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SDSU

San Diego State 28 at Hawai'i 7

HAW
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:49 · Brandon Heicklen punt for 26 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense−20.9Pregame prior−9.3Score differential−10.8Garbage-time factor−5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:07: Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 16 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Dru Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +11.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:24: Ryan Meskell kickoff for 60 yds , Juwan Washington return for 16 yds to the SDSt 21 — SDSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:23: Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:33: Rashaad Penny run for 63 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:29HAW 4th & 13 at SDSU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:29SDSU 4th & 19 at HAW 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:28HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:23HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:49SDSU 4th & 18 at HAW 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:41HAW 4th & 11 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:27HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:04HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:19SDSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 35, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:12HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 28, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:08SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:07SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:24HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:23SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:33SDSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
28.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
28.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+1
28.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 1 yd to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
28.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
29.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-4
28.9%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 40Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
29.1%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 10
OWN 40
-3
29.2%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 39 yds , Dylan Collie returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
29.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
29.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
29.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+9
29.6%
Stan Gaudion punt for 51 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 9 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:0969% → 72%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
30.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
30.5%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+22
30.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 22 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
30.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
30.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
30.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 17 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
30.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
30.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
30.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.1%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.0%
Christian Chapman run for no gain to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, face mask (1 yards) (Daniel Lewis Jr.) to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.1%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.0%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
29.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
29.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
29.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 36 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:0471% → 76%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
28.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 14 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
28.3%
Mikah Holder run for 23 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
28.2%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
28.2%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
28.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
28.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
28.5%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Parker Houston, broken up by Viane MoalaSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+16
24.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 16 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:3826% → 23%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
25.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
26.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
25.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+47
26.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 47 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
27.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
27.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 13
-6
24.1%
Dru Brown sacked by Noble Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 19Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
23.3%
Alex Trifonovitch 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
22.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 19 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
21.8%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Terrence Sayles) to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
21.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+12
21.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 12 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
21.7%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-3
21.8%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 12
OPP 32
-7
21.9%
Christian Chapman sacked by Trayvon Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
22.6%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
20 plays · 88 yds · 6:2321% → 33%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
21.1%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
21.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
21.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+15
21.0%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, roughing the kicker (Fred Trevillion) to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
21.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
21.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+3
21.2%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+2
21.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+15
21.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sergio Phillips) to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
22.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
22.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Isaiah Bernard, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+10
22.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 10 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
22.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 11 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
23.2%
Dru Brown run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+9
23.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 9 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
23.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 7 yds to the SDSt 8Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
22.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 4 yds to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
22.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.2%
Dru Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
26.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
27.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
27.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rojesterman Farris II) to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
25.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
25.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
25.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Fred TrevillionSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
27.2%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
28.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
28.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
27.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+18
26.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 37 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 18 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:0175% → 85%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
24.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+30
24.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 30 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
17.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+2
17.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 2 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+5
16.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 3
OWN 12
+8
17.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 8 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
13.7%
Juwan Washington run for 23 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
13.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (Daishawn Dixon) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 25
OPP 41
+6
13.9%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 19
OPP 35
-5
13.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Tyler Roemer) to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 24
OPP 40
+6
13.9%
Christian Chapman run for 6 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 18
OPP 34
0
13.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Parker HoustonSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 18
OPP 34
0
15.6%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
14.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 9Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+22
14.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 22 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
15.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Matt Norman) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
15.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+15
14.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, roughing passer (Ronley Lakalaka) to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
16.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
17.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the SDSt 48Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-6
17.0%
Dru Brown sacked by Chibu Onyeukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+4
15.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 11
50
0
15.5%
Stan Gaudion punt for 49 yds, downed at the SDSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 2:4089% → 98%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
11.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds to the SDSt 10 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 5Similar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 6
OWN 5
+3
11.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 8Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+3
11.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
10.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 24 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
10.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+63
2.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 63 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
2.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 8 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Kameron Kelly) to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
3.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for no gain to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
3.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kumoku NoaSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
2.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
2.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19INT
7 plays · 59 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
2.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
2.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+46
2.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 46 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
1.9%
Juwan Washington run for 12 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
1.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-4
1.9%
Christian Chapman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 26 Christian Chapman fumbled, recovered by SDSt Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+4
2.0%
Christian Chapman pass intercepted Zeno Choi return for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
2.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Kameron KellySimilar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
2.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-5
2.1%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+6
2.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 6 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+3
2.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
1.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
1.3%
Christian Chapman run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+2
1.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
1.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-1
1.1%
Dru Brown sacked by Chibu Onyeukwu for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
1.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+5
1.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 5 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.7%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+6
0.7%
Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
0.7%
Chase Jasmin run for 5 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.7%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
0.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 15
OPP 25
-1
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:24
Dru Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 10:23
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
-9.7
TD · Q4 13:33
Rashaad Penny run for 63 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
-8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com