Try the model
UK

Kentucky 27 at Florida 16

FLA
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:15 · Tommy Townsend punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+22.8Home team on offense+3.8Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:49: Terry Wilson run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +15.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:11: Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 54 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +21.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. MISSED FG · Q3 1:13: Evan McPherson 36 yd FG MISSED — UK win probability +7.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:34: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FLA win probability +22.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:34: Evan McPherson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — UK win probability +10.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 9:51FLA 4th & 9 at UK 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:03FLA 4th & 10 at UK 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−3.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:03UK 4th & 2 at UK 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:15FLA 4th & 2 at UK 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:42FLA 4th & 15 at FLA 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−3.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:13FLA 4th & 7 at UK 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−9.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:14UK 4th & 9 at UK 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−3.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:18UK 4th & 8 at FLA 38, up 11
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−0.8
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:15FLA 4th & 7 at UK 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−1.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:04UK 4th & 6 at FLA 42, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−2.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:07UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:27FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:49UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:11UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:34FLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.4%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 41 yds · 5:0986% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Derrick Baity Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
85.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 11 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
85.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
85.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
85.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 11 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
85.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
85.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
85.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-2
85.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
85.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
84.3%
Tommy Townsend punt for 25 yds, downed at the Kent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:3316% → 20%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
84.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
84.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+6
84.2%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
84.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 9 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+14
84.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 14 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
83.9%
Terry Wilson run for 31 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
83.7%
Benny Snell rush over left end for no gain to the UF23, PENALTY UK holding (Josh Ali) 10 yards to the UF33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+4
83.8%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+29
79.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 29 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:0080% → 79%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
80.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 7 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
80.5%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+1
80.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
80.5%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
80.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+30
80.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 30 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
81.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 13 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
81.5%
Franks,F. post pass incomplete to Hammond,J. (Darius West), PENALTY UK holding (Jordan Griffin) 10 yards to the UK12, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
81.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the Kent 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 3
-9
78.7%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Phil Hoskins for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
78.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
79.2%
Evan McPherson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.8%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
78.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
78.5%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
78.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
78.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 1 yd to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+25
78.5%
Max Duffy punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 37 , Freddie Swain returns for 25 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
78.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 2 yds to the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:0878% → 82%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
77.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Malik Davis for 6 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+15
78.6%
Davis,M. rush up middle for loss of 6 yards to the UF37 (Tymere Dubose), PENALTY UK face mask (Tymere Dubose) 15 yards to the UK42, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
78.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 16 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
79.5%
Kadarius Toney run for 8 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+18
82.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Moral Stephens for 18 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:0019% → 21%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
81.0%
Terry Wilson run for 14 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
80.8%
Asim Rose rush up middle for 2 yards to the UK33 (Slaton,T.;Joseph,V.), PENALTY UF offside (Gardner,C.) 5 yards to the UK36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+7
80.1%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by CJ HendersonSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
80.3%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+18
80.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 18 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
78.9%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
78.9%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Fla 33 Terry Wilson fumbled, forced by James Houston IV, recovered by Fla Jeremiah MoonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0080% → 81%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
80.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+5
81.4%
Franks,F. sideline pass complete to Hammond,J. for 4 yards to the UF42 (Lonnie Johnson;Mike Edwards), PENALTY UK offside (Calvin Taylor) 5 yards to the UF43, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
81.5%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
81.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
80.7%
Tommy Townsend punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
80.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (T.J. Carter) to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
81.2%
Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8INT
5 plays · 58 yds · 0:0020% → 23%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+44
80.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 44 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
78.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
77.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+6
78.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
77.3%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted CJ Henderson return for no gain to the Fla 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
77.8%
Team run for no gain to the Fla 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 5:0623% → 42%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
77.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
77.3%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Benny Snell Jr., broken up by Kylan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+19
78.1%
Terry Wilson run for 19 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
76.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
75.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+13
75.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 13 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
74.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
73.8%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
73.7%
Asim Rose run for 9 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
58.0%
Terry Wilson run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
63.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
64.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+10
62.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
63.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
63.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
66.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Martez Ivey) to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
64.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 15
OWN 43
0
63.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 15
OWN 43
0
62.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
61.5%
Tommy Townsend punt for 35 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:2442% → 64%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
57.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 14 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
56.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 16 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
54.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 15
OWN 47
-2
56.3%
Terry Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 45 KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+1
57.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+54
35.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 54 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:5837% → 33%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland, broken up by Lonnie Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.4%
Franks,F. deep pass incomplete to Jefferson,V., PENALTY UK pass interference (Lonnie Johnson) 15 yards to the UF40, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+19
37.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Chris Westry) to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
40.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+19
40.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 19 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
42.3%
Kadarius Toney run for 2 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
42.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
40.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
32.7%
Evan McPherson 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:5967% → 69%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
32.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
32.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
28.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-9
29.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 31 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (G Asafoadjei) to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+7
30.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+4
30.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 4 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
31.0%
Max Duffy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
25.2%
Malik Davis run for 10 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
25.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
25.6%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Darius West return for 15 yds to the Fla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2179% → 83%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
20.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
20.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-2
15.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-5
18.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (Terry Wilson) to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
17.1%
Max Duffy punt for 37 yds, downed at the Fla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
17 plays · 99 yds · 5:2216% → 37%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+19
16.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 19 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
16.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
16.5%
Lamical Perine run for 13 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
17.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney, broken up by Mike EdwardsSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
17.3%
Lamical Perine run for 15 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
19.3%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 47 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Fla Feleipe FranksSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+18
18.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 18 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
22.1%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 13
OPP 38
-15
19.3%
Franks,F. crossing pass incomplete to Toney,K., PENALTY UF pass interference (Swain,F.) 15 yards to the UF47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 28
OWN 47
0
17.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 28
OWN 47
+21
16.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 21 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+18
12.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 18 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
16.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Derrick Baity Jr.Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
16.7%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+7
14.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 7 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:3079% → 87%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
18.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
17.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+20
19.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 20 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
14.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+2
10.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+1
11.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
12.8%
Max Duffy punt for 36 yds, downed at the Fla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:299% → 3%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+19
9.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Malik Davis for 19 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
2.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Josh Allen for 0 yards Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Kent Davonte Robinson , return for 0 yards , return for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:34
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+22.8
TD · Q3 4:11
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 54 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
-21.5
TD · Q3 9:49
Terry Wilson run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
-15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com