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BYU

BYU 30 at Hawai'i 20

HAW
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-9.4HAW 12.1%Andrew Mikkelsen 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 23 - HOME 13 · Q4 6:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:21 · Andrew Mikkelsen 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−27.4Score differential−10.7Garbage-time factor−11.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.0Pregame prior−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:31: Squally Canada run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond PAT MISSED) — BYU win probability +5.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:34: Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 11 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST down — BYU win probability +8.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:39: Joe Critchlow pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mikkelsen KICK) — BYU win probability +16.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:23: Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 15 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch PAT BLOCKED) — HAW win probability +7.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:21: Andrew Mikkelsen 35 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +9.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BYU made the numbers' call on 0 of 8
  1. Q1 12:22HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:16HAW 4th & 3 at BYU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:59BYU 4th & 12 at HAW 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.9%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:25HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:31HAW 4th & 5 at BYU 49, down 6
    Close callPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:23BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 26, up 6
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:17BYU 4th & 4 at HAW 25, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:02BYU 4th & 1 at HAW 9, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%−2.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−10.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 41, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:35BYU 4th & 9 at HAW 35, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:31HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:39HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 42, down 13
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:21BYU 4th & 2 at HAW 18, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%−1.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−10.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:32HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:09BYU 4th & 1 at HAW 46, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%−0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    23% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:27BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:31BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:39BYU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:23HAW Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:46BYU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:48HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:3355% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
45.3%
Squally Canada run for 22 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
45.3%
Squally Canada run for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
45.3%
Austin Kafentzis run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+16
45.3%
Austin Kafentzis run for 16 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
44.7%
Squally Canada run for 40 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
44.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
44.9%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
44.8%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+5
44.7%
Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 5 yds to the BYU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
44.6%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
44.5%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
44.6%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
44.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 46 yds, downed at the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:4245% → 45%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
44.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 13 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+44
44.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 44 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
45.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint JusteSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
45.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+2
44.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+2
44.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5256% → 53%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.6%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
43.8%
Squally Canada run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
43.5%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 13 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
43.0%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 2 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
43.0%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+42
46.6%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Trayvon Henderson for a loss of 6 yards Joe Critchlow fumbled, recovered by Hawa Solomon Matautia , return for 0 yards , return for 42 yds, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 8:0553% → 60%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
47.3%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+13
47.2%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 13 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
46.9%
Austin Kafentzis run for 4 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
46.4%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
46.4%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
50
+3
46.1%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
46.2%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Austin Kafentzis for 8 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
46.1%
Austin Kafentzis run for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
45.2%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
45.8%
Austin Kafentzis run for 4 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
45.2%
Austin Kafentzis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-2
45.4%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
46.4%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+18
48.3%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 18 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
45.4%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Meffy Koloamatangi) to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+2
45.4%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
40.3%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 5:5443% → 40%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
42.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 7 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
43.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
42.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
43.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+12
42.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 12 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
43.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+2
42.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 2 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
44.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
50
+1
44.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 1 yd to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
44.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Khyiris TongaSimilar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
40.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
39.2%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
39.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by Daniel Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+6
39.9%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Squally Canada for 6 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
38.8%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
39.0%
Austin Kafentzis run for 5 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
38.3%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Austin KafentzisSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+8
39.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 50 yds , Dylan Collie returns for 8 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0039% → 42%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
39.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 7 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
41.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kumoku NoaSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+15
39.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 15 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
41.9%
Dru Brown sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 42 Dru Brown fumbled, recovered by BYU Merrill Taliauli , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:3266% → 65%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
33.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 11 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
33.3%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+15
35.5%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Matt Bushman for 15 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
34.3%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+7
36.4%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Talon Shumway for 7 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
33.8%
Austin Kafentzis run for 1 yd to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
33.8%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+8
34.6%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 8 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+26
35.5%
Rhett Almond 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
39.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
40.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+11
40.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 11 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
40.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
42.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
42.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Dayan GhanwolokuSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
41.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 44 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 1 yd to the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
37.3%
Austin Kafentzis run for 5 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+7
36.8%
Joe Critchlow run for 7 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
36.5%
Austin Kafentzis run for 18 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
34.7%
Austin Kafentzis run for 8 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
34.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+10
34.7%
Austin Kafentzis run for 10 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
34.3%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
34.0%
Riley Burt run for 5 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 3
OPP 29
-6
34.5%
BYU Penalty, false start (Austin Chambers) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
34.8%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by David ManoaSimilar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+8
36.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
39.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 8 yds Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled,Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+8
41.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 8 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
41.5%
HAWAII Penalty, tripping (Dakota Torres) to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 25
OWN 28
0
38.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+5
38.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 5 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 20
OWN 33
0
37.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Chris WilcoxSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 20
OWN 33
+7
36.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 38 yds , Tanner Jacobson returns for 7 yds to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1868% → 87%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
31.9%
Austin Kafentzis run for 2 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
31.0%
Austin Kafentzis run for no gain to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+37
31.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Matt Bushman for 37 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
29.5%
Austin Kafentzis run for 8 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
29.5%
Austin Kafentzis run for 1 yd to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
30.2%
Joe Critchlow run for 4 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
29.5%
Riley Burt run for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
12.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mikkelsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
20.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
20.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Corbin KaufusiSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
19.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ryan Tuiasoa for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-2
19.7%
Stan Gaudion punt for 37 yds , Michael Shelton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 19 Michael Shelton fumbled, forced by Noah Borden, recovered by Hawa Dakota Torres , return for no gain to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:3723% → 30%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
23.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 4 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+9
23.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
23.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
23.0%
Dru Brown sacked by Sione Takitaki and Khyiris Tonga for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
30.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 15 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:5675% → 88%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
25.0%
Austin Kafentzis run for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
24.7%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 9 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
24.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Eugene Ford) to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
22.2%
Austin Kafentzis run for 5 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
21.6%
Austin Kafentzis run for 3 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
21.9%
Riley Burt run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
21.5%
Riley Burt run for 14 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
20.8%
Riley Burt run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
20.8%
Joe Critchlow run for 4 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
21.6%
Riley Burt run for no gain to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
12.1%
Andrew Mikkelsen 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:4312% → 9%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
12.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 15 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
13.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
12.6%
HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-5
11.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+9
11.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 9 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+7
11.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 7 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-1
9.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:4191% → 98%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+31
8.6%
Riley Burt run for 21 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Solomon Matautia) to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
8.3%
Joe Critchlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
2.4%
Riley Burt run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mikkelsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:582% → 8%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
2.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 13 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
2.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 14 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
2.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 19 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
3.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+24
3.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 24 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:3895% → 96%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
4.6%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+4
4.8%
Riley Burt run for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+8
4.5%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+3
3.8%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:39
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mikkelsen KICK)
-16.7
FG · Q4 6:21
Andrew Mikkelsen 35 yd FG GOOD
-9.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:34
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 11 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST down
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com