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WKU

Western Kentucky 17 at Georgia State 27

GAST
2017 · AutoNation Cure Bowl · Dec 16, 2017 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:34 · Jake Collins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chandon Sullivan at the GeoSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense+1.6Pregame prior+9.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:29: Deon Yelder 54 Yd pass from Mike White (Ryan Nuss Kick) — WKU win probability +2.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:18: Demarcus Kirk 26 Yd Run (Brandon Wright Kick) — GAST win probability +3.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:55: Roger Carter 42 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Brandon Wright Kick) — GAST win probability +15.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:50: Kyler Neal 1 Yd Run (Brandon Wright Kick) — GAST win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:34: Deon Yelder 4 Yd pass from Mike White (Ryan Nuss Kick) — WKU win probability +4.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:04WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:07GAST 4th & 17 at WKU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:21WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:34WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:18WKU 4th & 5 at GAST 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:07GAST 4th & 9 at WKU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:34WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:27GAST 4th & 10 at WKU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:20GAST 4th & 11 at WKU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    40% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:45GAST 4th & 1 at WKU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−2.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−9.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:41WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:19WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−3.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:22GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:35GAST 4th & 1 at WKU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−3.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:31GAST 4th & 13 at WKU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:29WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:18GAST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:55GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:50GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:34WKU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4836% → 36%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.5%
White, Mike pass complete to Fant, Nacarius for 15 yards to the WESTERNKY40, PENALTY WESTERNKY ineligible downfield on pass (Witt, Tyler) 5 yards to the WESTERNKY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
64.5%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 11 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
64.4%
Mike White sacked by Chase Middleton for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
64.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
64.5%
Jake Collins punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:5064% → 65%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
64.4%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
64.6%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+18
64.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 18 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
64.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Devin Gentry for 10 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
64.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 9 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+4
64.8%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
64.9%
Smith, Glenn rush for 8 yards to the WESTERNKY10, PENALTY GEORGIAST holding (Mobley, Gabe) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
64.8%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+5
64.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chris Johnson) to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+4
64.6%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 11
OPP 19
-6
64.6%
Conner Manning sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 17
OPP 25
+42
64.5%
Brandon Wright 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3135% → 38%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
64.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 21 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
62.1%
Deon Yelder 54 Yd pass from Mike White (Ryan Nuss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:0062% → 66%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
62.4%
Devin Gentry run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
62.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 49 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
65.7%
Demarcus Kirk 26 Yd Run (Brandon Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 4:3235% → 35%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
64.6%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
64.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-11
64.1%
Mike White sacked by Terry Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 34 Mike White fumbled, forced by Terry Thomas, recovered by WKent Matt Nord , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+15
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 15 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
64.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
63.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
63.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-7
63.7%
Mike White sacked by Mackendy Cheridor for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
65.2%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chandon Sullivan at the GeoSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3264% → 64%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
64.4%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+6
64.3%
Conner Manning run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 26 Conner Manning fumbled, forced by Masai Whyte, recovered by WKent Joe BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2937% → 38%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
62.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
62.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+3
63.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 3 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
61.8%
Ryan Nuss 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:5863% → 65%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
63.3%
Conner Manning sacked by Joel Iyiegbuniwe for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 18
OWN 17
-2
63.1%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+33
62.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 18 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Antwon Kincade) to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
64.7%
Conner Manning run for 9 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
65.1%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+7
64.7%
Demarcus Kirk run for 7 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
65.1%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Hart, Penny, PENALTY WESTERNKY roughing passer (Lewis, Julien) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY21, Lewis, Julien ejected for targeting, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIAST.Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
65.5%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+2
65.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
64.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari WertsSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
64.7%
Brandon Wright 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1836% → 34%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
64.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+1
64.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
65.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
66.5%
Jake Collins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chandon Sullivan at the GeoSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:0167% → 65%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
66.5%
Conner Manning run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
67.0%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 1
50
+1
66.7%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
67.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 11
50
+1
66.5%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
65.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
64.5%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 45 yds, downed at the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FUMBLE
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:2235% → 41%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
65.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+3
65.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+5
66.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
64.6%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
64.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+14
65.2%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 14 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+21
64.2%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 21 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
60.3%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
58.6%
Mike White sacked by Mackendy Cheridor for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSt 46, Mike White fumbled, forced by Mackendy Cheridor, recovered by GeoSt Chase Middleton at the GeoSt 45, return for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47, Chase Middleton fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Chase Middleton at the WKent 48, return for 12 yds to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3068% → 64%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
67.5%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
67.4%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-1
66.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+25
63.7%
Brandon Wright 54 yd FG RETURNED , Xavier Lane return for 25 yds to the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
63.9%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:1065% → 68%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
64.8%
Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+14
65.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 14 yds to the GeoSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
66.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Devin Gentry for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+12
66.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 12 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+9
65.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 9 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+33
66.5%
Glenn Smith run for 33 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
69.8%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-4
69.9%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
68.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 10 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
68.0%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5435% → 36%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
65.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
63.5%
Mike White pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 6 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
64.1%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 7 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
61.7%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
62.2%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
64.3%
Jake Collins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3867% → 83%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
66.7%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
67.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jonathan IfediSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
65.8%
Conner Manning run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
67.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 27 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
82.8%
Roger Carter 42 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Brandon Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 2:2319% → 16%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
80.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
81.1%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 8
OWN 8
-4
82.0%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the WKent 4Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+16
82.6%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 16 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-8
81.2%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 4 yds to the WKent 24 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dennis Edwards) to the WKent 12Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 18
OWN 12
-5
81.7%
Mike White sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 7Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 23
OWN 7
0
83.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 23
OWN 7
0
83.7%
Jake Collins punt for 62 yds, downed at the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4483% → 83%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
82.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 6 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-2
83.5%
Devin Gentry run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
83.0%
Conner Manning run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
82.6%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2518% → 15%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
82.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 7 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
81.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
82.6%
White, Mike rush for 15 yards to the GEORGIAST46, PENALTY WESTERNKY holding (Spencer, Cole) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
84.6%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 20
OWN 29
-1
85.0%
Nacarius Fant pass intercepted Jerome Smith return for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
21 plays · 74 yds · 8:5385% → 98%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
85.0%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+19
84.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 19 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
85.8%
Smith, Glenn rush for 7 yards to the WESTERNKY48, PENALTY GEORGIAST holding 10 yards to the GEORGIAST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
85.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Devin GentrySimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 20
OWN 35
-5
85.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (Shamarious Gilmore) to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 25
OWN 30
+7
85.0%
Glenn Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+5
84.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+12
85.2%
Conner Manning run for 12 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
86.8%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.5%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
88.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 9 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
88.5%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
89.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 23 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
91.0%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+6
91.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 6 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
91.8%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.6%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.1%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Kyler Neal 1 Yd Run (Brandon Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 3:033% → 7%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+24
97.1%
Mike White pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 24 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
97.6%
Mike White sacked by Hardrick Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+19
97.9%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 19 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
97.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+24
97.3%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 24 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.2%
Deon Yelder 4 Yd pass from Mike White (Ryan Nuss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:5796% → 96%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
95.5%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+2
96.2%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+1
96.1%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 8
OPP 44
-5
96.3%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
96.2%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:473% → 5%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
96.9%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 24 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
96.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 16 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
96.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.4%
Mike White pass intercepted Chase Middleton return for no gain to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:55
Roger Carter 42 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Brandon Wright Kick)
+15.6
TD · Q4 5:50
Kyler Neal 1 Yd Run (Brandon Wright Kick)
+5
TD · Q4 2:34
Deon Yelder 4 Yd pass from Mike White (Ryan Nuss Kick)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com