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CSU

Colorado State 51 at Hawai'i 21

HAW
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:30 · Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 6 yds to the Hawa 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:45: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +5.2 pts (now 21%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:21: Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:04: Dalyn Dawkins run for 19 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT MISSED) — CSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:30: Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 29 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 24, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:34HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49HAW 4th & 1 at CSU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:31HAW 4th & 10 at CSU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22CSU 4th & 6 at HAW 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:19HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 40, down 24
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:22HAW 4th & 5 at CSU 32, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:18CSU 4th & 2 at CSU 40, up 30
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:38CSU 4th & 15 at HAW 44, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:08HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 14, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:17CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:34CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:45HAW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:21CSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:04CSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:23HAW Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:30CSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:47HAW Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:37CSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
28.3%
Dru Brown sacked by Evan Colorito for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
28.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
28.3%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 33
-5
28.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Solomon Matautia) to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+13
28.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 13 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:4071% → 71%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
28.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
28.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
28.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
28.7%
Detrich Clark run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
28.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 11 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
28.7%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
28.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+36
28.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 36 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
29.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 8 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
29.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Kevin Nutt Jr.Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
29.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+5
28.8%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 5 yds to the ColSt 39 Olabisi Johnson fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:3671% → 74%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
28.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 12 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
28.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
28.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
28.6%
Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
28.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
25.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 38 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
27.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
27.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
27.3%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
27.0%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
26.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 14 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:3375% → 82%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
25.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
25.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+12
25.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 12 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
25.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 11 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
25.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 11 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
25.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 8 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+1
25.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
25.5%
Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
25.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 6 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
25.3%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:1819% → 18%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
18.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 11 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
19.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+25
19.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 25 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
19.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 41Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+4
19.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 4 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+6
19.8%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
20.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
20.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Kevin Nutt Jr.Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
20.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Josh WatsonSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
19.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Justin SweetSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
18.0%
Ryan Meskell 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0985% → 87%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
15.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 21 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
14.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 13 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
14.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (6 Yards) to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
14.7%
Nick Stevens run for 9 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
14.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
14.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+1
14.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-5
15.0%
COLORADO ST Penalty, encroachment (Detrich Clark) to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+7
15.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 7 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
13.2%
Wyatt Bryan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:3215% → 21%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
14.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+11
14.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 11 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
14.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+11
15.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
15.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 14 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
16.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Diocemy Saint Juste) to the ColSt 44Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+5
15.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
16.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Josh WatsonSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+38
15.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 38 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:1786% → 91%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+76
14.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 76 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
8.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
11.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 7 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+20
11.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 20 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
11.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 4 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
12.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
12.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan EwalikoSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+1
12.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 1 yd to the ColSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
9.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:4991% → 95%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
9.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 24 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
9.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 26 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
8.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
4.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 19 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:416% → 8%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
6.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
50
+3
6.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
6.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 12 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
7.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 3 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
7.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+30
8.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kade Greeley for 30 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:4694% → 97%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
6.4%
Detrich Clark run for 1 yd to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+22
6.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 22 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
6.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+14
6.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 14 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
6.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 11 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
5.9%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
3.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 29 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+27
2.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
50
0
2.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
50
+9
2.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 9 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
2.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
2.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kade GreeleySimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
2.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
2.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
2.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Josh WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1898% → 99%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
2.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
2.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
0.9%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+11
1.2%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 55 yds , John Ursua returns for 11 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:352% → 3%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
1.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
1.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+14
1.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 14 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
1.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 9 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
0.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
0.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kade Greeley for 6 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
0.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 16 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
3.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 22 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+46
1.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 46 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
1.5%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
1.5%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-3
1.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 10
OPP 39
-5
1.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
1.7%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 81 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
1.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
1.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+9
1.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 9 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 1
OWN 14
+49
1.7%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 49 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
2.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+23
2.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 23 yds Dylan Collie fumbled, forced by Max McDonald, recovered by ColSt Josh WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 3:4399% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
1.0%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
0.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
1.0%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.9%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
0.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 6 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
0.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 66 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+9
0.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 9 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
0.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+5
0.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.1%
N/A pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 6 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
0.1%
HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
0.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:56
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 1:21
Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q2 1:45
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com