Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 23 at UNLV 31

UNLV
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Sam Boyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:07 · Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:53: Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 20 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +18.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:22: Johnny Stanton pass complete to Brandon Presley for 52 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +18.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:40: Johnny Stanton pass complete to Kendal Keys for 10 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +15.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:23: Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +7.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:46: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +11.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 9HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01HAW 4th & 11 at UNLV 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:57UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:30HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:18UNLV 4th & 20 at HAW 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:30HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:16HAW 4th & 5 at UNLV 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:33UNLV 4th & 17 at HAW 25, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17HAW 4th & 8 at UNLV 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:59HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:59UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:22HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−4.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:53UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−3.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−14.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:38UNLV 4th & 2 at HAW 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−2.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:53UNLV 4th & 6 at HAW 15, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−5.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:15HAW 4th & 10 at UNLV 10, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:18UNLV 4th & 12 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:01UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:53HAW Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:22UNLV Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:40UNLV Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:23UNLV Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:46HAW Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
68.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
68.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 39 yds , Jericho Flowers returns for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:5768% → 69%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
68.1%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Kendal Keys for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
68.1%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 19 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
68.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
68.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 5 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
68.2%
Johnny Stanton run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
68.2%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+19
68.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 19 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.4%
Johnny Stanton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
68.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
68.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 7 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
68.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+10
68.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 10 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
68.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
68.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-1
68.7%
Dru Brown sacked by Mike Hughes Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
69.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.7%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
69.6%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Brandon Presley for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
69.5%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Brandon Presley for 9 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
69.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
70.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
69.9%
Drew Tejchman run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
69.6%
Evan Pantels punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
70.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
69.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Dalton BakerSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
70.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 2 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
70.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jericho Flowers at the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
71.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 16 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
71.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for 14 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
71.3%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 15
OPP 35
-5
70.9%
Johnny Stanton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 20
OPP 40
0
70.4%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Eugene FordSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
69.9%
Evan Pantels punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
70.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
69.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint JusteSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+7
70.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
70.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 51 yds, downed at the UNLV 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:2271% → 71%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
70.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
70.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
71.0%
ROGERS, Armani pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY UH pass interference (FARRIS, R.) 15 yards to the UNLV40, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
71.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
71.8%
Darren Woods Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
71.4%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
70.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 6:3029% → 34%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
70.8%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
70.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
70.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
70.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+10
69.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
69.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+7
69.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 7 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
69.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 18 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
68.4%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 5 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
68.4%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
69.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
66.4%
Alex Trifonovitch 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10INT
13 plays · 50 yds · 4:4368% → 68%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
68.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 16 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
69.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-4
69.1%
Armani Rogers sacked by Solomon Matautia for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+21
67.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 21 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
70.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
70.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+16
69.9%
Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
70.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
70.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Solomon MatautiaSimilar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-9
70.0%
Armani Rogers sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 17
OPP 25
+50
68.4%
Armani Rogers pass intercepted Solomon Matautia return for 40 yds to the Hawa 0 HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (Russell Williams Jr.) to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:0432% → 36%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
68.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 37 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
65.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 8 yds Keelan Ewaliko fumbled, forced by Jericho Flowers,Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-10
65.0%
SAINT JUSTE, D. rush for 4 yards to the UNLV11 (HUGHES JR., Mik), PENALTY UH holding (POSA, Chris) 10 yards to the UNLV25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+4
65.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 4 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
66.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Robert JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
64.3%
Alex Trifonovitch 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
67.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
63.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-10
63.0%
SAINT JUSTE, D. rush for 5 yards to the UNLV44 (DEHDASHTIAN, Ni), PENALTY UH holding (POSA, Chris) 10 yards to the UH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+7
65.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
64.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 14:59
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
66.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 yds, downed at the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
66.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
66.3%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-6
65.1%
STANTON, Johnny pass complete to KEYS, Kendal for 9 yards to the UNLV21, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (KEYS, Kendal) 6 yards to the UNLV6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+8
64.9%
Johnny Stanton run for 8 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+11
64.3%
Evan Pantels punt for 43 yds , Dylan Collie returns for 11 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2538% → 58%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
62.2%
BROWN, Dru pass incomplete to COLLIE, Dylan, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (BAKER, Dalton) 15 yards to the UNLV31, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
61.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
60.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
42.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 20 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:2649% → 68%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
49.2%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+13
48.7%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Tim Holt for 13 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
51.6%
Johnny Stanton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+10
49.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 10 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+52
68.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Brandon Presley for 52 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 1 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
63.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
64.3%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
64.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Chris Posa) to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
65.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-9
65.6%
Dru Brown sacked by Mike Hughes Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 24
OWN 21
+5
67.1%
TUIASOA, Ryan rush for 11 yards to the UH32 (HESTER II, Farr), PENALTY UNLV offside (HUGHES JR., Mik) 5 yards to the UH26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 19
OWN 26
0
67.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ryan TuiasoaSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
68.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jericho Flowers at the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:1368% → 86%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
68.2%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
66.8%
Johnny Stanton run for 10 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
69.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 24 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
70.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
70.5%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo for 4 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
69.1%
Johnny Stanton run for 3 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
67.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
70.5%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
70.5%
Johnny Stanton run for 3 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
86.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Kendal Keys for 10 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:1487% → 94%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
86.9%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Brandon Presley for 30 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
86.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:319% → 21%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
91.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+20
91.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 20 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
90.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+15
90.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 15 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
89.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+3
89.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
89.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
89.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+10
90.9%
BROWN, Dru pass incomplete to EWALIKO, Keelan, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (FLOWERS, Jerich) 10 yards to the UNLV2, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:4586% → 94%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
86.3%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Tim Holt for 22 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
88.0%
Johnny Stanton run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
88.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Tim Holt for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+11
87.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 11 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
88.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
88.3%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Kendal Keys for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
87.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
86.6%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 5 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
88.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+5
88.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
88.5%
Johnny Stanton run for 3 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
88.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
94.7%
Johnny Stanton pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
94.2%
Evan Pantels 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 2:336% → 10%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
93.8%
Dru Brown run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24 Diocemy Saint JusteSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+3
93.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+11
93.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 11 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
92.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+38
92.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 38 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
91.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Solomon MatautiaSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
91.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
94.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kumoku NoaSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
90.5%
Alex Trifonovitch 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:5795% → 97%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
95.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
96.0%
Johnny Stanton run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-6
95.9%
Johnny Stanton run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 12
50
0
96.8%
Evan Pantels punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 54 yds · 1:055% → 10%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
95.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 16 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ryan Tuiasoa, broken up by Roger MannSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
94.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+19
95.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 19 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
93.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
93.7%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+19
94.0%
Dru Brown run for 19 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
89.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan EwalikoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:22
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Brandon Presley for 52 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
+18.9
TD · Q3 9:53
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 20 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q3 1:40
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Kendal Keys for 10 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com