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MIZ

Missouri 38 at Florida 17

FLA
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:12 · Tommy Townsend punt for 43 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for no gain to the Misso 40 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Misso 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−5.0Score differential−2.2Pregame prior+13.0Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:12: Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 22 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:06: Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +17.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:02: Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 41 yds for a TD McCann, Tucker kick attempt failed, PENALTY UF offside (Henderson,C.) 2 yards to the UF1, NO PLAY. (Tucker McCann KICK) FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — MIZ win probability +20.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:00: Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +13.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:20: Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +11.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28FLA 4th & 9 at MIZ 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:49MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18FLA 4th & 6 at MIZ 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:46FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MIZ 4th & 15 at FLA 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:49FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:12FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:54MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 16, up 11
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:32FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:42MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:02FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:00FLA 4th & 3 at MIZ 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    -1.0%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:20FLA 4th & 7 at MIZ 7, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -1.6%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:08MIZ 4th & 5 at FLA 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−3.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:42FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 43, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:39MIZ 4th & 17 at FLA 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:01FLA 4th & 14 at MIZ 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:46MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:12MIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:06MIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:42FLA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:02MIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:00MIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:20FLA Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
68.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+2
68.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
68.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.1%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
68.1%
Drew Lock run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+7
68.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
68.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 52 yds, downed at the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
67.7%
Franks,F. sideline pass incomplete to Jefferson,V., PENALTY MU pass interference (Holmes, Christi) 11 yards to the UF29, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
67.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+17
67.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 17 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
68.0%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
68.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
67.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
67.6%
Tommy Townsend punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
67.4%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 8Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
67.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+3
67.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+20
67.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 30 yds, downed at the Misso 41 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal batting (-10 Yards) to the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2068% → 68%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
67.9%
Kadarius Toney run for 12 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
67.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
67.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
67.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
68.0%
Evan McPherson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:2732% → 37%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+1
67.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 1 yd to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+10
68.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
67.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
67.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
67.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+8
67.2%
Drew Lock run for 8 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
67.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 11 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
63.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 27 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.5%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
65.1%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
64.8%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
64.1%
Tommy Townsend punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:5136% → 36%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+31
63.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 31 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
62.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+7
62.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
62.5%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
62.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, broken up by Shawn DavisSimilar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-5
63.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+5
63.8%
Lock, Drew sideline pass complete to Johnson, Johnat for 7 yards to the UF32, out-of-bounds (Gardner,C.), PENALTY UF offside (Polite,J.) 5 yards to the UF34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-5
63.1%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
63.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 33 yds, downed at the Fla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
63.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for no gain to the Fla 6Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
62.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
62.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+2
62.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 39 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 2 yds to the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:4738% → 46%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
61.6%
Tyler Badie run for 18 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
61.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 3 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
61.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert Okwuegbunam, broken up by Donovan StinerSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
54.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 22 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
55.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
56.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
55.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
55.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 43 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for no gain to the Misso 40 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Misso 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
54.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
54.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
54.6%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
55.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 46 yds, downed at the Fla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
54.4%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
55.1%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
54.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
54.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
53.3%
Tommy Townsend punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:2248% → 67%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
52.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 24 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
50.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-2
50.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 46 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+41
51.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 41 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
50.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Jalen Knox) to the Fla 18Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+8
50.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
50.6%
Drew Lock run for 6 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
32.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2439% → 48%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
39.7%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
38.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
39.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 3
50
+5
40.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
40.1%
Kadarius Toney run for 6 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+27
40.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 27 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
41.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+9
41.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
47.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
44.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for no gain to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
45.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
46.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 59 yds , Freddie Swain returns for no gain to the Fla 31 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (Dameon Pierce) to the Fla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:2843% → 43%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
43.1%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+6
43.8%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
42.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.7%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
41.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Jawaan Taylor) to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
40.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Lamical Perine, broken up by Cam HiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:4860% → 81%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
40.5%
Drew Lock sacked by Chauncey Gardner-Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+2
41.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
41.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 12 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
39.3%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
39.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 7 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+3
39.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 3 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
39.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+41
18.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 41 yds for a TD McCann, Tucker kick attempt failed, PENALTY UF offside (Henderson,C.) 2 yards to the UF1, NO PLAY. (Tucker McCann KICK) FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
22.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
22.5%
Tommy Townsend punt for 56 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 8 yds to the Fla 39 FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyrie Cleveland) to the Fla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:5184% → 98%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
16.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+21
15.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 21 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
15.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Damarea CrockettSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
16.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+12
16.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 12 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
15.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.7%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Fla 4Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:403% → 13%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
2.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 10 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
2.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 20 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
2.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
2.9%
Kadarius Toney run for 5 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
2.9%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
2.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
2.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+13
2.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 13 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
1.3%
Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
13.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 6:1293% → 99%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
6.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 21 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
6.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
6.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Daniel Parker for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
6.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
6.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
6.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-5
6.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Kam Scott) to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
6.3%
Drew Lock run for 8 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
6.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
6.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
6.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
1.5%
Tucker McCann 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:263% → 3%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
3.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
3.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
3.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
3.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
2.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
1.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+9
1.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
1.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
0.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-10
0.9%
Crockett, Damar rush over left end for 4 yards to the UF20 (Johnson,K.), PENALTY MU holding (Pendleton, Kevi) 10 yards to the UF34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-5
1.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 18
OPP 39
+6
1.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 12
OPP 33
-5
1.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 17
OPP 38
0
1.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 64 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+45
1.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 45 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
1.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 7
50
+10
1.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 10 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
1.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
1.2%
Trask,K. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MU47 (Williams, Tre), PENALTY MU holding (Holmes, Christi) 10 yards to the MU30, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-13
1.4%
Kyle Trask sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 23
OPP 43
0
1.2%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 23
OPP 43
+9
1.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 14
OPP 34
0
1.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:02
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 41 yds for a TD McCann, Tucker kick attempt failed, PENALTY UF offside (Henderson,C.) 2 yards to the UF1, NO PLAY. (Tucker McCann KICK) FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-20.5
TD · Q2 6:06
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q3 5:00
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com