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2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:49 · Kyle Reighard punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+41.5Home team on offense+22.9Score differential+18.9Blowout margin+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Garbage-time factor+4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:40: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 34 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — CHSO win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 8:10: Evan McPherson 21 yd FG GOOD — CHSO win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:19: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:51: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:49: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 3 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CHSO made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00FLA 4th & 1 at CHSO 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40CHSO 4th & 13 at CHSO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10FLA 4th & 4 at CHSO 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:03CHSO 4th & 8 at CHSO 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:55FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:37CHSO 4th & 14 at CHSO 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:14CHSO 4th & 1 at CHSO 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:51CHSO 4th & 12 at CHSO 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:49CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00CHSO 4th & 6 at FLA 6, down 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:58FLA 4th & 10 at CHSO 14, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:53CHSO 4th & 4 at CHSO 18, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:48FLA 4th & 10 at CHSO 22, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CHSO 4th & 1 at FLA 42, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:38FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 28, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:38CHSO 4th & 14 at CHSO 34, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:39FLA 4th & 2 at CHSO 49, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:29CHSO 4th & 21 at FLA 35, down 47
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CHSO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:40FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:19FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:51FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:49FLA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:38FLA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:28FLA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:40CHSO Touchdown, down 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
Josh Hammond run for 11 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
99.4%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, personal foul (Edward King) to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.4%
Franks,F. crossing pass incomplete, PENALTY CSU offside (BROWN, S.) 5 yards to the CSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
99.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
99.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 34 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.3%
London Johnson sacked by Chauncey Gardner-Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the ChaSo 18Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+4
99.3%
Ronnie Harris run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
London Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie HarrisSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Kyle Reighard punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
99.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 10 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+46
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 46 yds to the ChaSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 4Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.3%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the ChaSo 4Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.1%
Evan McPherson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.1%
Ronnie Harris run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-6
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 32 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Ronnie HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+6
99.1%
London Johnson run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Kyle Reighard punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.0%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
99.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Malik Davis for 8 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.0%
Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
99.0%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.0%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by James AllenSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
98.9%
Tommy Townsend punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taz Lindsey at the ChaSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.7%
Ronnie Harris run for no gain to the ChaSo 15Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
98.8%
Ronnie Harris run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 16Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
98.8%
London Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 9
OWN 16
-5
98.8%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 11Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+7
98.8%
Kyle Reighard punt for 39 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 7 yds to the ChaSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:3199% → 99%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+13
98.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 13 yds to the ChaSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
98.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+7
98.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 7 yds to the ChaSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
98.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 7 yds to the ChaSo 6Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.9%
London Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Ronnie Harris run for no gain to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.9%
London Johnson run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
98.9%
London Johnson run for no gain to the ChaSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
99.0%
Lamical Perine run for 23 yds to the ChaSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.0%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 1Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 6Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Jonathan SlatonSimilar
Q2 9:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.2%
Terrence Wilson run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
London Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
London Johnson pass complete to Kameron Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+10
99.2%
Kyle Reighard punt for 47 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 10 yds to the Fla 33 FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:1799% → 100%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 12 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 11 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lucas Krull for 3 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+30
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lucas Krull for 30 yds to the ChaSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 3 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.7%
Terrence Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the ChaSo 18Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+1
99.7%
Ronnie Harris run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+9
99.7%
London Johnson run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Kyle Reighard punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.8%
Malik Davis run for 16 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 12 yds to the ChaSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
99.8%
Malik Davis run for 16 yds to the ChaSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
99.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Dre Massey for 18 yds to the ChaSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 3 yds for a TD CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 77 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.8%
London Johnson pass complete to Taz Lindsey for 5 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+70
99.9%
Ronnie Harris run for 70 yds to the Fla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.8%
Terrence Wilson run for 2 yds to the Fla 6Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
London Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie Harris, broken up by Jachai PoliteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
London Johnson pass incomplete to Kameron Brown, broken up by CJ HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
99.7%
Tyler Tekac 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Zachary CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Geoffrey Wall run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
London Johnson sacked by Chauncey Gardner-Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
London Johnson run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
99.8%
London Johnson run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 14 London Johnson fumbled, forced by Jachai Polite, recovered by Fla Tedarrell Slaton , return for 22 yds to the ChaSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-16
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the ChaSo 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Kyle TraskSimilar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 26
OPP 30
+4
99.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 4 yds to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 22
OPP 26
+12
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 12 yds to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Evan McPherson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
Ronnie Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 17Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
London Johnson run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 18Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
99.9%
London Johnson pass incomplete to Saire DavisSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Kyle Reighard punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 27 yds to the ChaSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 6 yds to the ChaSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Kyle Trask run for 12 yds for a TD (Jorge Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
London Johnson pass complete to Kameron Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Adam Shuler IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.9%
Kyle Trask run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-3
99.9%
Kyle Trask run for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Iverson Clement run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Jorge Powell 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:080% → 0%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
London Johnson pass incomplete to Saire DavisSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
London Johnson run for no gain to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
100.0%
London Johnson run for 13 yds to the ChaSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Jack Chambers run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Terrence Wilson run for 10 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Terrence Wilson run for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Terrence Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Terrence Wilson run for no gain to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+15
100.0%
London Johnson run for 15 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
London Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
100.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (Tanner Rowell) to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
100.0%
Terrence Wilson run for 22 yds for a TD (Tyler Tekac PAT MISSED) (Tyler Tekac PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Austin Perry return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-6
99.9%
Emory Jones sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 33 Emory Jones fumbled, recovered by Fla Emory Jones , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
Emory Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tommy Townsend punt for 53 yds, downed at the ChaSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Terrence Wilson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-10
100.0%
JOHNSON, L. rush over right end for 1 yard to the CSU22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CSU holding (SMITH, B.) 10 yards to the CSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+27
100.0%
London Johnson run for 27 yds to the ChaSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Adam Allen run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Adam Allen run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 43Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-9
100.0%
London Johnson sacked by Ventrell Miller for a loss of 9 yards to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Kyle Reighard punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Emory Jones , return for no gain to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+19
100.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 19 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
100.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 12 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
100.0%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-2
100.0%
Jeawon Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 25INT
11 plays · 14 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
100.0%
Jack Chambers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+15
100.0%
Jack Chambers run for 15 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
100.0%
Chanin Hamilton run for 2 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-7
100.0%
Geoffrey Wall run for 3 yds to the Fla 31 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 5 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+12
100.0%
Jack Chambers run for 12 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
100.0%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Chanin Hamilton for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 14
OPP 28
-7
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Jack ChambersSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 21
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 21
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Jack Chambers pass intercepted John Huggins return for no gain to the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
100.0%
Isaac Ricks run for 9 yds to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:19
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 9:51
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 5:49
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 3 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com