Try the model
ODU

Old Dominion 35 at East Carolina 37

ECU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:40 · Blake LaRussa sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 17 yards to the ODU 3 OLDDOMINION Penalty, intentional grounding (Blake LaRussa) to the ODU 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:58: Kesean Strong run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +17.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:18: Holton Ahlers run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +16.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:18: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 49 yds for a TD, (Blake LaRussa pass to Keion White for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +41.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:22: Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity PAT BLOCKED) — ECU win probability +19.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. FG · Q4 0:46: Jake Verity 38 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +42.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:19ECU 4th & 3 at ODU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:01ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:18ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:53ODU 4th & 7 at ECU 28, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:37ODU 4th & 6 at ECU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:37ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:27ODU 4th & 8 at ECU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:18ODU 4th & 6 at ECU 45, down 1
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−2.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:34ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:02ODU 4th & 6 at ECU 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−1.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ECU 4th & 14 at ECU 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−5.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:40ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:39ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 19, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:22ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.0 ptsPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−6.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:51ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 28, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.6 ptsPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−6.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:10ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−11.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:02ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−2.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:46ECU 4th & 7 at ODU 21, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−28.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−42.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:32ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:37ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:47ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:22ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:01ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:58ODU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:18ECU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:18ODU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:22ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
66.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
66.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Keion WhiteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-2
66.5%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+1
66.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 1 yd to the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4766% → 69%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
66.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 19 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
66.5%
Kingsley Ifedi run for 5 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+8
66.5%
Hussein Howe run for 8 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
66.6%
Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-1
66.6%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
66.5%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+12
66.5%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 12 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
66.6%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
66.6%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+10
66.6%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 10 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+5
66.7%
SCOTT, Anthony rush over right guard for loss of 1 yard to the ODU10 (YOUNG, Jordan), PENALTY ODU holding 5 yards to the ODU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.7%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5532% → 36%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
67.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 24 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
67.6%
LARUSSA, Blake sideline pass incomplete to HARPER, Isaiah, PENALTY ECU holding (IRVIN, Tim) 10 yards to the ECU41, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
67.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 21 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
64.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:5066% → 70%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
65.6%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
65.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Hussein Howe for 2 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+9
65.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for 9 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
65.9%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
65.9%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+11
66.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 11 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
69.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 46 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
68.8%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
68.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 11 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
68.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
69.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
69.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 8 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+24
70.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Watley for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Lawrence Garner) to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
70.3%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
70.3%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+75
69.9%
Reid Herring pass intercepted Sean Carter return for 75 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1133% → 38%
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
67.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ECaro 3Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+1
66.8%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to DUHART, J., PENALTY ECU pass interference (CHARLES, Daniel) 1 yards to the ECU2, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ECaro 1Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2165% → 72%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
65.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 24 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
66.2%
Darius Pinnix run for 14 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
66.5%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
66.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Watley for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+7
66.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 7 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
66.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 12 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
66.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
71.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 12 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
69.8%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
70.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Noah Ellison for 9 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
69.8%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
70.9%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
70.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 3 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
70.7%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+18
69.9%
Jonn Young punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EASTCRLINA 30 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Shaun James) to the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 5:1831% → 33%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
69.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
68.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete, broken up by Kendall FutrellSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
69.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Darrell Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
68.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 7 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
67.6%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
67.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
67.6%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete, broken up by Raequan PurvisSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
68.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Darrell Brown, broken up by Kendall FutrellSimilar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+18
72.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 18 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
69.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ECaro 8 Jeremy Cox fumbled, forced by Aaron Ramseur, recovered by ODU Keion WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
70.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Kesean Strong for 2 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
67.5%
Nick Rice 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
68.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete, broken up by Tim WardSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
68.2%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+6
67.2%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
66.8%
Jonn Young punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 2:1133% → 37%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
66.7%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+14
67.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 14 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
65.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 2 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
65.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
64.7%
Blake LaRussa run for 5 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+15
65.9%
LARUSSA, Blake sideline pass incomplete to DUHART, J., PENALTY ECU pass interference (WITHERSPOON, M.) 15 yards to the ECU13, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
64.6%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
64.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-2
67.7%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Alex Turner and Jalen Price for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 11Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
63.4%
Nick Rice 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.9%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15INT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
66.1%
Reid Herring run for 1 yd to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+9
65.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 9 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
66.3%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
66.2%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+16
65.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 16 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
68.5%
Reid Herring pass incomplete, broken up by Tim WardSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
67.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+28
66.2%
Reid Herring pass intercepted Justice Davila return for 28 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:2938% → 58%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
61.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+16
61.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 1 yd to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Bruce Bivens) to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
60.2%
Blake LaRussa run for 7 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
42.3%
Kesean Strong run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4049% → 69%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.6%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
48.9%
Anthony Scott run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
52.3%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+49
68.7%
Holton Ahlers run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
64.8%
LARUSSA, Blake deep pass incomplete to PATTERSON, H., QB hurry by TILLMAN, Ray, PENALTY ECU roughing passer (TILLMAN, Ray) 15 yards to the ODU40, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
62.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
61.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
63.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
61.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
60.8%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 45Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
61.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Darrell BrownSimilar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
64.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
65.4%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-3
65.8%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 22Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
63.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 4 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
63.1%
Jonn Young punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20INT
11 plays · 24 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
61.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-2
62.1%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Bruce Bivens for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+20
64.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Keion White for 20 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
60.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ECaro 31 OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the ECaro 46Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 16
OPP 46
-4
61.8%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 20
50
0
62.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 20
50
+14
63.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 14 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+13
62.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 13 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
58.7%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 14
OPP 27
-8
60.7%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Aaron Ramseur for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 22
OPP 35
+10
63.3%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted, touchback. Corey Seargent return for no gain EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
64.6%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+9
64.3%
Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
64.8%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
64.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tahj Deans, broken up by Geronda HallSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-6
62.9%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Oshane Ximines and Justice Davila for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
61.7%
Jonn Young punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 36%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
60.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-2
59.9%
Blake LaRussa run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
63.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
64.3%
Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
64.4%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
62.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Hussein Howe, broken up by Lawrence GarnerSimilar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+15
61.4%
Jonn Young punt for 45 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 15 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
19.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 49 yds for a TD, (Blake LaRussa pass to Keion White for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:5629% → 55%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
28.7%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Geronda HallSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+37
28.5%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 37 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
34.3%
Darius Pinnix run for 6 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+13
36.4%
Darius Pinnix run for 13 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
36.4%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+12
36.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 12 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
36.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
36.4%
Reid Herring run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
38.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
39.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
41.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-8
48.5%
Reid Herring sacked by Oshane Ximines and Tim Ward for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 11Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 18
OWN 11
0
47.6%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 18
OWN 11
+17
45.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 17 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
45.5%
Jonn Young punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Harper at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:1665% → 62%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.2%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
33.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-8
35.8%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Alex Turner for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
37.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 1:1647% → 88%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
46.5%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 12 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
52.0%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
49.1%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
46.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+16
42.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 16 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
53.8%
HERRING, Reid deep pass incomplete, PENALTY ODU pass interference (HALL, Geronda) 15 yards to the ODU24, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
55.9%
Reid Herring pass incomplete, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
55.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+2
47.8%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
88.0%
Jake Verity 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · -22 yds · 0:0626% → 16%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-11
80.7%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-17
84.3%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 17 yards to the ODU 3 OLDDOMINION Penalty, intentional grounding (Blake LaRussa) to the ODU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:46
Jake Verity 38 yd FG GOOD
+42.7
TD · Q4 9:18
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 49 yds for a TD, (Blake LaRussa pass to Keion White for Two-Point Conversion)
-41.8
TD · Q4 5:22
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity PAT BLOCKED)
+19
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com