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IDHO

Idaho 24 at Georgia State 10

GAST
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:52 · TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense−8.5Pregame prior+8.9Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor−3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:52: Colton Richardson pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 65 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +6.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 13:31: Cade Coffey 36 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +6.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:25: Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +16.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:02: Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 10 — IDHO win probability +6.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:30: Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 4 — IDHO win probability +8.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 8 at GAST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00IDHO 4th & 25 at IDHO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:52GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:11GAST 4th & 11 at IDHO 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−6.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:11IDHO 4th & 4 at GAST 45, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:31IDHO 4th & 6 at GAST 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−8.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:52IDHO 4th & 6 at GAST 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:52IDHO 4th & 18 at GAST 25, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.8%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    54.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:03GAST 4th & 13 at IDHO 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    42.8%−1.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:21IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 36, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:19GAST 4th & 8 at IDHO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:25GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:02IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−2.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:32GAST 4th & 11 at IDHO 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:08IDHO 4th & 3 at GAST 44, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:08GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:18IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:33GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:53IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:52IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:25IDHO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Aaron DuckworthSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 15 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
69.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+13
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass complete to David Ungerer for 13 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
69.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
69.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
-6
69.9%
Colton Richardson sacked by Mackendy Cheridor for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 43 Colton Richardson fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:1370% → 71%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
69.7%
Devin Gentry run for 27 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
69.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
69.9%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
71.1%
Glenn Smith run for 14 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4030% → 32%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
70.5%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Kaden Elliss for 34 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+24
70.1%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 24 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+11
69.9%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 11 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
69.2%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
68.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
68.6%
Brandon Wright punt for 35 yds , David Ungerer returns for 15 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2232% → 31%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
68.3%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Kaden EllissSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
68.4%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
68.4%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
68.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 43 yds, downed at the GeoSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 88 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
68.8%
Glenn Smith run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+14
68.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
69.0%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+6
68.8%
Conner Manning run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+15
68.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 15 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+48
69.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 48 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
69.9%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 5Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
69.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 2 yds Ari Werts fumbled, forced by Christian Elliss, recovered by Idaho Tony LashleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:5132% → 32%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
68.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+4
68.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+7
68.5%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 7 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
68.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
67.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
68.1%
Colton Richardson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-13
68.0%
Colton Richardson sacked by Victor Heyward for a loss of 13 yards to the Idaho 16 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 23
OWN 16
+4
68.2%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 19
OWN 20
-6
68.5%
Colton Richardson sacked by Victor Heyward for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 14
0
68.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 52 yds, downed at the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0068% → 70%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
68.4%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
69.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 7 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
69.3%
Conner Manning run for 11 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
69.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 14 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
70.1%
Devin Gentry run for 4 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+43
70.1%
Glenn Smith pass intercepted Jalen Hoover return for 33 yds to the Idaho 0 IDAHO Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:3934% → 41%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
66.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+65
59.5%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 65 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 6:4160% → 62%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.4%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
60.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
60.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir Jones, broken up by Lloyd HightowerSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
60.0%
Chase Middleton run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
61.6%
Glenn Smith run for 11 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
62.4%
Devin Gentry run for 15 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
63.4%
Demarcus Kirk run for 6 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
63.4%
Demarcus Kirk run for 5 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
63.4%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
63.4%
Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+11
62.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 11 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
63.4%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
63.4%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 8Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
62.4%
Conner Manning sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 11Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
61.5%
Brandon Wright 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
60.2%
Colton Richardson pass complete to David Ungerer for 11 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
59.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
58.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
58.2%
Richardson, C pass incomplete to Ungerer, David, PENALTY GSU holding (Stone, Cedric) 10 yards to the IDAHO49, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
57.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
57.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
57.9%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Chandon SullivanSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
59.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12END OF HALF
13 plays · 57 yds · 2:2059% → 56%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
59.0%
Manning, Conner sacked for loss of 5 yards to the GSU15 (Elliss, C), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Pue, Aaron) 10 yards to the GSU30, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
59.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
59.7%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+10
60.9%
Glenn Smith run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
61.8%
Conner Manning run for 7 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+14
63.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 14 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-7
63.8%
Conner Manning sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 17
OPP 27
0
62.0%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
60.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 5 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
60.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 5 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+4
55.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 4 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2448% → 54%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
51.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
51.6%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for no gain to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
52.8%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
46.1%
Cade Coffey 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
50.9%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
49.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+5
48.6%
Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 34 Demarcus Kirk fumbled, forced by Tony Lashley, recovered by Idaho Jalen Hoover , return for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
42.0%
Colton Richardson pass complete to David Ungerer for 5 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-10
41.8%
Duckworth, A rush for 11 yards to the GSU18 (Williams, Bryan), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Schuster, I) 10 yards to the GSU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
43.2%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+9
44.4%
Colton Richardson run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+13
44.7%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 13 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
41.8%
Richardson, C pass complete to Onunwor, A for 7 yards to the GSU10 (Sullivan, C.), PENALTY IDAHO ineligible downfield on pass 2 yards to the GSU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 12
OPP 19
0
42.0%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
42.1%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 12
OPP 19
-6
42.9%
Colton Richardson sacked by Trey Payne and Chase Middleton for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 18
OPP 25
-10
46.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
44.9%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+25
45.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Devin Gentry for 25 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
48.8%
Devin Gentry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+9
47.9%
Glenn Smith run for 9 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-10
48.6%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Jones, Tamir, PENALTY GSU holding (Johnson, Lucas) 10 yards to the IDAHO42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
45.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari Werts, broken up by Kaden EllissSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 13
OPP 42
+13
43.0%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 27 yds , David Ungerer returns for 13 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
38.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
38.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+5
39.4%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 5 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+28
39.3%
Cade Coffey punt for 43 yds , Chandon Sullivan returns for 28 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0044% → 40%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.2%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jonathan IfediSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
43.6%
Conner Manning run for no gain to the Idaho 49 Conner Manning fumbled, forced by Aikeem Coleman, recovered by GeoSt Tamir JonesSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
43.1%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
39.9%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:5564% → 88%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.0%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
36.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
37.0%
Colton Richardson pass complete to David Ungerer for 7 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
34.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 16 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
32.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 44 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
31.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
28.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
18.2%
Glenn Smith run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
20.5%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
19.8%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
19.3%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 48 yds, downed at the Idaho 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
12.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-1
12.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 9Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
12.9%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Trey PayneSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
13.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 49 yds, downed at the GeoSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
17.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
17.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 7 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
17.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 8 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
18.0%
Devin Gentry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+2
17.6%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-2
17.4%
Conner Manning run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
16.2%
Brandon Wright punt for 41 yds, downed at the Idaho 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:2292% → 96%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
7.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 4Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+9
7.7%
Colton Richardson pass complete to David Ungerer for 9 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
7.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 18 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
7.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 18 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
7.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
7.0%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+7
7.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
4.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Ifedi at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
6.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-1
5.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tra Barnett for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+14
5.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 14 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
6.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd, broken up by Armond HawkinsSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
6.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tra BarnettSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-7
5.9%
Conner Manning sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+1
5.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 52 yds , David Ungerer returns for 1 yd to the Idaho 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5797% → 98%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
2.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+4
2.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
1.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 44 yds , Cedric Stone returns for no gain to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 27END OF GAME
13 plays · 60 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
2.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 11 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
3.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tra Barnett for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
3.0%
Conner Manning run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
3.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tra Barnett for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
3.0%
Manning, Conner pass intercepted by Elliss, C at the IDAHO47, Elliss, C return to the GSU25 (Gilmore, S.), PENALTY IDAHO offside defense 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
50
0
3.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jonathan IfediSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
50
+12
3.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 12 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
3.2%
Conner Manning run for no gain to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
3.2%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+18
3.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 18 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
3.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
3.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tra BarnettSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
3.4%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:25
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)
-16.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:30
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 4
-8.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:02
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 10
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com