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FIU

Florida International 28 at Old Dominion 20

ODU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:14 · Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 25 yds to the FlaIn 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense−18.2Pregame prior−1.3Garbage-time factor−8.7Score differential−6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:16: Nick Rice 30 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +9.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:41: James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 47 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:41: Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +11.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:50: Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +13.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:03: James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 36 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +18.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:50FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58ODU 4th & 11 at FIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:52ODU 4th & 8 at FIU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:34FIU 4th & 3 at ODU 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:34ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:27FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:16ODU 4th & 6 at FIU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:41ODU 4th & 12 at FIU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:51FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−3.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:51FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    38.4%−3.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−11.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:41ODU 4th & 10 at FIU 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:03ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:37ODU 4th & 9 at FIU 39, down 8
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:14FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 18, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:18ODU 4th & 14 at FIU 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:25FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:15ODU 4th & 9 at FIU 10, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.5 ptsWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%−5.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−13.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:55ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:33ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:41FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:14FIU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:50FIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:03FIU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0543% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.7%
Steven Williams run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
42.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+63
42.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 63 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
42.7%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
42.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
44.7%
James Morgan sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 5 James Morgan fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 24
OWN 5
+14
44.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
44.9%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
45.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:3246% → 47%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
46.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
46.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
46.2%
Steven Williams run for 23 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
46.3%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
46.3%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
46.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
46.6%
Nick Rice 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.6%
James Morgan pass intercepted Justin Noye return for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
47.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-4
47.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+6
46.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 6 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
46.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:4152% → 50%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
47.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
47.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+49
48.1%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 49 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
46.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
46.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
46.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
46.5%
Christian Alexander run for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
46.9%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
49.7%
Jose Borregales 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
50.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-3
50.7%
Brandon Sinclair run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+11
50.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 11 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
50.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3549% → 47%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
51.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
50.9%
Christian Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
51.0%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Bryce Singleton for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
51.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
0
52.3%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
52.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 45 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
60.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
58.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
58.0%
James Morgan run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
58.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+3
58.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Harper returns for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:5062% → 72%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
61.6%
Isaiah Spencer run for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+23
62.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 23 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
62.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
62.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
62.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Scott McCluney for 10 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
62.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-15
62.8%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the FlaIn 16 OLDDOMINION Penalty, tripping (-15 Yards) to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 24
OPP 31
+7
62.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 17
OPP 24
+11
61.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
71.5%
Nick Rice 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3531% → 41%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
68.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Daniel Appouh) to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
68.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
68.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+47
58.9%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 47 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0060% → 71%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
60.4%
Steven Williams run for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
61.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 11 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
61.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+2
61.4%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
61.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+15
61.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Darrell Brown for 15 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
61.6%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
61.4%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+1
60.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
71.4%
Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 2:2730% → 41%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
69.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 16 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
68.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+7
70.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Carson Genal for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
71.5%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+8
71.4%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 8 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
69.6%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 17 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
67.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 11 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
67.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 2 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
66.9%
MORGAN, James sacked for loss of 16 yards to the ODU30 (XIMINES, Oshane), PENALTY ODU offside defense (NOYE, Justin) 5 yards to the ODU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-4
68.3%
James Morgan sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 11 James Morgan fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
59.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
50
0
60.6%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
20 plays · 86 yds · 8:0141% → 59%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
59.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
59.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+14
60.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 14 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
58.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+15
59.2%
Maurice Alexander run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
56.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+11
56.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 11 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
55.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
55.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
55.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
57.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
54.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
54.6%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 15 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
54.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
54.2%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
55.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
57.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
54.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 47%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
52.6%
Isaiah Harper run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
52.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
49.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
47.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 2:5553% → 77%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
47.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+29
47.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 29 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
45.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 18 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
42.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+9
42.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 9 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
41.4%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+36
22.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 36 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
26.2%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
24.7%
Steven Williams run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
23.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4177% → 77%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
23.2%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
22.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+7
22.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 7 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.1%
Maurice Alexander run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
21.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
21.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
23.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
22.3%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
22.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 7 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+10
21.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 10 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
23.3%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+24
22.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 24 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
26.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
26.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+1
25.2%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
22.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
19.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+3
19.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+5
20.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+25
21.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 25 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0025% → 20%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
25.2%
Steven Williams sacked by Tayland Humphrey and Kevin Oliver for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
23.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
21.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah SpencerSimilar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
19.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
17.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+11
17.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
16.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
16.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
17.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ Worton, broken up by Terez DickersonSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+19
18.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 41 , Isaiah Harper returns for 19 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
17.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 1
50
+4
19.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Darrell Brown for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
19.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
18.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 15 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
21.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+14
21.4%
Gemonta Jackson run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
21.4%
Gemonta Jackson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
21.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-3
19.8%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 9
OPP 10
0
17.1%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:3493% → 97%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
7.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
7.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+1
5.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
5.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+33
4.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 33 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
3.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-3
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:03
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 36 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-18.6
TD · Q3 6:50
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-13.2
FG · Q2 2:41
Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOOD
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com