Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 21 at Wyoming 28

WYO
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:40 · Tim Zaleski punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 16Pregame prior+13.1Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:54: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +25.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:39: Ryan Meskell kickoff for 62 yds , Tyler Hall return for 97 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +26.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:53: Austin Conway run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +21.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:18: Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +31.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +36.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:29HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:40WYO 4th & 10 at HAW 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:42HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:23WYO 4th & 5 at HAW 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    64.9%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:58HAW 4th & 5 at WYO 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:05HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.7%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:52HAW 4th & 1 at WYO 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.2%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:58WYO 4th & 17 at WYO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−2.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:18WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−5.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:18WYO 4th & 1 at HAW 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−10.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−9.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:46WYO 4th & 3 at HAW 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%−4.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−11.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:17HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:44WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−9.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 13:22WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:52HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:54HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:39WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:53WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:18HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:3136% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
63.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+6
63.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 6 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+8
63.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 8 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
63.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
63.9%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-3
63.9%
Dru Brown sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
64.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 34 yds, downed at the Wyom 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
64.0%
Milo Hall run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
64.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to John Okwoli for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
64.0%
Milo Hall run for 3 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
64.2%
Milo Hall run for 6 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-6
64.2%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
63.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to John OkwoliSimilar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
63.8%
Tim Zaleski punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
63.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
63.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 2 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+7
63.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
63.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+9
63.7%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 48 , Austin Conway returns for 9 yds to the Hawa 38 HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
64.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
64.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-2
64.4%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
63.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 40 yds, downed at the Hawa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 58 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
63.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+3
63.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
63.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Andrew WingardSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+13
63.8%
Cole McDonald run for 13 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
63.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 17 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
63.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+16
62.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 16 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
62.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-1
62.2%
Dru Brown sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
62.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
62.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Tyler HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:1564% → 71%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
64.2%
Trey Woods run for 6 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
64.9%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
64.6%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
65.0%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
64.8%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 11
50
+16
64.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 16 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
70.9%
Trey Woods run for 34 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:3030% → 41%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
69.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
69.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
68.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
68.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for no gain to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+11
69.4%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 11 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
68.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 9 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+16
67.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 16 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
67.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+7
67.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
67.0%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
67.0%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 2 yds to the Wyom 2Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 1 yd to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:5464% → 62%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
64.1%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
64.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+22
63.4%
Josh Allen run for 22 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
66.2%
ALLEN, Josh pass complete to CONWAY, Austin for 17 yards to the UH28 (HENDERSON, T.), PENALTY WY pass interference 15 yards to the WY40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 25
OWN 40
-10
64.3%
Josh Allen sacked by Jahlani Tavai and Maxwell Hendrie for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 35
OWN 30
0
63.2%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 35
OWN 30
+18
62.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to John Okwoli for 18 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
61.7%
Tim Zaleski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:2940% → 39%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
60.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+8
60.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
59.7%
BROWN, Dru pass incomplete to BARKER, Ammon, PENALTY UH holding 10 yards to the UH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
60.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+5
60.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+3
61.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 20 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+12
61.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 55 yds , Austin Conway returns for 12 yds to the Hawa 32 HAWAII Penalty, illegal helmet contact (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
63.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to John OkwoliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
61.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
61.8%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
60.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Nico EvansSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
60.0%
Tim Zaleski punt for 37 yds, downed at the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12INT
11 plays · 62 yds · 0:0043% → 47%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
57.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 9 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
55.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Robert PriesterSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
55.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
55.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
53.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+9
53.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
53.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
53.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 15
OPP 26
-4
54.8%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 30 HAWAII Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+23
56.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 23 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
53.1%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Andrew Wingard return for 22 yds to the Wyom 0 HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
62.1%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
63.6%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
62.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Manu Hudson-Rasmussen WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
61.0%
Tim Zaleski punt for 44 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 6:5243% → 70%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
57.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 8 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+9
56.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
56.7%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+11
54.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
54.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
53.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 6 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+18
53.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 18 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
51.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+17
51.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 17 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
51.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
51.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
51.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q3 1:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
54.3%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
55.2%
TRIFONOVITCH field goal attempt from 28 GOOD, clock 00:59, PENALTY WY roughing the kicker 6 yards to the WY5, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
30.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
60.5%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3945% → 41%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
55.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 4 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
53.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Garrett CrallSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-15
55.4%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to URSUA, John for 7 yards to the UH44 (EPPS, Marcus), PENALTY UH pass interference 15 yards to the UH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 22
+9
58.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 9 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
59.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:4660% → 89%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
60.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 11 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
60.8%
Trey Woods run for 59 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
67.6%
Kellen Overstreet run for 12 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
67.6%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Hawa 3Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.8%
Austin Conway run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:3517% → 51%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
82.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+6
82.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 6 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
82.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 16 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
81.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
80.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
80.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
50
+50
49.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:3261% → 63%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
60.7%
Trey Woods run for 8 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
64.2%
Trey Woods run for 11 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
65.4%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
65.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 7 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
65.0%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
62.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
65.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
65.3%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
65.2%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
63.2%
Cooper Rothe 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2947% → 49%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
49.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 4 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Andrew WingardSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
50.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+2
50.2%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+37
51.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 49 yds , Austin Conway returns for 37 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:1863% → 56%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
62.5%
Josh Allen sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
56.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+4
53.9%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
55.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 33 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22END OF GAME TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 15:3850% → 20%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
50.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
+10
82.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
80.4%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Cassh Maluia return for no gain to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+36
TD · Q4 8:18
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)
-31.1
TD · Q3 0:39
Ryan Meskell kickoff for 62 yds , Tyler Hall return for 97 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+26.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com