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RICE

Rice 29 at Hawai'i 43

HAW
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Jack Fox punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+35.8Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:37: Fred Holly III run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +6.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:49: Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 31 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +15.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:01: Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 26 yds for a TD (C. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion) — HAW win probability +7.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:48: Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +11.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:35: Fred Holly III run for 46 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +11.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at RICE 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:53RICE 4th & 4 at HAW 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00RICE 4th & 1 at HAW 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−1.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:02RICE 4th & 15 at HAW 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:19HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 24, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19RICE 4th & 1 at HAW 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:52HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:45RICE 4th & 3 at HAW 13, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−4.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:44HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 18, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 1 at HAW 1, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:49RICE 4th & 6 at HAW 31, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:49HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:07RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:14HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:39HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:03RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:05HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:37HAW Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:49RICE Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:01HAW Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:48RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:35HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
85.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
85.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
85.8%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
85.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 4 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Jack Fox punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2185% → 86%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
84.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 34 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
85.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
85.1%
Fred Holly III run for 9 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
85.0%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
85.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Houston RobertSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+14
85.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 14 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.2%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
85.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
85.3%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Samiuela Akoteu for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
85.4%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd at the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:3685% → 88%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
85.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 23 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
85.4%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+15
85.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 15 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
85.5%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
85.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 6 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
85.4%
Cole McDonald run for 13 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
87.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:2813% → 16%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
86.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 18 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
83.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 51 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:5785% → 84%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
84.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 13 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
84.7%
Fred Holly III run for 12 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
85.2%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Houston Robert) to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 5
OPP 49
-15
85.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive pass interference (John Ursua) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+21
84.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Fred Holly III for 21 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
85.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-4
85.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Treshawn Chamberlain for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
84.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
83.6%
Stan Gaudion punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5316% → 17%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
83.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+27
84.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 27 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
83.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 21 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
82.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
82.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Jahlani TavaiSimilar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+5
83.2%
Shawn Stankavage run for 5 yds to the Hawa 34 Shawn Stankavage fumbled, forced by Jahlani Tavai, recovered by Rice Shawn StankavageSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
83.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4484% → 88%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
83.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-5
84.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Marcus Armstrong-Brown) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
84.0%
Cole McDonald run for 15 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
84.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+13
84.4%
Cole McDonald run for 13 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
84.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 10 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
84.8%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
88.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 14 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:5812% → 12%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
87.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 7 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
87.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+19
88.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 19 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
87.6%
Shawn Stankavage run for 8 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-4
87.0%
N/A run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 49 Shawn Stankavage fumbled, recovered by Rice Emmanuel EsukpaSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
87.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
87.3%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
87.1%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by KK Padello for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+3
88.0%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
88.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
88.4%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd at the Hawa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:2989% → 89%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
89.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 7 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 13
0
89.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+4
89.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 4 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-11
90.0%
Cole McDonald sacked by Myles Adams for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 6 Cole McDonald fumbled, recovered by Hawa Cole McDonald , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 21
OWN 6
+12
90.3%
Dayton Furuta run for 12 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+6
89.4%
Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
88.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:3512% → 15%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
88.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+31
88.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 31 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
85.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
86.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+9
86.7%
Shawn Stankavage run for 9 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+34
85.3%
Jack Fox 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
87.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
86.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
86.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Houston RobertSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+4
86.3%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+46
85.8%
Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds , Jordan Myers returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:2614% → 17%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
86.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
86.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
86.3%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
85.8%
Austin Walter run for 13 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
85.2%
Austin Walter run for 9 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+19
85.0%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Rojesterman Farris II) to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
84.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Rhett CardwellSimilar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
84.6%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+3
85.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 3 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
82.9%
Haden Tobola 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
84.7%
Fred Holly III run for 6 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+1
84.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 1 yd to the Hawa 9Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+7
83.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 7 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
85.0%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 13Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+5
84.7%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
84.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
83.5%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Myers at the Rice 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-14
83.5%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 14 yards to the Rice 27 Austin Walter fumbled, forced by Penei Pavihi, recovered by Hawa Zeno ChoiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:4488% → 95%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
88.3%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+11
88.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 11 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
88.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 10 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.5%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:309% → 8%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
91.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 16 yds to the HAWAII 44 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Kalen Hicks) to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
89.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (Joseph Dill) to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+7
90.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+7
89.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
90.3%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
89.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 14 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
89.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 6Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
89.6%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
91.3%
Shawn Stankavage run for 4 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
93.8%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:4612% → 25%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
88.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-13
87.8%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29 RICE Penalty, personal foul (Giovanni Gentosi) to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+1
89.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+12
90.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 12 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+31
75.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 31 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.0%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
85.3%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
84.3%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Prudy Calderon) to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
86.9%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
86.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-5
85.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Solo Vaipulu) to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+7
84.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
84.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
77.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 11 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
76.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-15
76.1%
RICE Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Aaron Cephus) to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 24
OWN 23
+7
78.5%
Shawn Stankavage run for 7 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+5
79.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
79.8%
Jack Fox punt for 64 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
5 plays · 99 yds · 1:5488% → 98%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
87.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+63
87.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 63 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
90.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 11 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
90.5%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+26
97.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 26 yds for a TD (C. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:115% → 17%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+41
95.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 41 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Manu Hudson-RasmussenSimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
94.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Jahlani TavaiSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
83.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
98.2%
Fred Holly III run for 46 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
95.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 25 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-10
94.6%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by KK Padello for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:49
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 31 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q4 1:35
Fred Holly III run for 46 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q4 1:48
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com