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NCSU

NC State 41 at Syracuse 51

SYR
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:22 · A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds , Sean Riley returns for 15 yds to the Syrac 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Home team on offense+2.6Pregame prior−7.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:15: Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +10.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:10: Brady Bodine run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +16.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:11: Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 31 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +12.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:28: Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +18.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:23: Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +26.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:51NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:20SYR 4th & 10 at NCSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:38NCSU 4th & 15 at NCSU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:22NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:02SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:22NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 28, down 10
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:45NCSU 4th & 5 at SYR 7, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−10.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:04SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:38SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:13NCSU 4th & 7 at SYR 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:32SYR 4th & 19 at NCSU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:36NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:39SYR 4th & 3 at NCSU 23, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%−1.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−10.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:12SYR 4th & 11 at NCSU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:44NCSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:08SYR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:08SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:39SYR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:40NCSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:15SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:10NCSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:11SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:28NCSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:23NCSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:05SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5459% → 58%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
41.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 30Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
41.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
41.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:1842% → 44%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
41.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+24
42.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 24 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
42.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 39Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+14
42.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 14 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
42.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+9
42.9%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
43.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the NCSt 6Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
43.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-5
43.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Germaine Pratt and Dexter Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 11Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
43.5%
Andre Szmyt 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1957% → 58%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
42.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 67 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
3 plays · 88 yds · 0:2042% → 44%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
42.2%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+82
43.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 82 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:3956% → 55%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
C.J. Riley run for a loss of 11 yards to the NCSt 14 C.J. Riley fumbled, recovered by NCSt C.J. Riley run for no gain to the NCSt 14Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+6
44.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 6 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
45.0%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
45.3%
A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:0745% → 49%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
45.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+45
45.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 45 yds to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
45.9%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
46.1%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the NCSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7Uncategorized
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3452% → 51%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
47.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
48.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
48.6%
A.J. Cole III punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1249% → 49%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
49.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+17
49.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 17 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
50.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-6
50.2%
Eric Dungey sacked by Eurndraus Bryant for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 16
OWN 36
0
49.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 16
OWN 36
+39
49.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the SYRACUSE 20 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3051% → 50%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.0%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
49.5%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
49.9%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+15
50.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds , Sean Riley returns for 15 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:0651% → 59%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+48
51.0%
Dontae Strickland pass complete to Sean Riley for 48 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
59.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 20 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 6:3042% → 42%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.7%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
57.9%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
59.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 9 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
59.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 9 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
59.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
60.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
60.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+22
61.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 22 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
61.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
61.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 5 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+6
63.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
63.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
63.8%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
63.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
58.3%
Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12Uncategorized
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3662% → 63%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
62.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
63.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
64.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
63.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 4
OWN 43
-3
63.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 45 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 9 Thayer Thomas fumbled, recovered by NCStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 1:1137% → 44%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
62.9%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
63.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 11Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
63.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+15
64.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
55.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 74 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:5557% → 57%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
56.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
56.3%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
56.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:0743% → 49%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+43
57.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 43 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
53.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
53.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+5
55.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+10
54.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
53.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
53.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
55.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
50.9%
Christopher Dunn 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:2854% → 53%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.4%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
55.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 15 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
56.8%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
57.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
57.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-15
56.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 15 yards to the NCSt 47 SYRACUSE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
53.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds, downed at the NCSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:4446% → 43%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
53.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 10 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
53.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
55.3%
Brady Bodine run for 7 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
55.3%
Brady Bodine run for 3 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
54.3%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
55.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
57.2%
A.J. Cole III punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18END OF HALF
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:2956% → 66%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
56.2%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Teshaun Smith) to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
57.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 11 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
59.4%
Eric Dungey run for 17 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+45
66.4%
Andre Szmyt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:2863% → 81%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
64.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
64.0%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
65.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 13 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
66.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
66.3%
Eric Dungey sacked by Germaine Pratt for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 39 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+16
63.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 16 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
66.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+2
68.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 2 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
68.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-1
68.6%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 5Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+3
67.8%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the NCSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.0%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.3%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the NCSt 1Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.3%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4221% → 39%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
79.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
80.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
79.0%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
79.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+49
78.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Cary Angeline for 49 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
76.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 9 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.8%
Brady Bodine run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4472% → 87%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
72.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 15 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
74.6%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
75.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 8 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+31
87.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 31 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3516% → 34%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
83.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 14 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
83.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-1
82.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 3
50
+10
83.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 10 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
84.1%
Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+11
84.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 11 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
85.0%
Ryan Finley sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+15
86.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
85.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Cary Angeline for 15 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:1381% → 85%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
80.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+9
81.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-11
81.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Germaine Pratt for a loss of 11 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 21
OWN 26
+29
80.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 29 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
84.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+9
84.8%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
85.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 6 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+1
85.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the NCSt 23Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
84.5%
Andre Szmyt 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5913% → 45%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 11 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.9%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
85.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+49
85.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 49 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
81.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
55.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:4969% → 78%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
69.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 14 yds Taj Harris fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
73.8%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
73.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
77.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
79.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 7 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-10
81.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
79.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
78.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5733% → 26%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
67.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
72.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for no gain to the NCSt 15Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+2
74.4%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted Andrew Armstrong return for 2 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27TD
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:0588% → 97%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the NCSt 21Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
88.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+4
88.5%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+15
87.7%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.1%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the NCSt 5Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 28Uncategorized
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:453% → 4%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
96.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-5
96.4%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 18Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+12
96.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:23
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-26.4
TD · Q4 14:28
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q3 6:10
Brady Bodine run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-16.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com