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2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:20 · Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the FlAtl 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+30.9Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:15: Kesean Strong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +9.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 6:08: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 31 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +16.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 5:55: Brad Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Kerrith Whyte Jr. return for 100 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED) — FAU win probability +16.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:13: Kesean Strong run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake LaRussa intercepted ) — ODU win probability +14.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:43: Devin Singletary run for 30 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +14.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:20ODU 4th & 1 at FAU 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 14, down 6
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04FAU 4th & 4 at ODU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 24 at ODU 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:30ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 44, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:54FAU 4th & 19 at FAU 46, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:47ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:16FAU 4th & 10 at ODU 36, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 6 at FAU 26, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−3.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:43ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 39, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:20FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:30FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:15ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:41FAU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:29FAU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:54ODU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:08ODU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:55FAU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:43FAU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:43FAU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:02ODU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.2%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:17FAU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
81.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 44 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
81.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 13 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
81.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 9 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+2
81.6%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
81.6%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.6%
Harrison Bryant 5 Yd pass from Chris Robison (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2DOWNS
14 plays · 64 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
81.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
81.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 6 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+1
81.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
81.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
81.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Keion White for 7 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
81.4%
Kesean Strong run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
81.3%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
81.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+11
81.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 11 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
81.3%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
81.3%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
81.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
81.4%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the FlAtl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
80.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 13 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
80.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 12 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
81.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
81.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Jordan YoungSimilar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+3
80.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
80.7%
Chris Robison punt for 53 yds, downed at the ODU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
80.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 11
0
80.6%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+3
80.8%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
81.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
81.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.2%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+1
81.1%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
80.7%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris Harrison, broken up by Pat Toal Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 2:0121% → 20%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.1%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
79.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
79.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
78.9%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
78.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-12
79.3%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Hunter Snyder and Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 43
0
80.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:3980% → 86%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
80.1%
Chris Robison run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+3
80.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
80.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
80.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
80.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+28
80.5%
Devin Singletary run for 28 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
81.1%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
81.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+17
80.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 17 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.7%
Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+21
83.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 21 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
83.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-4
83.2%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
83.7%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
83.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
85.3%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+10
84.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Devin Singletary for 10 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
85.5%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
85.3%
Willie Wright run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
85.2%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
84.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Kerrith Whyte Jr., broken up by Oshane XiminesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:4316% → 26%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
83.8%
LARUSSA, Blake sacked for loss of 6 yards to the 50 yardline (AL-SHAAIR, Azee), PENALTY FAU personal foul (AL-SHAAIR, Azee) 15 yards to the FAU29, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+27
83.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 27 yds to the FlAtl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.0%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:3479% → 88%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
78.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 8 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+17
79.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 17 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
79.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
80.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
80.2%
Devin Singletary run for 18 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
80.6%
Chris Robison run for 7 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 18
-4
80.6%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
88.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 22 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Keion White, broken up by Herb Miller IIISimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
86.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+15
86.8%
LARUSSA, Blake pass intercepted by PIERRE, James at the ODU38, PIERRE, James return to the ODU38, PIERRE, James for loss of 11 yards to the ODU49 (WHITE, Keion), PENALTY FAU roughing passer (BAGNER, Ernest) 15 yards to the ODU36, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
86.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 15 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
85.5%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Chris Tooley return for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:1288% → 95%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
87.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Devin SingletarySimilar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+10
87.4%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+41
88.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 41 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
88.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.5%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
90.8%
Kesean Strong run for 12 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:069% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
91.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 15 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
90.6%
Kesean Strong run for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
90.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
90.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 16 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
90.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+5
89.3%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
89.3%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+4
89.5%
Will Knight run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+2
89.9%
Will Knight run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+14
89.9%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to DUHART, J., PENALTY FAU pass interference (PIERRE, James) 14 yards to the FAU5, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.9%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
86.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Zyon Gilbert) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
88.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 35 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+20
87.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 20 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
88.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-10
88.8%
Chris Robison sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 10 yards to the FLAATLANTC 46 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, intentional grounding (Chris Robison) to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 19
OWN 46
0
87.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Devin Singletary, broken up by Jordan YoungSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
87.0%
Sebastian Riella punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Harper at the ODU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 2:1613% → 30%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
86.8%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 22Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+9
86.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
86.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
85.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 22 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
69.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 31 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
87.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
86.7%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.1%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
87.3%
Will Knight run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+5
87.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
86.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
87.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
89.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 13 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.2%
Chris Robison run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
89.1%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
89.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 23 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
89.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
89.8%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-3
89.4%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+5
88.5%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY ODU offside (ROSS, Juwan) 5 yards to the ODU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 5
OPP 31
-5
88.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Jovon Durante) to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
88.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:1511% → 28%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
88.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+19
88.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 19 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
87.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 11 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
86.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
86.8%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
87.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+10
88.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 10 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
86.4%
Will Knight run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
72.4%
Kesean Strong run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake LaRussa intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:3080% → 95%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
80.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 18 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
82.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+28
80.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 28 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
95.0%
Devin Singletary run for 30 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
93.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 9 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
93.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
93.2%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
92.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+2
92.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
92.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
92.7%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Shelton Lewis return for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:1395% → 99%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
95.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+16
95.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
95.3%
Chris Robison run for 10 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
98.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 31 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:252% → 4%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
97.6%
Kesean Strong run for 13 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
97.6%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to BUNDU-FITZ, A., PENALTY FAU pass interference (HAFIZ, Quran) 15 yards to the FAU45, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Akim Bundu-Fitz for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+31
97.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 31 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:4597% → 99%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
97.4%
Chris Robison run for 7 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
97.4%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.4%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.3%
Devin Singletary run for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28Uncategorized
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.7%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+10
98.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 10 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 6 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+4
98.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Will Knight for 4 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
98.6%
Will Knight run for 7 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+14
98.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Will Knight for 14 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
98.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:55
Brad Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Kerrith Whyte Jr. return for 100 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED)
+16.1
TD · Q3 6:08
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 31 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-16
TD · Q4 10:43
Devin Singletary run for 30 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com