Try the model
UNT

North Texas 31 at Old Dominion 34

ODU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:47 · Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior−32.8Home team on offense−0.8Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:41: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +7.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:27: Cole Hedlund 35 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +6.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +14.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:32: Nick Rice 37 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +6.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: Lala Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +54.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:46UNT 4th & 1 at ODU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47ODU 4th & 20 at ODU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:15ODU 4th & 12 at UNT 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:15UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:18ODU 4th & 7 at UNT 46, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    19.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:39ODU 4th & 4 at UNT 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:48UNT 4th & 5 at ODU 26, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:57ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 48, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:54UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:30ODU 4th & 2 at UNT 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:41UNT 4th & 7 at ODU 9, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:29ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:27UNT 4th & 4 at ODU 18, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:32ODU 4th & 8 at UNT 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−12.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:27UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.6%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:52ODU 4th & 12 at UNT 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:21UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:22ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.1%−4.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:22ODU 4th & 6 at UNT 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−2.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:47UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:15UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:44UNT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:48UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:50ODU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:41ODU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:15ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
15.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
15.9%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
15.9%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Kemon Hall return for no gain to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:5984% → 83%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
16.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 9 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
16.4%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
16.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+5
16.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
16.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 7 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+5
16.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
16.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 7 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
16.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
16.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.0%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+21
17.1%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (LaDarius Hamilton) to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
17.3%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
17.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 2 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-11
17.2%
Blake LaRussa sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 20
OWN 42
+1
16.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:4282% → 84%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
17.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
17.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 15 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
17.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete, broken up by Justinn RichardsonSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
17.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 18 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
17.2%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
17.2%
Mason Fine run for 9 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+37
15.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 37 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
16.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
16.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+26
16.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 26 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
16.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
16.9%
Blake LaRussa run for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 46 Blake LaRussa fumbled, recovered by ODU Jeremy Cox , return for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+6
16.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
16.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 20 yds, downed at the NoTex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-11
15.8%
Mason Fine sacked by Oshane Ximines and Daniel Appouh for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 9Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+7
15.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 7 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
16.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Parrish GordonSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+8
16.2%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 49 , Isaiah Harper returns for 8 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2117% → 17%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
17.0%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
17.1%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
17.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Dion NovilSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
17.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:2984% → 89%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
15.6%
Mason Fine run for 9 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
15.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+8
15.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 8 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
15.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 13 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
15.5%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+11
15.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 11 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
10.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
11.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
11.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-2
12.0%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+2
11.7%
Blake LaRussa run for 2 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
11.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:3090% → 90%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
10.2%
Mason Fine run for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
10.2%
Mason Fine run for no gain to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
10.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+5
10.8%
KENWORTHY, A. punt 29 yards to the ODU20, fair catch by BROWN, Darrell, PENALTY ODU roughing the kicker (HAYNES, Marcus) 5 yards to the ODU44, 1ST DOWN UNT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
10.1%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
10.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+11
10.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 11 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
10.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-1
10.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+8
10.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 8 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+26
9.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 0:5311% → 10%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+61
10.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 61 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
13.0%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.1%
L. Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (N. Rice KICK)Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+28
9.8%
Nick Rice punt for 65 yds , DeAndre Torrey returns for 28 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0090% → 91%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
9.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 8 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
9.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 5 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
9.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 1
50
+8
9.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 8 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
9.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Cudjoe YoungSimilar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
9.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+19
9.5%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Lawrence Garner return for 19 yds to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:5710% → 17%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
10.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
10.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-4
10.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+12
9.9%
Derek Wilder run for 12 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
9.9%
Blake LaRussa sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 16
OPP 46
0
14.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 16
OWN 0
0
13.2%
PENALTY UNT player disqualification off-setting, PENALTY ODU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+15
14.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Khairi Muhammad) to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+48
16.6%
Nick Rice 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
9.5%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
9.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin Smith, broken up by Justin NoyeSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+2
9.8%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
10.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 31 yds, downed at the NoTex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:4812% → 19%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
11.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
11.4%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+5
11.3%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+6
11.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
11.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+12
12.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 12 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
12.0%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the NoTex 13Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
12.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
19.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
17.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+15
18.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
16.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 8 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
16.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
16.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 16 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
16.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 9 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+3
16.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
16.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
16.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
16.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 7
OPP 9
-1
17.7%
Quinn Shanbour run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
17.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
17.5%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
16.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
16.4%
TEAM punt, downed at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:0585% → 91%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
15.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
15.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+5
15.7%
FINE, Mason pass complete to BROOKS, Nate for 6 yards to the ODU30, PENALTY ODU offside defense (WARD, Tim) 5 yards to the ODU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+7
15.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 7 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
15.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-1
15.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
15.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre Torrey, broken up by Lawrence GarnerSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
8.9%
Cole Hedlund 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:2613% → 28%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
12.8%
Lala Davis run for 11 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
13.2%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
13.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+3
12.8%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+15
12.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (E.J. Ejiya) to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
14.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by William LeMastersSimilar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
13.7%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, PENALTY UNT pass interference (ROBINSON, T.) 15 yards to the UNT12, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
14.0%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
14.0%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
28.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0079% → 81%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
21.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
20.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 6 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
20.0%
Mason Fine sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+9
21.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+16
19.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 16 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
18.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the ODU 32 DeAndre Torrey fumbled, forced by Lawrence Garner, recovered by ODU Jordan YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:5224% → 36%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
24.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
24.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-15
26.6%
LARUSSA, Blake pass complete to FULGHAM, Travis for 59 yards to the UNT0, clock 11:49, PENALTY ODU pass interference (FULGHAM, Travis) 15 yards to the ODU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+53
22.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 53 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
31.0%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+5
29.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Darrell Brown for 5 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
28.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Darrell BrownSimilar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
35.6%
Nick Rice 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
26.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+6
25.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
24.9%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
24.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 5 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
26.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0039% → 32%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
38.6%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
37.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 11
OPP 48
-1
34.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
31.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
24.2%
Mason Fine run for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
24.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 3 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+2
24.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 2 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+14
25.7%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 59 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 14 yds to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25TD
18 plays · 71 yds · 3:0729% → 95%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
29.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
32.1%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
30.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+4
27.8%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.1%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
30.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+16
29.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 16 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
34.8%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
35.0%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-5
35.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Jonathan Duhart) to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
34.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+36
31.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 36 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
38.2%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.6%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0813% → 15%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
87.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
86.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 6 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-12
84.9%
Mason Fine sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 12 yards to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:15
Lala Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+54.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.1
TD · Q3 0:00
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com