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FLA

Florida 17 at Georgia 36

UGA
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+0.7Home team on offense+28.8Garbage-time factor+7.6Score differential+12.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:57: Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +6.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:35: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 36 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +13.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 12 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +11.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:12: Evan McPherson 42 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +6.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:39: Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 24 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UGA win probability +5.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 6FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:11UGA 4th & 4 at FLA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:01UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:06UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:47FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:59UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 20, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:50FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:22FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:11UGA 4th & 9 at FLA 37, up 6
    Close callPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.4
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:07UGA 4th & 1 at FLA 1, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%−4.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−15.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:12FLA 4th & 3 at UGA 25, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%−1.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:13FLA 4th & 15 at FLA 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:50FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 45, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:07UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:57FLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:35FLA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:33UGA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:39UGA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:29UGA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:4472% → 72%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
71.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 5 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
71.8%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
71.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 14 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
71.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 7 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+23
71.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 23 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
71.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
71.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+5
71.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
71.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
71.7%
Jake Fromm sacked by Vosean Joseph for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 12Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
71.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
71.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:3929% → 29%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+32
71.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 12 yds to the Fla 13 Jordan Scarlett fumbled, recovered by Geo Richard LeCounte , return for 32 yds to the Fla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:5372% → 74%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
72.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 14
OPP 17
+1
71.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Fla 16Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+16
73.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 16 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:2627% → 27%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.1%
Lamical Perine run for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
72.9%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
72.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 2 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+13
72.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 13 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
72.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
73.1%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Tyrique McGhee return for 2 yds to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2374% → 74%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
74.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
74.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
74.0%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
73.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 6:5826% → 33%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
74.1%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
73.9%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
74.1%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
74.0%
Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
73.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 7 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
73.6%
Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.5%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
74.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by J.R. ReedSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+10
74.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 10 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
73.2%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
73.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Moral Stephens) to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+7
74.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+7
74.1%
Feleipe Franks run for 7 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+8
74.6%
Franks, Feleipe pass incomplete to Stephens, Moral, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Taylor, Juwan) 8 yards to the GEORGIA15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
73.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 14 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4070% → 68%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
69.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 1 yd to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
68.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
68.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:5831% → 31%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
69.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
69.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 8 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
68.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
68.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
68.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 5 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
67.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Moral StephensSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
68.9%
Tommy Townsend punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2670% → 68%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
69.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+4
69.4%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
68.7%
Mecole Hardman run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+3
67.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 57 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 3 yds to the Fla 23 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (11 Yards) to the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:5531% → 29%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
69.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 4 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+8
69.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
69.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
68.4%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-7
67.8%
Emory Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 29 Emory Jones fumbled, recovered by Fla Emory JonesSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
70.7%
Tommy Townsend punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:4369% → 79%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
68.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 27 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
70.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 7 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+23
71.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 23 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
72.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+9
73.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 9 yds to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley Ridley, broken up by C.J. McWilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
78.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:1030% → 43%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
70.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
69.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
56.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 36 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:5762% → 77%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
62.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 8 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+7
63.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 7 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
63.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+35
63.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 35 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
65.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 4 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
65.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+12
76.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 12 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0327% → 26%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.9%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
73.0%
Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
72.0%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
71.4%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
72.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for no gain to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+26
74.4%
Tommy Townsend punt for 42 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 26 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:0478% → 77%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
77.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
76.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+10
77.2%
Jake Fromm run for 10 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
78.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 7 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-15
78.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Isaac Nauta) to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 18
OPP 46
0
76.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+9
75.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 9 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
77.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 36 yds, downed at the Fla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
78.3%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Fla 1 Feleipe Franks fumbled, forced by Tyrique McGhee, recovered by Geo Tae CrowderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
9 plays · 0 yds · 3:5381% → 86%
Q3 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.2%
Holyfield, Elijah rush for no gain to the FLORIDA1, PENALTY FLORIDA offside 0 yards to the FLORIDA1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
82.6%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 2Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.6%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Holloman, Jeremiah, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (McWilliams, C.J.) 1 yards to the FLORIDA1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.9%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.0%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
86.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:4916% → 20%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
84.7%
Feleipe Franks run for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
83.2%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+15
82.1%
Jones, Emory pass incomplete to Jefferson, Van, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Campbell, Tyson) 15 yards to the GEORGIA32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
83.1%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+5
84.4%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
77.9%
Evan McPherson 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+15
80.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Clark) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2186% → 95%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 15 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
87.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
87.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Elijah HolyfieldSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+15
85.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 15 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah Holloman, broken up by C.J. McWilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+21
88.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 21 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
89.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+24
94.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 24 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:226% → 5%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Jawaan Taylor) to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
94.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
94.6%
Tommy Townsend punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 3:3195% → 99%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
94.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
95.3%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+22
95.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 22 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
96.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-1
96.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+33
99.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 33 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:102% → 2%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Moral Stephens for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
98.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 10 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.2%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-6
98.2%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Julian Rochester for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lucas Krull for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:0599% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 8 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
99.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 8 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:35
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 36 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 10:33
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 12 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+11.1
FG · Q4 11:12
Evan McPherson 42 yd FG GOOD
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com