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NCSU

NC State 7 at Clemson 41

CLEM
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.5CLEM 99.8%Greg Huegel 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 34 · Q4 12:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:32 · Greg Huegel 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+26.8Garbage-time factor+10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.4Blowout margin+10.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:59: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 46 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:46: Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: Greg Huegel 28 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:54: Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: Reggie Gallaspy II run for 9 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:57NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:36CLEM 4th & 10 at NCSU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:35NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:19CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:41CLEM 4th & 1 at NCSU 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−1.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:28CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 31, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:54NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 37, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:47CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 25, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:23NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 27, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:32CLEM 4th & 4 at NCSU 9, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:48NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:56NCSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 47, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:13CLEM 4th & 14 at NCSU 19, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:23CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:59CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:46CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:54CLEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56NCSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:11CLEM Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:2290% → 90%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
90.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for 12 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
89.9%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+10
89.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
89.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+16
89.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
89.5%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the NCSt 3Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.9%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2210% → 10%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
89.6%
Ryan Finley sacked by Tanner Muse for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 16Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
89.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 8 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+39
89.6%
A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:0690% → 89%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
89.6%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
89.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Derion KendrickSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+14
89.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 14 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
89.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
89.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Travis EtienneSimilar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
89.4%
Will Spiers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0811% → 11%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
89.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+6
89.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the NCSt 19Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+5
89.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
89.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
89.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-2
88.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 31Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
89.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 44 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5289% → 91%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
89.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 14 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 2 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
89.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+11
88.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
91.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 46 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:189% → 10%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
90.6%
NC STATE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 18Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-4
90.6%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the NCSt 14Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+20
90.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 20 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
90.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 47 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 6 yds to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5691% → 91%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.0%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
91.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 13 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
91.3%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
91.4%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-1
91.3%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by James Smith-Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
91.0%
Will Spiers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:119% → 9%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.6%
Stephen Louis run for 6 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
90.5%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+14
90.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 14 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
90.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
90.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
90.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
90.7%
A.J. Cole III punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9FUMBLE
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:1491% → 90%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
91.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.3%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
91.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Derion Kendrick for 8 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
91.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
91.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 9 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-12
91.8%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Germaine Pratt for a loss of 12 yards to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 22
OWN 44
+15
91.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 15 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+16
91.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Derion Kendrick for 16 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.6%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
91.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+9
90.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 9 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+6
90.4%
Will Swinney run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 18 Will Swinney fumbled, recovered by Clem Will Swinney Will Swinney run for 6 yds to the NCSt 16 Will Swinney fumbled, recovered by NCSt Larrell MurchisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:229% → 9%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
90.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
90.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+26
90.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 26 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
90.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
50
+11
89.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
89.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+3
90.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-7
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem Dexter LawrenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:0492% → 97%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
91.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 11 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
91.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 21 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
91.9%
Trevor Lawrence run for 4 yds to the NCSt 18Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+5
91.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
91.5%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
91.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 9 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:234% → 4%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+46
95.6%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted K'Von Wallace return for 46 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13FG
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:1097% → 97%
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for no gain to the NCSt 4Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.8%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the NCSt 1Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
96.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 6Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
97.4%
Greg Huegel 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:554% → 3%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 6 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
96.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
95.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 47Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+2
96.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
96.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+9
96.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+22
96.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the CLEMSON 45 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (K'Von Wallace) to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
96.7%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted Jalen Williams return for 19 yds to the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3097% → 97%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
97.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 8 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
97.4%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
97.3%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:063% → 3%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
97.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+9
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 9 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+1
97.4%
A.J. Cole III punt for 47 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 1 yd to the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:4198% → 98%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.5%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Clem 17Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
97.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 8 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Will Spiers punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
97.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 7
OWN 27
-5
97.8%
Brady Bodine run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1298% → 100%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.3%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
98.3%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+13
98.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Milan Richard for 13 yds to the NCSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:400% → 2%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
99.7%
Ryan Finley run for no gain to the NCSt 32 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Garrett Bradbury) to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 5 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 1
50
+2
99.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+20
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 20 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
99.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 9 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:0399% → 100%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for 11 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Will SwinneySimilar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+24
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 24 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.3%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
99.4%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the NCSt 9Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
99.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
99.8%
Greg Huegel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+24
99.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Diondre Overton for 24 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+24
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Justyn Ross for 24 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Justyn Ross for 8 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+15
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 15 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 5 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 19 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Brady Bodine run for 4 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for no gain to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Brady Bodine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26MISSED FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Darien Rencher run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 8
50
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Carter GroomesSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 8
50
+20
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Justyn Ross for 20 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Derion KendrickSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.9%
NC STATE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Will Swinney for no gain to the NCSt 15Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-4
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Darien Rencher for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 19Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+36
99.9%
Alex Spence 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27END OF GAME
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
100.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 12 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Damontay RhemSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Damontay Rhem for 1 yd to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Cole III, A.J. punt 40 yards to the CLEMSON7, fair catch by Kendrick, Derion, PENALTY CLEMSON substitution infraction 5 yards to the CLEMSON42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
99.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to C.J. Riley for 37 yds to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:46
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q1 2:59
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 46 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q4 14:56
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 9 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com