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SC

South Carolina 31 at Florida 35

FLA
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:10 · Joseph Charlton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−3.8Pregame prior+10.8Garbage-time factor−1.2Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:21: Jake Bentley run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:41: Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +13.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:56: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 18 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +12.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:03: Lamical Perine run for 23 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +27.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 4:09: Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +41.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:32FLA 4th & 19 at FLA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:10SC 4th & 2 at SC 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:52FLA 4th & 11 at SC 38, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:03FLA 4th & 14 at SC 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−9.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:13SC 4th & 14 at SC 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:19SC 4th & 8 at FLA 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−9.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:40FLA 4th & 21 at FLA 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:43SC 4th & 6 at SC 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:56SC 4th & 7 at SC 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−3.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:09FLA 4th & 1 at SC 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−6.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−31.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:17SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:51SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:46FLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:58FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:21SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:41SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:56FLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:03FLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:09FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:3835% → 38%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
65.4%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+25
65.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 25 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
65.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
65.1%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
50
+12
65.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 12 yds to the FLORIDA 38 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
64.9%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
64.9%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+8
64.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
64.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+4
64.5%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
64.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 4 yds to the Fla 6Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
64.3%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:2863% → 61%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
62.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
62.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lucas Krull for 10 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
62.5%
Scarlett, Jordan rush for 3 yards to the FLORIDA41, PENALTY SOCAROLINA substitution infraction 5 yards to the FLORIDA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 5
OWN 43
0
62.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-14
62.5%
Feleipe Franks sacked by T.J. Brunson for a loss of 14 yards to the Fla 29 Feleipe Franks fumbled, forced by T.J. Brunson, recovered by Fla Jordan Scarlett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 19
OWN 29
0
61.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 19
OWN 29
0
61.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 1:3439% → 44%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
61.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 15 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
60.8%
A.J. Turner run for 30 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+22
59.9%
A.J. Turner run for 22 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
59.6%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 19Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
55.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kyle Markway for 19 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:4957% → 60%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
57.0%
Kadarius Toney run for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
57.7%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
57.6%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
56.3%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
55.9%
Franks, Feleipe pass complete to Pitts, Kyle for 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA43, PENALTY FLORIDA illegal formation 5 yards to the FLORIDA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+6
55.1%
Feleipe Franks run for 6 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-1
55.3%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the SCaro 38 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jawaan Taylor) to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
54.9%
Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
54.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
54.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
54.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 17 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
54.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 4 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
54.0%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
53.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
52.5%
Franks, Feleipe pass incomplete to Hammond, Josh, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Montac, Steven) 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.8%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3043% → 43%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
56.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
55.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
56.1%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
56.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:0257% → 66%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
56.6%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 26 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Fla Feleipe FranksSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+15
55.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 15 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
57.1%
Kadarius Toney run for 6 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+16
57.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 16 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
57.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 21 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
58.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
57.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keir Thomas) to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
57.8%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
65.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 10 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:2938% → 53%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
61.6%
Mon Denson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+9
60.5%
Mon Denson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
50
+12
58.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
58.1%
Deebo Samuel run for 3 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
57.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+12
58.3%
A.J. Turner run for 12 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
56.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jachai Polite and Kyree Campbell for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 26Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+15
57.3%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to August, Jacob, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Taylor, Jeawon) 15 yards to the FLORIDA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
56.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
56.5%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
57.3%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.0%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:2151% → 50%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
50.5%
Lamical Perine run for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
52.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 11 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
53.2%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
53.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 3 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
52.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
52.4%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+1
51.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
49.5%
Feleipe Franks punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:4653% → 55%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
47.1%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
47.1%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
46.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 7 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
44.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:5247% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
47.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
46.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
47.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 19 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
49.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 25 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
50.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by T.J. Brunson for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
48.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
46.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
43.8%
Evan McPherson 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4257% → 55%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
43.2%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+5
43.6%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-6
43.7%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 14
OWN 20
-4
44.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 31 Kadarius Toney fumbled, recovered by SCaro Deebo SamuelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:4662% → 62%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
38.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
38.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 2 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
37.9%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
38.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
37.6%
Parker White 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 2:3036% → 32%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
37.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
36.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-10
37.6%
Franks, Feleipe rush for 9 yards to the SOCAROLINA49, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Buchanan, Nick) 10 yards to the FLORIDA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 17
OWN 32
0
34.9%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 17
OWN 32
-5
33.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Jawaan Taylor) to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 22
OWN 27
+1
33.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 1 yd to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
31.9%
Tommy Townsend punt for 65 yds, downed at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
5 plays · 93 yds · 1:5465% → 85%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
35.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Donell Stanley) to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 13
OWN 4
0
33.9%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+89
33.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 89 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
28.2%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
15.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4419% → 32%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
19.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Martez Ivey) to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
18.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 15 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
18.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
19.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
18.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
19.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 10 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
20.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
19.9%
Lamical Perine run for 13 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
19.9%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
32.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 18 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0272% → 73%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.9%
A.J. Turner run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
26.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
27.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 7 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
25.4%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
25.2%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-1
25.9%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
27.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 47 yds, downed at the Fla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:2725% → 53%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
24.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+21
24.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 21 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
24.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 14 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
26.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
26.6%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
25.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 6 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
25.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 14 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
53.2%
Lamical Perine run for 23 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:4861% → 60%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
39.1%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+6
38.4%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
37.2%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
37.2%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
38.1%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
39.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Van Jefferson at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2943% → 85%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
43.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
45.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
44.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
45.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+7
46.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
45.8%
Kadarius Toney run for 33 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
48.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (3 Yards) to the SCaro 2Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
48.1%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
46.7%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.7%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4426% → 21%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
74.0%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Edwards, Bryan, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Daley, Dennis) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+9
75.3%
Jake Bentley run for 9 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
79.1%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted CJ Henderson return for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21Uncategorized
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:4589% → 96%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
88.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
90.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+28
89.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 28 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
92.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 10 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:09
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+41.1
TD · Q4 11:03
Lamical Perine run for 23 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+27.8
TD · Q3 4:41
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com