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FLA

Florida 37 at Vanderbilt 27

VAN
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:48 · Parker Thome punt for 37 yds, downed at the Fla 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior−8.7Home team on offense+4.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:42: Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +9.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:30: Lamical Perine run for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +9.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:23: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 38 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +17.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: Jordan Scarlett run for 48 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +26.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:07: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 11 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +14.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:17VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05FLA 4th & 1 at VAN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:00FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:14FLA 4th & 5 at VAN 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:35FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:48VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:47VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:34FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 12, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−2.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47VAN 4th & 2 at FLA 7, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−12.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:24FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:48VAN 4th & 4 at FLA 42, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−3.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:49VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:10VAN 4th & 6 at FLA 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−11.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:01VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 31, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:55VAN 4th & 15 at FLA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:37FLA 4th & 2 at VAN 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:23VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:59VAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:42VAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:30FLA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:23FLA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:52FLA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:07FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2624% → 24%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
23.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+1
23.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
24.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+2
24.3%
Parker Thome punt for 48 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 2 yds to the Fla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2INT
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:5376% → 75%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
24.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 14 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
24.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 13 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
24.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 12 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
24.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
24.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
25.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+3
25.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
25.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
25.4%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Joejuan Williams return for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
10 plays · 98 yds · 3:3726% → 31%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+43
26.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 43 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
26.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
27.1%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
27.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Sam Dobbs for 8 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
27.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+15
28.1%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 15 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
28.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trey Dean III) to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
28.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Fla 1Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 1 yd for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 6:5869% → 68%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
30.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Stone Edwards for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+16
31.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 16 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
31.4%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
31.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 4 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
31.6%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
32.5%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 47Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
33.0%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
32.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 12 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
32.1%
Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+6
31.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 6 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
32.0%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+9
32.2%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
32.8%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Vandy 6Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
32.9%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
34.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
32.0%
Evan McPherson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
38.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 75 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0061% → 59%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
38.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
39.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
39.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
39.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+7
40.6%
Tommy Townsend punt for 52 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 7 yds to the Vandy 46 VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:3541% → 44%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
41.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 7Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
41.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+10
41.8%
Shurmur, Kyle pass incomplete to Ellis, Trey, PENALTY FLORIDA holding 10 yards to the VANDERBILT19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
43.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+2
43.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+5
45.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 5 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
45.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+33
44.3%
Parker Thome punt for 50 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 33 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · -31 yds · 2:0056% → 53%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
44.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-6
43.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+11
45.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-10
44.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 20
OPP 34
+3
47.0%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 35 yards to the Fla 28 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Vandy , return for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:3551% → 61%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
50.8%
Khari Blasingame run for 9 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
51.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
51.2%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 15 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (8 Yards) to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari BlasingameSimilar
Q2 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
61.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1241% → 48%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
59.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
59.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
60.1%
Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
50
+6
59.4%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+4
58.9%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
59.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
59.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 9 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
58.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
58.7%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Louis Vecchio for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 17
OPP 37
+11
63.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 11 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+19
61.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 19 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
52.2%
Lamical Perine run for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3556% → 56%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
56.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey EllisSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
56.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
55.7%
Parker Thome punt for 48 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 1 yd to the Fla 25 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:3442% → 50%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
58.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+5
58.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.5%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+63
60.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 63 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
56.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
49.6%
Evan McPherson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0945% → 41%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
55.5%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 10Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+2
56.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
58.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
59.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:4061% → 63%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
61.1%
Shurmur, Kyle pass incomplete to Pinkney, Jared, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Stiner, Donovan) 15 yards to the FLORIDA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
61.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 9 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
62.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
62.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Donaven TennysonSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
62.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 10 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
63.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 4 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-1
64.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+5
63.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 5 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
62.8%
Ryley Guay 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:0339% → 55%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
61.7%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
63.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
61.6%
Lamical Perine run for 7 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
60.2%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
62.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+18
66.2%
Tommy Townsend run for 18 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
62.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
62.0%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+38
44.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 38 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:2750% → 53%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+22
50.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 22 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
55.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
55.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
55.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
53.0%
Parker Thome punt for 37 yds, downed at the Fla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 2:4049% → 77%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
51.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 8 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+3
51.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
51.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
52.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+26
53.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Moral Stephens for 26 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
49.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+48
23.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 48 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5630% → 28%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-12
30.1%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the Vandy 13 VANDERBILT Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
30.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+16
28.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 16 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
28.0%
Parker Thome punt for 45 yds , Freddie Swain returns for no gain to the Fla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:2975% → 76%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
24.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-4
23.6%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 28 Dameon Pierce fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3838% → 39%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
37.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
37.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
35.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
39.3%
Ryley Guay 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5066% → 89%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
33.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
30.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
28.5%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
28.6%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
27.4%
Kadarius Toney run for 27 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
25.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
25.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
26.1%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
11.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 11 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22FG
18 plays · 42 yds · 4:0313% → 19%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
12.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+7
11.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 7 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+9
11.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 9 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
12.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 7 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
13.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
12.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 4 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
13.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Donaven TennysonSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
13.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Sam DobbsSimilar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+20
12.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 20 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
15.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+4
11.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 4 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 16
OPP 35
-5
13.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 21
OPP 40
0
11.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 21
OPP 40
+6
10.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trey Ellis for 6 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+53
18.7%
Ryley Guay 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 2:5787% → 98%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
11.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
12.1%
Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
8.9%
Lamical Perine run for 25 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
4.5%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
2.2%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-1
2.4%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+43
2.1%
Evan McPherson 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:203% → 3%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
3.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 11 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
3.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Chauncey Gardner-Johnson return for 1 yd to the Fla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:52
Jordan Scarlett run for 48 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-26.3
TD · Q3 5:23
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 38 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-17.2
TD · Q4 8:07
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 11 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com