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WCU

Western Carolina 18 at Hawai'i 41

HAW
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-4.7HAW 92.9%Corey Holloway 2 Yd Run (Two-Point RunConversion Failed)AWAY 18 - HOME 34 · Q3 2:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:24 · Corey Holloway 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+16.5Home team on offense+15.2Score differential+6.8Garbage-time factor+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:11: Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 16 yds for a TD, (Ian Berryman KICK) — WCU win probability +3.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:24: Trayvon Henderson 89 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Alex Trifonovitch PAT blocked) — HAW win probability +5.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:10: D. Brown pass,to D. Torres for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:24: Corey Holloway 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — WCU win probability +4.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:31: R. Tuiasoa run for 1 yd for a TD, (A. Trifonovitch KICK) — HAW win probability +2.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 6WCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:05WCU 4th & 16 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40HAW 4th & 3 at WCU 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40WCU 4th & 15 at WCU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:13HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:59WCU 4th & 7 at HAW 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:03HAW 4th & 4 at WCU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:41WCU 4th & 3 at WCU 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:31WCU 4th & 10 at HAW 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:02WCU 4th & 12 at HAW 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:24WCU 4th & 14 at HAW 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20WCU 4th & 18 at WCU 12, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:18HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 35, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:25HAW 4th & 12 at WCU 38, up 16
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:05WCU 4th & 13 at WCU 47, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:39HAW 4th & 16 at WCU 20, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:39WCU 4th & 2 at WCU 29, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:33HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:32HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:11WCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:23HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:24HAW Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:10HAW Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:24WCU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:31HAW Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1INT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
93.1%
Dru Brown sacked by Nate Link for a loss of 14 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 15
+6
93.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 6 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 21
+12
93.1%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Marvin Tillman return for 12 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:197% → 8%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
92.6%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+10
92.6%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 10 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
92.6%
Tyrie Adams run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
92.6%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 16
OPP 28
0
92.6%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 16
OPP 28
0
92.7%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Connell Young, broken up by Daniel Lewis Jr.Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
92.4%
Joel Poinsette 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Meffy KoloamatangiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:2592% → 92%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
92.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
92.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 30 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
92.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 1 yd to the WCaro 26Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
92.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the WCaro 20Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
92.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Marvin TillmanSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
91.8%
Ryan Meskell 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-12
91.6%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Detrez Newsome) to the WCaro 13Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+18
91.7%
Tyrie Adams run for 18 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
91.6%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eperone Moananu) to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.5%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
91.5%
Tyrie Adams run for no gain to the WCaro 46Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
91.6%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 10
OWN 46
-5
91.7%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 41Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
91.8%
Ian Berryman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
91.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+9
91.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
91.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Kendall WhiteSimilar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
91.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (John Wa'a) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
91.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua TimoteoSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
91.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Steffon Hill at the WCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:0610% → 10%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+23
90.5%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Aubry Payne for 23 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
90.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+30
90.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 3 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST down to Detrez Newsome for 30 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
90.0%
Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
90.0%
Tyrie Adams run for 3 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
90.1%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
89.6%
Joel Poinsette 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Viane MoalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:2690% → 91%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-10
89.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+50
89.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 50 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
90.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 12 yds to the WCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
90.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the WCaro 15Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+2
90.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
90.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 12 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
90.5%
Corey Holloway run for 14 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
90.3%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 43Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+24
90.4%
Tyrie Adams pass intercepted Daniel Lewis Jr. return for 24 yds to the WCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2391% → 93%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
91.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the WCaro 15Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+8
91.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
91.0%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Diocemy Saint Juste) to the WCaro 22Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+8
91.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the WCaro 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
90.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the WCaro 7Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 2:168% → 12%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
91.8%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 12 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
91.8%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 9 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
91.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
91.5%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
91.5%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
91.5%
Tyrie Adams run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+6
91.4%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 6 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
91.3%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 8 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 2
OPP 26
0
91.2%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+10
91.4%
Tyrie Adams run for 10 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 16 yds for a TD, (Ian Berryman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
90.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-2
90.4%
Dru Brown sacked by Keion Crossen for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 48Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
90.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua Timoteo, broken up by A.J. NewmanSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
89.7%
Stan Gaudion punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Steffon Hill at the WCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
89.3%
Tyrie Adams sacked by Meffy Koloamatangi for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 5Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+1
89.5%
Corey Holloway run for 1 yd to the WCaro 6Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+11
89.7%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 11 yds to the WCaro 17Similar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+3
89.8%
Ian Berryman punt for 54 yds , Dylan Collie returns for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:0589% → 92%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
89.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
89.9%
HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-4 Yards) to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 14
OWN 38
+57
89.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 57 yds to the WCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
90.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the WCaro 1Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.2%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for no gain to the WCaro 1Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 2:469% → 10%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
91.2%
Tyrie Adams run for 28 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
90.6%
Detrez Newsome run for 15 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
90.1%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+14
90.7%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 14 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
90.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Russell Williams Jr.) to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 5
OPP 8
-5
90.1%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Zach Weeks) to the Hawa 13Similar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
90.1%
Tyrie Adams run for 3 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
90.1%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Owen CosenkeSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-3
90.5%
Tyrie Adams sacked by David Manoa for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 13Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
90.0%
Ian Berryman 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
90.7%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+14
90.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 14 yds to the WCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
91.5%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Kendall White return for 14 yds to the WCaro 35 WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:4611% → 9%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
50
+26
89.3%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 26 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
88.3%
Tyrie Adams run for 11 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
89.2%
Ray Smith run for 11 yds to the Hawa 2 Ray Smith fumbled, forced by Daniel Lewis Jr., recovered by WCaro Ray Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.5%
Ray Smith pass incomplete to Owen Cosenke, broken up by Zeno ChoiSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
88.8%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
89.9%
Ray Smith sacked by Russell Williams Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
91.3%
Ian Berryman 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
91.3%
Dylan Collie run for 23 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
91.4%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Hawa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 18MISSED FG TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 3:3010% → 5%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.5%
Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 23Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
90.5%
Tyrie Adams run for 8 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Tyrie Adams run for no gain to the WCaro 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
90.5%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+11
90.9%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 11 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
90.0%
Tyrie Adams run for 24 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
89.1%
Corey Holloway run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+15
88.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (- Hudsonrasmussen) to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
88.9%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
88.9%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Connell Young, broken up by Russell Williams Jr.Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-6
89.5%
Tyrie Adams sacked by Tevarua Eldridge and Zeno Choi for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+89
94.6%
Trayvon Henderson 89 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Alex Trifonovitch PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
94.2%
K. Crossen return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
92.8%
Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 15Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-7
92.9%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Chase Stehling) to the WCaro 8Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 22
OWN 8
-1
93.2%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 7Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 23
OWN 7
+5
93.3%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 12Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
93.1%
Ian Berryman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0294% → 98%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
94.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+11
94.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 11 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
94.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 40 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (J.R. Hensley) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 19
50
0
94.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 19
50
+13
94.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the WCaro 37Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+15
94.2%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marvin Tillman) to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
94.4%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 7 yds to the WCaro 15Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
94.4%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 4 yds to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
94.4%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 2 yds to the WCaro 9Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
98.2%
D. Brown pass,to D. Torres for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:402% → 7%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 9 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
97.9%
Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.9%
Detrez Newsome run for 8 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+12
97.8%
Tyrie Adams run for 12 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
97.9%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 8 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
97.6%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Owen CosenkeSimilar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
97.8%
Corey Holloway run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
97.6%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 24 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
97.6%
Tyrie Adams run for 3 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Corey Holloway 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
95.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
95.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
95.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Keion CrossenSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+8
95.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Steffon Hill returns for 8 yds to the WCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:466% → 7%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
93.8%
Tyrie Adams run for 14 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.6%
Tyrie Adams run for no gain to the WCaro 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
93.7%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.3%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+15
92.9%
Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 36 Tyrie Adams fumbled, forced by Viane Moala, recovered by Hawa Jahlani Tavai , return for 15 yds to the WCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
96.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
96.1%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 37Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-1
96.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 38Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
95.5%
Stan Gaudion punt for 37 yds, downed at the WCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+49
94.8%
Corey Holloway run for 49 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
50
0
93.6%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon Robinson, broken up by - HudsonrasmussenSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
50
-3
93.6%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 47Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
94.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Ian Berryman punt for 51 yds, downed at the Hawa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 4:1097% → 100%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
96.5%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (Tyler Junius) to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+2
96.5%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+2
96.5%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
96.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
96.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 19 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
96.8%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 11 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+32
97.1%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 32 yds to the WCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.1%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 4 yds to the WCaro 21Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+8
97.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 8 yds to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
97.1%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 12 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
R. Tuiasoa run for 1 yd for a TD, (A. Trifonovitch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 28FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
99.1%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 9Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+11
99.2%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 11 yds to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+7
99.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 7 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.1%
Tyrie Adams run for 3 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
99.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Zach Wilson) to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.0%
Tyrie Adams sacked by Keala Santiago for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 24 Tyrie Adams fumbled, recovered by Hawa Rashaan Falemalu , return for 0 yards , return for 9 yds to the WCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29DOWNS
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.6%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 1 yd to the WCaro 23Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+9
99.6%
Freddie Holly III run for 9 yds to the WCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Davine TullisSimilar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
99.6%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 19Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 15
OPP 19
-1
99.6%
Freddie Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 16
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Davine Tullis for no gain to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 16
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Davine Tullis, broken up by Shamon ElliottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Donnavan Spencer run for no gain to the WCaro 21Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.4%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 8 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 31Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:24
Trayvon Henderson 89 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Alex Trifonovitch PAT blocked)
+5.1
TD · Q3 2:24
Corey Holloway 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-4.7
TD · Q3 5:10
D. Brown pass,to D. Torres for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Trifonovitch KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com