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NCSU

NC State 37 at Marshall 20

MRSH
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Robert LeFevre punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−20.4Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:04: Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 82 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:33: Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:24: Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 30 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:28: Isaiah Green pass intercepted for a TD Jarius Morehead return for 57 yds for a TD Timeout MARSHALL, clock 00:28 (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:28: Timeout MARSHALL, clock 00:28 — NCSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:35NCSU 4th & 10 at MRSH 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:53MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:45NCSU 4th & 2 at MRSH 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:45MRSH 4th & 10 at NCSU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:20NCSU 4th & 7 at MRSH 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:14MRSH 4th & 1 at NCSU 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:38MRSH 4th & 2 at NCSU 30, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 39, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:20MRSH 4th & 8 at NCSU 15, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−6.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:05MRSH 4th & 4 at NCSU 12, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−5.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:05NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:12NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:18NCSU 4th & 7 at MRSH 14, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:18MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 34, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:55NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:33NCSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:24NCSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:28NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
29.6%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+19
29.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 19 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
29.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 6 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
29.6%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
29.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
29.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
30.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 26 yds to the MARSHALL 42 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
30.5%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
30.5%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
30.6%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
30.7%
A.J. Cole III punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
31.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 6 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
31.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
31.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
31.1%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
31.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
31.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Nick McCloudSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+6
30.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 46 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 6 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:1568% → 67%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
31.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
31.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 5 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
31.7%
Ryan Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
31.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. Riley, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+13
32.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 13 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
31.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
31.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
31.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 19 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
31.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
31.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
31.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
33.0%
Christopher Dunn 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
33.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 10 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
34.1%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
34.0%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
33.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
32.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:4866% → 71%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
33.6%
Trent Pennix run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
33.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
33.2%
Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the NCSt 37Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
33.0%
Finley, R. rush for 3 yards to the ST48 (THOMPSON, Malik;HANCOCK, Chase), PENALTY MAR offside (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
33.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
50
+46
32.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 46 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
32.3%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.3%
Trent Pennix run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:5129% → 35%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
29.0%
Willie Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+82
34.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 82 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:4466% → 69%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
34.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 23 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
33.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
33.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+19
34.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 19 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
32.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Reggie Gallaspy IISimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
32.7%
Gallaspy, R. rush for loss of 2 yards to the MAR36 (MOODY, Donyae), PENALTY ST illegal motion 5 yards to the MAR39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
33.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Trent PennixSimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+22
34.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 22 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
32.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
32.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for no gain to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-5
33.0%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+5
33.3%
Finley, R. pass complete to Louis, S. for 3 yards to the MAR16 (YOUNG, Juwon), PENALTY MAR offside (TYLER, Ty) 5 yards to the MAR14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
33.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
31.1%
Christopher Dunn 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
32.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
33.1%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.9%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
32.8%
Isaiah Green sacked by James Smith-Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
31.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
31.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jakobi Meyers at the NCSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:0670% → 78%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
30.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+38
30.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 38 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
28.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 16 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
28.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
28.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+8
28.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 8 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.4%
Ryan Finley run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11FUMBLE
13 plays · 31 yds · 1:5524% → 24%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
24.4%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, QB hurry by Bryant, E., PENALTY ST pass interference (McCloud, N.) 10 yards to the MAR47, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
25.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 7
50
+4
25.3%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
25.2%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+6
24.0%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
24.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 6 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
25.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+2
24.5%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+12
24.3%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 44 Isaiah Green fumbled, forced by Tim Kidd-Glass, recovered by NCSt Nick McCloud , return for 12 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:3080% → 87%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
20.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 19 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
19.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
19.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+27
19.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 27 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
16.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 1 yd to the Marsh 9Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
13.5%
Christopher Dunn 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
16.8%
Trent Pennix run for 8 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+8
16.5%
Trent Pennix run for 8 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
16.0%
Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
16.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
16.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
17.2%
A.J. Cole III punt for 32 yds, downed at the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:2018% → 22%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
17.9%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
17.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+23
17.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 23 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
19.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 31 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
20.4%
Tyler King run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 23Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+8
19.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 8 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
19.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
22.2%
Justin Rohrwasser 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4771% → 84%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.3%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
29.9%
Stephen Louis run for 12 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
28.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+32
27.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 32 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
26.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Reggie Gallaspy IISimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
15.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 30 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 4:1920% → 21%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
20.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
20.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+13
19.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 13 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
21.1%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 5
50
0
21.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Ty TylerSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 5
50
+9
21.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 9 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
22.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+23
21.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 23 yds to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
23.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 4 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-5
23.5%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, PENALTY MAR ineligible downfield on pass (LEVIAS, Armani) 5 yards to the ST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
23.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+7
18.0%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
21.2%
Justin Rohrwasser 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
20.2%
Ryan Finley sacked by Channing Hames and Chase Hancock for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
20.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 6 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+13
22.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 43 , Marcel Williams returns for 13 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5621% → 10%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
20.7%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
20.5%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+57
10.1%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted for a TD Jarius Morehead return for 57 yds for a TD Timeout MARSHALL, clock 00:28 (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyler King, broken up by Germaine PrattSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
1.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+2
1.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
1.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jakobi Meyers at the NCSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
2.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
2.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+6
2.2%
Ryan Finley run for 6 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
2.0%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
2.0%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
2.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 5 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
2.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
2.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+4
2.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
2.3%
A.J. Cole III punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Chris Ingram return for no gain to the NCSt 25 MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:3099% → 99%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
1.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 18 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
1.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
1.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+21
1.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 21 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
1.1%
Trent Pennix run for 4 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+4
1.1%
Trent Pennix run for 4 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
1.1%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (Tyler Jones) to the Marsh 14Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
1.1%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
0.7%
Christopher Dunn 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.4%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
0.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 4 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
0.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+9
0.4%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
0.3%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-5
0.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Levi Brown) to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+7
0.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 7 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete, broken up by Alim McNeillSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.4%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+12
0.4%
Tyler King run for 12 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:24
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 30 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q3 0:28
Isaiah Green pass intercepted for a TD Jarius Morehead return for 57 yds for a TD Timeout MARSHALL, clock 00:28 (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q3 0:28
Timeout MARSHALL, clock 00:28
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com