Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 21 at Nevada 35

NEV
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Mackay Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:45 · Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense+9.3Pregame prior−5.6Score differential+2.3Garbage-time factor+4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:32: Ty Gangi run for 17 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +12.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:18: Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 2 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +11.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:56: Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 22 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +13.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:45: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +20.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 32 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +11.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at NEV 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 11 at NEV 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:55NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−1.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:18HAW 4th & 2 at NEV 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−2.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:58HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−3.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:55NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−3.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:23NEV 4th & 4 at HAW 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:23HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:45NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:56NEV 4th & 6 at HAW 22, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−8.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:16HAW 4th & 29 at HAW 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:00NEV 4th & 16 at HAW 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:00HAW 4th & 2 at NEV 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:52HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:30NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:55HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:32NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:56NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:45HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:16NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
35.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
35.0%
Dru Brown run for 13 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
35.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+11
35.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
35.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
35.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Korey RushSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
35.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan EwalikoSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
35.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
36.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+1
36.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 17Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+22
36.3%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 22 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
36.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
36.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 5 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
36.8%
Blake Wright run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47 Blake Wright fumbled, forced by Solomon Matautia,Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
36.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5362% → 66%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
37.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 22 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
37.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+17
36.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 17 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
36.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+17
36.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 17 yds to the Nevad 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
34.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 2:1735% → 41%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
35.1%
Ty Gangi run for 11 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+66
35.2%
Kelton Moore run for 66 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
36.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 7 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
36.8%
Ty Gangi run for no gain to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
41.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 7 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:2561% → 60%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
39.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
39.2%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+17
39.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 17 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
38.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
38.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
50
-15
37.9%
SAINT JUSTE, D. rush for no gain to the 50 yardline (MEYER, Kalei), PENALTY UH personal foul (GREELEY, Kade) 15 yards to the UH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+19
39.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 19 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
38.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 9 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
38.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
38.5%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-1
38.9%
Dru Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
40.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Vosean Crumbie at the Nevad 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 83 yds · 3:1642% → 44%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
41.9%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Anthony Palomares) to the Nevad 1Similar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+31
41.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 31 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
42.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 21 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
44.1%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
44.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 2 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+15
44.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 15 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
45.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 7 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
45.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
44.3%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
44.3%
Quinton Conaway pass incomplete to Kelton MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 4:5359% → 71%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
41.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+33
41.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 33 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-12
39.2%
Dru Brown sacked by Austin Paulhus for a loss of 12 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 22
OWN 36
+19
41.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 19 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+1
39.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+3
39.7%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
38.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 42Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+42
29.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kade Greeley for 42 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2333% → 49%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
32.5%
Kelton Moore run for 43 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
36.6%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+13
36.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 13 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
49.2%
Ty Gangi run for 17 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · -9 yds · 0:3459% → 56%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
40.3%
BROWN, Dru pass incomplete to SAINT JUSTE, D., PENALTY UH holding (POSA, Chris) 10 yards to the UH21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
42.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-15
41.9%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to BARKER, Ammon for 14 yards to the UH45 (BROWN, Daniel), PENALTY UH illegal use of hands (ALLEN, Dejon) 15 yards to the UH16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-2
43.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 24 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-7
43.5%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chris Posa) to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 28
OWN 7
+9
43.9%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 9 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+49
44.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 49 yds , Vosean Crumbie returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 0:2646% → 62%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
46.1%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
48.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 3 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+5
49.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+37
48.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 37 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
50.6%
GANGI, Ty pass incomplete to O'LEARY-ORANGE, PENALTY UH pass interference (FORD, Eugene) 4 yards to the UH2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 2 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
60.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12MISSED FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 5:3259% → 66%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
59.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for no gain Wyatt Demps fumbled, forced by Solomon Matautia, recovered by NevadSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
58.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+10
57.8%
GANGI, Ty pass complete to ARMSTRONG, T. for no gain to the NEV15 (MATAUTIA, S.), PENALTY UH holding (HENDERSON, T.) 10 yards to the NEV25, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.5%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
59.5%
Kelton Moore run for 18 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
61.8%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
61.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
61.0%
Ty Gangi run for 5 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
62.0%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
61.8%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+9
60.6%
Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+1
59.9%
Maliek Broady run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
62.2%
Maliek Broady run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
62.2%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
61.3%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kelton Moore, broken up by Trayvon HendersonSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
65.9%
Spencer Pettit 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eperone Moananu Eperone Moananu return for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
61.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
50
+5
58.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-8
58.9%
Dru Brown sacked by Jordan Silva for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
62.7%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
64.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds , Vosean Crumbie returns for no gain to the Nevad 47 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Asauni Rufus) to the Nevad 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
68.7%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 6Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+22
68.5%
Kelton Moore run for 22 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
69.3%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
69.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 5 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-1
69.2%
Blake Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 34Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
67.5%
Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
66.4%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Vosean Crumbie return for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:0074% → 88%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
74.1%
Andrew Celis pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 20 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
74.5%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+5
74.5%
Ty Gangi run for 5 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-3
74.8%
Ty Gangi run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+22
88.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 22 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
67.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18INT
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:4073% → 81%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 11 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for no gain to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+34
73.4%
Kelton Moore run for 19 yds to the NEVADA 45 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Russell Williams Jr.) to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
76.9%
Blake Wright run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+9
81.0%
Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
81.0%
Ty Gangi pass intercepted Rojesterman Farris II return for 15 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
71.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+13
68.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
68.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-6
70.3%
Dru Brown sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 36 Dru Brown fumbled, recovered by Nevad Gabriel Sewell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:4483% → 94%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
82.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 10 yds to the Hawa 26 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Brendan O'Leary-Orange) to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 11
OPP 37
+1
82.7%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
82.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+32
93.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 32 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -19 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Dameon BaberSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
89.0%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to URSUA, John for 10 yards to the UH35 (MUHAMMAD, Ahki), PENALTY UH personal foul (POSA, Chris) 8 yards to the UH17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+2
89.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-8
89.3%
Dru Brown sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 11 Dru Brown fumbled, recovered by Hawa Dru Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 24
OWN 11
-5
89.5%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 6Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 29
OWN 6
0
89.8%
Stan Gaudion punt for 52 yds , Vosean Crumbie returns for no gain to the Nevad 46 Vosean Crumbie fumbled, recovered by Nevad Vosean Crumbie , return for 10 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 2:1895% → 96%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
94.7%
Blake Wright run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
94.7%
Blake Wright run for 1 yd to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+9
94.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 9 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
94.8%
Blake Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+4
96.1%
Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-3
96.7%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 11
OPP 43
-5
96.4%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
96.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 47 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 97 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
95.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 3 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+8
95.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 8 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
95.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+16
95.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 16 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
95.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 16 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
95.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 21 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
94.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+9
94.2%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Patrick Choudja) to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Vosean CrumbieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
98.2%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+6
98.2%
Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 11Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:45
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 75 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)
-20.6
TD · Q3 1:56
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 22 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q2 2:32
Ty Gangi run for 17 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)
+12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com