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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 51 at Old Dominion 17

ODU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:28 · Matt Geiger run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:20: Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:34: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 62 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +5.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:18: Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Blake LaRussa pass intercepted for a TD Reed Blankenship return for 100 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:20: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +2.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15MTSU 4th & 14 at ODU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:51ODU 4th & 24 at ODU 26, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:24MTSU 4th & 17 at ODU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:49ODU 4th & 6 at MTSU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:50MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.9
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 2 at MTSU 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 6 at ODU 14, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:42MTSU 4th & 4 at ODU 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:02MTSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:20MTSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:34ODU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:18MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:06MTSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:20ODU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:21MTSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FG
19 plays · 61 yds · 6:4562% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 5 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
38.4%
STOCKSTILL, B. sacked for loss of 4 yards to the MT37 (XIMINES, Oshane), PENALTY ODU face mask (XIMINES, Oshane) 15 yards to the ODU44, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 11 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+24
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 24 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 1 yd to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
38.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
38.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (1 Yards) to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
38.4%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
38.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
38.4%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
40.4%
Crews Holt 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
40.0%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
40.0%
Blake LaRussa run for 2 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+4
39.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Keion White for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
39.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
37.4%
Terelle West run for 71 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
37.8%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
37.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
37.7%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
37.9%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
37.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-12
38.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, intentional grounding (Blake LaRussa) to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 22
OWN 28
-5
37.7%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 27
OWN 23
+3
37.4%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 24
OWN 26
-3
37.2%
Bailey Cate run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5464% → 72%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
35.6%
Zack Dobson run for 9 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+13
35.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 13 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:4631% → 36%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
30.5%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+62
36.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 62 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:1064% → 64%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
36.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
35.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 9 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
35.2%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
35.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Luke Shiflett for 3 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
35.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
35.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
35.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-10
35.3%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to JACKSON, Devon for 6 yards to the ODU19 (CARTER, Sean), PENALTY MT holding (BEHANAN, Robert) 10 yards to the ODU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 35
0
35.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 35
+4
36.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 17
OPP 31
+48
35.7%
Crews Holt 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3534% → 37%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
34.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 7 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
35.1%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
34.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 2 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
34.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
35.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
35.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Will Knight for 36 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
36.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
36.5%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
35.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Cordell HudsonSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
36.6%
Nick Rice 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3165% → 76%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.7%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
34.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
34.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 18 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
33.1%
Terelle West run for 14 yds to the OLDDOMNION 37 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal block (Sean Carter) to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
32.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Zeke Cobb for 12 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
32.6%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete, PENALTY ODU pass interference (HEADEN, Joe Joe) 8 yards to the ODU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
32.6%
Terelle West run for no gain to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.6%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 66 yds · 0:0026% → 28%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
26.3%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to STRONG, Kesean (THOMAS, DQ), PENALTY ODU holding (LAWSON, Andrew) 10 yards to the ODU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
25.4%
Blake LaRussa run for 8 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+40
25.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 40 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
28.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Darryl Randolph) to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
28.1%
Blake LaRussa run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 13 Blake LaRussa fumbled, forced by Cordell Hudson, recovered by MTnSt Khalil Brooks , return for 4 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4877% → 76%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
23.5%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
23.4%
Terelle West run for no gain to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+2
23.1%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+9
23.7%
Luke Shiflett punt for 34 yds , Isaiah Harper returns for 9 yds to the MTnSt 29 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12INT TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:4025% → 17%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
25.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 35 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
23.8%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, PENALTY MT pass interference 3 yards to the MT2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
24.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+100
16.9%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted for a TD Reed Blankenship return for 100 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
7.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
8.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 7 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+8
8.2%
Kesean Strong run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
9.0%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+16
8.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
9.2%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-1
8.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+10
8.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 16
0
8.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 0:5294% → 95%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
5.6%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to LEE, Ty, QB hurry by WARD, Tim, PENALTY ODU personal foul (WARD, Tim) 15 yards to the MT31, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
5.5%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+70
5.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 70 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.9%
Will Knight run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
5.8%
Will Knight run for 1 yd to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
5.9%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Reed Blankenship for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+4
5.6%
Will Knight run for 4 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
5.7%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Cordell Hudson return for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:5396% → 99%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
3.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 6
50
+10
3.6%
Terelle West run for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
3.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
3.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+39
1.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 39 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:402% → 5%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
1.7%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
1.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+59
1.7%
Kesean Strong run for 59 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19INT
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:2098% → 99%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
2.5%
Terelle West run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
2.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 9 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
2.5%
Terelle West run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
2.4%
Chaton Mobley run for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
2.0%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+26
2.1%
Zack Dobson run for 26 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
0.8%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
0.8%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+2
0.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 2 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 14
0
1.2%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted, touchback. Lance Boykin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20FUMBLE
11 plays · 77 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.7%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-3
0.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
0.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
0.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 20 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
0.8%
Will Knight run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+16
0.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 16 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
0.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Keion White for 6 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+13
0.7%
Kesean Strong run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
1.0%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
0.8%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.8%
Will Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 3 Will Knight fumbled, forced by Darius Harris, recovered by MTnSt Kendricks GladneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 6:59100% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
0.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 6 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+9
0.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 9 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
0.4%
Chaton Mobley run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+5
0.3%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
0.4%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
0.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+14
0.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.3%
Maurice Gordon run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-1
0.3%
Maurice Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+15
0.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Justin Noye) to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Maurice GordonSimilar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
0.3%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+4
0.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+1
0.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22INT TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Will Knight for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+37
0.1%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted for a TD Wesley Bush return for 37 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 58 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+15
0.1%
Matt Geiger run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
0.1%
Matt Geiger run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+20
0.0%
Matt Geiger run for 20 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
0.1%
Matt Geiger run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+8
0.0%
Matt Geiger run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
0.0%
Matt Geiger run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
0.0%
Matt Geiger run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:18
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q1 1:20
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q2 0:00
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted for a TD Reed Blankenship return for 100 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com