VMI 10Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
97.2%
Matt Geiger run for 2 yds to the VMI 8Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+6
97.2%
Matt Geiger run for 6 yds to the VMI 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
97.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the VMI 46Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
97.2%
Blake LaRussa run for 8 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
97.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
97.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-5
97.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 4INT TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:153% → 2%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.0%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara (BOYKIN, Lance), PENALTY ODU pass interference (BOYKIN, Lance) 15 yards to the VMI40, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
97.7%
Reece Udinski pass intercepted for a TD Justin Noye return for 37 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
97.8%
Alex Ramsey run for 2 yds to the VMI 21Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
97.8%
Alex Ramsey run for 5 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for no gain to the VMI 26Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+16
97.8%
Reed King run for 16 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
97.7%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 12 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Lance BoykinSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-3
97.7%
Reece Udinski sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 49 Reece Udinski fumbled, recovered by ODU Mufu Taiwo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:2498% → 99%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+40
97.9%
Kesean Strong run for 40 yds to the VMI 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.9%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the VMI 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
97.9%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the VMI 4Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris Thornton, broken up by Lawrence GarnerSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Michael Jackson for 8 yds to the VMI 37Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
98.8%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+16
98.8%
Reed King punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 43 , Isaiah Harper returns for 16 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 9 yds to the VMI 48Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-5
98.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+41
99.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 41 yds to the VMI 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the VMI 10Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
99.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
98.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 23 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:551% → 1%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Lance BoykinSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
Quan Myers run for 3 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+13
99.3%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Michael Jackson for 13 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris Thornton, broken up by Justinn RichardsonSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.3%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Colby Rider for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
99.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris Thornton, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:5799% → 100%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
99.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 20 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+8
99.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.2%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-2
99.2%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Chuck Weatherman for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 24Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+10
99.2%
Blake LaRussa run for 10 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the VMI 11Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
99.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Matt Geiger run for 11 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Colby RiderSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Reed King punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.6%
Drayton Arnold run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
99.6%
Matt Geiger run for 4 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Drayton Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+2
99.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds , Isaiah Parker returns for 2 yds to the VMI 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.6%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 18Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+9
99.7%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 9 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Demetrius StitmonSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Michael Jackson, broken up by Terez DickersonSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Reed King punt for 49 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 4 Darrell Brown fumbled, recovered by ODU Matt GeigerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
99.7%
Matt Geiger run for 4 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+12
99.6%
Matt Geiger run for 12 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.6%
Matt Geiger run for 6 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
99.6%
Brandon Sinclair run for 7 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
99.7%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (Oshane Ximines) to the VMI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
99.7%
Reece Udinski sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 6 yards to the VMI 33 Reece Udinski fumbled, recovered by ODU Daniel Appouh , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by A.J. SmithSimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+11
99.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 11 yds to the VMI 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
99.7%
Blake LaRussa run for 10 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Kesean Strong run for 8 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 18INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Korey Bridy run for 6 yds to the VMI 31Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
99.8%
Korey Bridy run for 16 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Korey Bridy run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 7
50
0
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 7
50
+1
99.8%
Alex Ramsey run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+28
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass intercepted Geronda Hall return for 28 yds to the VMI 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for 6 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+21
99.8%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 21 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for 2 yds to the VMI 1Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for no gain to the VMI 1Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Matt Geiger run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 20TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Damion CharitySimilar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Quan Myers run for 5 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+67
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Kris Thornton for 67 yds for a TD (Tommy Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 21TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 37Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Michael JacksonSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Michael Jackson for 7 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Kris Thornton for 17 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Michael Jackson for 7 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+22
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Korey Bridy for 22 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Colby RiderSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Korey Bridy, broken up by Demetrius StitmonSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Chance Newman run for 6 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Geronda Hall for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Geronda Hall) to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Korey Bridy run for 2 yds for a TD (Tommy Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Jonah Fitzgerald pass complete to Brandon Sinclair for 8 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 8 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Matt Geiger run for 5 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Jonah Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+13
99.9%
Jonah Fitzgerald pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jonah Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Darius SavedgeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-4
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 34
-3
99.9%
Jonah Fitzgerald sacked by Zach Baker for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 24 yds, downed at the VMI 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
100.0%
Quan Myers run for 5 yds to the VMI 18Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-1
100.0%
Chance Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 17Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Chance Newman pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Quan Myers run for no gain to the VMI 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Matt Geiger run for 7 yds to the VMI 15Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Matt Geiger run for 15 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 25PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Chance Newman pass complete to Javeon Lara for 11 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Devone Humphrey, broken up by Estefano Feliciano Jr.Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+74
100.0%
Reed King punt for 35 yds , Isaiah Harper returns for 74 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Chance Newman pass complete to Isaiah Parker for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Quan Myers run for no gain to the VMI 30Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
100.0%
Chance Newman sacked by James Valle III for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Reed King punt for 43 yds, downed at the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27END OF GAME
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 7 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 6 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Matt Geiger run for 4 yds to the VMI 48Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Matt Geiger run for no gain to the VMI 48Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Matt Geiger run for 6 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 8 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 5 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 1 yd to the VMI 28Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Matt Geiger run for 1 yd to the VMI 27Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+5
100.0%
Matt Geiger run for 5 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+3
100.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:14
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q1 3:08
Reece Udinski pass intercepted for a TD Justin Noye return for 37 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 11:13
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 23 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com