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ODU

Old Dominion 10 at Liberty 52

LIB
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:26 · Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for no gain to the Liber 24 DJ Stubbs fumbled, recovered by ODU Terez Dickerson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Home team on offense+2.7Pregame prior−8.7Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:13: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 4 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +4.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:55: Steven Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +6.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:58: Aaron Peart 20 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +7.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:25: Kentory Matthews run for 57 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +17.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:42: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 10 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +6.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 11:26ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21LIB 4th & 3 at ODU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08ODU 4th & 1 at LIB 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:05ODU 4th & 12 at LIB 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:58LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 29, up 11
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:28ODU 4th & 8 at LIB 37, down 11
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:55ODU 4th & 1 at LIB 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:55LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:26ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:40ODU 4th & 9 at LIB 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:40LIB 4th & 13 at ODU 31, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:55ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:58LIB 4th & 4 at ODU 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:54ODU 4th & 9 at LIB 35, down 4
    Close callPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:58LIB 4th & 3 at ODU 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−13.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:58ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:25ODU 4th & 11 at LIB 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−1.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:36ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:12ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:04LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:13LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:55ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:25LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:42LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:22LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:56LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:30LIB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:5637% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
36.7%
Kentory Matthews run for 14 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
36.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 3 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+16
36.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 16 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
36.7%
Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
36.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 11 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
38.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 35 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:3362% → 60%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.2%
Kesean Strong run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
38.1%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
38.7%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
40.1%
Miles Fox run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:0841% → 46%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Elijah BlueSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
40.8%
Kentory Matthews run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+5
40.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 5 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+3
40.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 3 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
40.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
40.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 16 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 4 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:0355% → 54%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+32
44.6%
Isaiah Harper run for 17 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Ceneca Espinoza Jr.) to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
44.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 7 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
44.6%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+7
44.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 7 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
44.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
44.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 12
OPP 31
0
44.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
46.2%
Nick Rice 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
46.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
46.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
46.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for no gain to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
45.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.7%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
47.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
47.5%
Steven Williams run for 6 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
47.3%
WILLIAMS, S. deep pass incomplete to PATTERSON, H., PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (STEELE, I.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY39, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
46.7%
- Jeremy run for 2 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-5
46.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Chad Hendricks) to the Liber 42Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+5
47.4%
Steven Williams run for 5 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
46.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
47.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 27 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:5150% → 50%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
49.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+10
50.0%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY ODU holding (BRICKHOUSE, J.) 10 yards to the LIBERTY25, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
51.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
50.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 11 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
51.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for no gain to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
51.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Fidel Ogbeifun for 3 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
51.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Kane MiskelSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
50.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Harper at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:3346% → 51%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
53.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Ceneca Espinoza Jr.Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
54.1%
- Jeremy run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+17
54.4%
Steven Williams run for 17 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
52.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 27 yds to the LIBERTY 26 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
51.3%
- Jeremy run for 10 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
51.4%
- Jeremy run for 2 yds to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.3%
- Jeremy run for no gain to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.7%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.6%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
48.8%
Kentory Matthews run for 12 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
49.6%
Kentory Matthews run for 2 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
50.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for no gain to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
48.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+15
47.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 15 yds to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
49.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
50.2%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
51.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
52.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for no gain to the Liber 24 DJ Stubbs fumbled, recovered by ODU Terez DickersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5452% → 48%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
47.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
48.1%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
49.5%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Nijee CoxSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
51.9%
Nick Rice 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 46 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
51.7%
Kentory Matthews run for no gain to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
51.5%
Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+14
51.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 14 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
53.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
53.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Oshane XiminesSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-5
52.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (B.J. Farrow) to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+20
51.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 20 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
53.8%
CALVERT, S. play action pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY ODU holding (BRICKHOUSE, J.) 10 yards to the ODU28, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
54.4%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
54.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-5
53.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Tristan Schultz) to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 16
OPP 34
-5
52.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Thomas Sargeant) to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 21
OPP 39
+8
51.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 8 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 13
OPP 31
0
51.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:0045% → 47%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
54.7%
- Jeremy run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+24
54.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to - Jeremy for 24 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
51.9%
Kesean Strong run for 6 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+7
50.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Darrell Brown for 7 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
50.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
50.1%
- Jeremy run for 3 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
51.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Gemonta Jackson for 3 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
50.1%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Austin Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+38
53.5%
Nick Rice 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
52.1%
Isaiah Harper run for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
52.2%
- Jeremy run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+3
52.4%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
52.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 33 yds, downed at the Liber 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
54.3%
Kentory Matthews run for 1 yd to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
54.1%
Kentory Matthews run for no gain to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+15
52.5%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY ODU pass interference (BRICKHOUSE, J.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY45, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
56.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
57.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
56.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Miles FoxSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
54.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Harper at the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+18
57.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 18 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
56.0%
Steven Williams run for 7 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+8
54.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
54.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 7 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+15
52.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 15 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
52.3%
- Jeremy run for 1 yd to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
51.2%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
52.7%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
56.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 25 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17FG
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:3260% → 71%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
59.9%
Kentory Matthews run for 8 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
60.3%
Kentory Matthews run for no gain to the Liber 18Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+55
60.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 55 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
64.7%
CALVERT, S. flag pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY ODU pass interference (BLUE, Elijah) 8 yards to the ODU4, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
64.7%
Kentory Matthews run for 1 yd to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.7%
Kentory Matthews run for no gain to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
70.9%
Aaron Peart 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.8%
- Jeremy run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
66.2%
Steven Williams run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
67.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 37 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:5172% → 89%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
72.2%
Kentory Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+14
71.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 14 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
89.3%
Kentory Matthews run for 57 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
83.3%
Steven Williams run for 8 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
83.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 18 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.2%
Brandon Sinclair run for no gain to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
82.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-1
83.0%
Gemonta Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
84.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 1:2890% → 98%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+32
90.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 32 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
91.1%
Kentory Matthews run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+48
90.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 48 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
91.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 8 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+10
98.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 10 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
97.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+9
97.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Nijee Cox, broken up by Elijah BentonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:3098% → 100%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.2%
Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 22 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Darrell Brown run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
- Jeremy run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, downed at the Liber 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-1
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 32Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+10
99.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Lionell Mcconell for 10 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+53
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 53 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-8
99.9%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 22 Steven Williams fumbled, recovered by Liber Austin LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 27TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+14
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 14 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
CUNNINGHAM, M. slant pass incomplete to COLEMAN, K. (BRICKHOUSE, J.), PENALTY ODU pass interference (BRICKHOUSE, J.) 2 yards to the ODU2, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
- Jeremy run for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+18
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 18 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 6 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 1 yd to the Liber 40 Brandon Sinclair fumbled, forced by Javon Scruggs, recovered by Liber Cheapell MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 29END OF GAME
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Mason Cunningham pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 8 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 5 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 8 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 7 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 13 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 13
OPP 22
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:25
Kentory Matthews run for 57 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)
+17.6
FG · Q3 4:58
Aaron Peart 20 yd FG GOOD
+7.7
TD · Q4 13:42
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 10 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com