Try the model
VT

Virginia Tech 35 at Old Dominion 49

ODU
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-25.4ODU 37.8%Ryan Willis pass complete to ChrisCunningham for 13 yds for a TD (BrianJohnson KICK)AWAY 35 - HOME 35 · Q4 7:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:15 · Ryan Willis pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior−10.1Home team on offense−4.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:40: Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +18.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:55: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 25 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +22.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:57: Jeremy Cox run for 15 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +32.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:15: Ryan Willis pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +25.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:11: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 29 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined Brad Davis kickoff Steven Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 33 (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +34.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:36VT 4th & 6 at VT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:52ODU 4th & 6 at VT 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:33VT 4th & 23 at ODU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:41ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45VT 4th & 12 at VT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 8 at VT 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:18VT 4th & 4 at VT 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:11ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:50ODU 4th & 11 at VT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:28ODU 4th & 1 at VT 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:38ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:58VT 4th & 4 at VT 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:40VT 4th & 8 at VT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−1.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:56ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 38, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:48VT 4th & 20 at VT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−8.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:15VT 4th & 3 at ODU 13, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%−1.2
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−16.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:11VT 4th & 4 at ODU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−10.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:14VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:38ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:42VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:07ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:38VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:40ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:32VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:55ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:57ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:15VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:11ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−1.6
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:34ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.2%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
3.2%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
3.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
3.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 37 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 3 yds to the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
3.5%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
3.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
3.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
3.5%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+30
3.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 30 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
3.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+22
3.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 22 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
3.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+2
3.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
3.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Damon Hazelton at the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
4.0%
Steven Peoples run for 87 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:364% → 5%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
4.0%
Blake LaRussa run for 20 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
4.1%
Gemonta Jackson run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+37
4.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 37 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
4.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
5.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 14 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+27
5.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
50
+2
4.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
4.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 10 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
4.8%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
4.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-9
4.8%
Josh Jackson sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 19
OPP 36
0
4.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 19
OPP 36
-4
5.0%
Josh Jackson sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 23
OPP 40
0
5.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
6.3%
Blake LaRussa run for no gain to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-6
6.3%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Trevon Hill and Dylan Rivers for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 16
OWN 2
+12
6.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 12 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+38
6.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
6.6%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
6.6%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-7
6.6%
Josh Jackson sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
7.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+45
7.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 45 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
8.4%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
8.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
8.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
8.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:1692% → 91%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
8.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 8 yds to the VTech 10Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+4
8.3%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
8.3%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+14
8.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 14 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
8.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
9.0%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+3
9.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 3 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
9.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
10.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (Trevon Hill) to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 5
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
10.4%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
10.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+6
9.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 6 yds to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3291% → 93%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
9.5%
Steven Peoples run for 9 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+8
9.2%
Steven Peoples run for 8 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
9.3%
Josh Jackson run for 9 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+1
9.0%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
6.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 28 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:528% → 9%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
7.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
8.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
8.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+14
7.8%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Devon Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 41 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Devon Hunter) to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
8.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 25 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
9.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
9.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
9.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+3
8.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
9.0%
Nick Rice 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
8.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
8.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
8.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
8.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 8 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+5
8.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
8.0%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Geronda Hall return for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 1:329% → 20%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
9.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+17
9.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 17 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
10.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
10.1%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to DUHART, J., PENALTY VT pass interference (Farley, C) 15 yards to the VT43, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
11.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 18 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
11.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
11.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Bryce WattsSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
11.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Caleb FarleySimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+12
11.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 12 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
16.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 5:1784% → 90%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
15.9%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+24
16.2%
Josh Jackson run for 24 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
15.4%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+12
14.9%
Josh Jackson run for 12 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
14.3%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
14.3%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+16
14.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 16 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
13.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
13.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+20
14.3%
Steven Peoples run for 20 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.5%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-12
13.5%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Trevon Hill for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
12.0%
Blake LaRussa run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
11.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 62 yds, downed at the VTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
12.3%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
11.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
12.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Lawrence GarnerSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
13.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds, downed at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3814% → 35%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
14.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
15.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 5 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
15.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
14.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 5
50
+23
15.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Darrell Brown for 23 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
17.1%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+27
17.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 27 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.1%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the VTech 1Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.3%
Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.8%
Steven Peoples run for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
25.0%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
26.1%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
25.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Geronda HallSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
26.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
28.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
32.6%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 14
OWN 26
0
31.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Lala Davis, broken up by Dylan RiversSimilar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+12
30.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 12 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
31.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Damon Hazelton at the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
14.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 72 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3716% → 43%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
17.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 7 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Bryce WattsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+26
16.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 26 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
20.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
20.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+25
42.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 25 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
34.3%
Josh Jackson run for 19 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
33.0%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
33.0%
Ryan Willis run for 4 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
32.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Sean Savoy for no gain to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 38
-15
35.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 20
OWN 23
0
37.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:1041% → 79%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
41.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
40.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+15
39.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Houshun Gaines) to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
45.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+27
46.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 27 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
79.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 15 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4231% → 62%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
69.2%
Ryan Willis run for 23 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
65.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 32 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
60.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
60.6%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
63.3%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+13
37.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0446% → 88%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
45.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 19 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
50.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 8 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
52.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jeremy Cox, broken up by Rayshard AshbySimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
50.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
51.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Darrell Brown for 11 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
53.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+29
88.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 29 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined Brad Davis kickoff Steven Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 33 (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
79.1%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
81.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+17
82.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
50
+2
75.4%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
75.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (Tim Ward) to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+16
74.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 16 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
72.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Sean Savoy, broken up by Justin NoyeSimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
73.7%
Ryan Willis run for 6 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
75.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 4
OPP 21
0
78.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 30TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 0:5992% → 98%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
91.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
91.7%
Blake LaRussa run for 2 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
94.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
95.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
95.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jarrod Hewitt) to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
98.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 40 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 31END OF GAME
12 plays · 50 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+19
98.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 19 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
98.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+16
98.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 16 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
98.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-3
98.3%
Ryan Willis sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:11
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 29 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined Brad Davis kickoff Steven Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 33 (Nick Rice KICK)
+34.9
TD · Q4 9:57
Jeremy Cox run for 15 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+32.9
TD · Q4 7:15
Ryan Willis pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
-25.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com