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SJSU

San José State 26 at Hawai'i 37

HAW
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:10 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:47: Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 59 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +18.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:00: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +17.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:44: Ryan Meskell kickoff for 61 yds , Rahshead Johnson return for 96 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford PAT BLOCKED) — SJSU win probability +18.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:44: Rojesterman Farris II return for defensive PAT — HAW win probability +9.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 82%).
  5. TD · Q4 6:09: Ryan Tuiasoa run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +7.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14SJSU 4th & 5 at HAW 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:14HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:56SJSU 4th & 25 at SJSU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:50HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:34SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:16HAW 4th & 5 at SJSU 33, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:47HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−5.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:32SJSU 4th & 24 at HAW 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−5.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:02SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:02SJSU 4th & 5 at HAW 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:30HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:51SJSU 4th & 15 at HAW 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 4:31SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:02HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:43HAW Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:47SJSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:00HAW Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−1.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:44SJSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:09HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+8
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
87.7%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
87.7%
Bryce Crawford punt for 25 yds, downed at the Hawa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
87.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
87.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 37 Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled, forced by William Ossai, recovered by SJSt Andre ChachereSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3513% → 14%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
86.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+2
86.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+15
86.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 15 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
86.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 1 yd to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
86.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+1
86.6%
Montel Aaron run for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
85.7%
Bryce Crawford 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
85.6%
Dru Brown run for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
85.6%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:0515% → 19%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
85.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-5
84.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Keoni Taylor) to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+31
85.1%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tyler Nevens for 31 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
84.7%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
84.7%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+21
84.8%
Montel Aaron run for 21 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
84.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-3
84.6%
Montel Aaron sacked by David Manoa for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
81.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:2982% → 82%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
81.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
81.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
82.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
50
-10
82.5%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+6
82.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
82.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+17
82.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 17 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
82.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+14
78.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 14 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
78.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+6
78.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
78.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
80.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
79.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+27
80.1%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 27 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
79.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Justin Holmes) to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 25
OWN 39
-2
79.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Zamore Zigler for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 27
OWN 37
-9
80.0%
Montel Aaron sacked by Jeremiah Pritchard for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 36
OWN 28
+11
80.5%
Malike Roberson run for 11 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 25
OWN 39
0
80.7%
Bryce Crawford punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5878% → 75%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
78.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+8
78.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 8 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
78.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
75.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
74.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
75.3%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+11
75.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 11 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
74.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
74.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
74.4%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
75.2%
Bryce Crawford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:1474% → 82%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
73.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 14 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
74.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-5
75.7%
HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+15
74.8%
Dru Brown run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
50
+8
76.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+16
75.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 16 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
76.2%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 9 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+6
76.2%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 6 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
76.2%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 7 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
76.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
81.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dakota Torres for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:2819% → 26%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
80.6%
Malike Roberson run for 19 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
81.8%
Montel Aaron run for 2 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Jahlani Tavai) to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
79.6%
Montel Aaron run for 11 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+52
73.8%
Bryce Crawford 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1779% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+38
78.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 38 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
80.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 13 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
81.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
81.2%
Dru Brown run for 1 yd to the SJSt 22Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+22
86.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 22 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
15 plays · 69 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
84.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 9 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.3%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tyler NevensSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+21
84.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 21 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
83.3%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-15
83.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Tre Hartley) to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 25
OWN 48
+48
84.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 48 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
81.6%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Viane Moala) to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.2%
Montel Aaron run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the Hawa 1 Montel Aaron fumbled, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-4
81.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Billy Humphreys) to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-15
81.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Josh Oliver) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 0
OPP 20
+7
81.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 7 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
82.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+8
83.2%
Montel Aaron pass intercepted Jahlani Tavai return for 8 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:3686% → 88%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
85.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 16 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
85.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
85.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+13
85.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 13 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
86.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
86.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Ricky Leung-Wai) to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
86.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
50
+5
87.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
87.4%
Dru Brown run for 7 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
87.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+2
86.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
87.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:2414% → 37%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
85.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 8 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+59
67.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 59 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
62.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
71.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
71.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
69.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+16
69.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 49 yds , Brandon Ezell returns for 16 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1433% → 29%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
66.8%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+35
67.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 35 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
63.6%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-2
63.6%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 22
-12
66.3%
Montel Aaron sacked by Meffy Koloamatangi for a loss of 12 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 24
OPP 34
+51
70.9%
Bryce Crawford 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:3271% → 92%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
70.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+26
73.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 26 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
74.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
74.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+17
71.9%
Dru Brown run for 17 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
76.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
76.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
76.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
74.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 34%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-15
57.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 0
OPP 18
0
66.5%
Rojesterman Farris II return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:2879% → 97%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
78.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
80.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+56
78.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 56 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the SJSt 3Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.5%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-17
95.4%
Montel Aaron sacked by TEAM for a loss of 17 yards to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 27
OWN 8
0
95.7%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+7
96.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the SJSt 31 to JaQuan Blackwell for 16 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
95.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 15 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
94.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 11 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
94.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Oliver) to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+10
95.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 10 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
94.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+5
94.5%
Malike Roberson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
94.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
97.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23FUMBLE
12 plays · 57 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
97.1%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 10 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
97.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 9 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
96.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
96.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+4
95.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Terrence Sayles) to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
96.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Keoni Taylor) to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Daniel Lewis Jr.Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
96.7%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
96.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 15
OPP 46
+9
97.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Jeremy Kelly for 9 yds to the Hawa 31 lat. to Tre Walker for 6 yds Tre Walker fumbled, recovered by Hawa Meffy KoloamatangiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:44
Ryan Meskell kickoff for 61 yds , Rahshead Johnson return for 96 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford PAT BLOCKED)
-18.9
TD · Q3 1:47
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 59 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-18.7
TD · Q4 9:00
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)
+17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com