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GAST

Georgia State 21 at Georgia Southern 17

GASO
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:51 · Brandon Wright punt for 41 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 25 yds to the GeoSo 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior−10.9Home team on offense−1.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9Score differential−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:40: Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +4.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:37: Shai Werts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +19.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:27: Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +21.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:56: Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 5 yds to the GeoSo 26 — GAST win probability +16.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 2:31: Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +42.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 6:40GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:31GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:41GAST 4th & 23 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:22GAST 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:46GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:00GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:15GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:17GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:04GASO 4th & 3 at GAST 41, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−1.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:51GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:15GASO 4th & 1 at GAST 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.4
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:26GAST 4th & 12 at GASO 32, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:43GAST 4th & 10 at GASO 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−9.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:43GASO 4th & 1 at GAST 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−2.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−11.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:37GASO 4th & 4 at GAST 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−15.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:44GAST 4th & 27 at GAST 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−6.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:56GASO 4th & 4 at GAST 41, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−4.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−3.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:29GAST 4th & 15 at GASO 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−4.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:40GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:37GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:27GAST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:31GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
30.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for no gain for a TD Myles Campbell fumbled, forced by James Traylor, recovered by GeoSt Chandon Sullivan , return for 28 yds, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:5631% → 35%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
30.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-9
30.5%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 32 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (Tommy Boynton) to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
30.5%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+17
30.5%
Shai Werts run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
30.5%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
30.6%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+5
30.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
30.6%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+1
30.6%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+22
30.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Obe Fortune for 22 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
30.6%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+2
30.6%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+6
30.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
30.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 7 yds to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
30.6%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
30.6%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
35.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
34.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 16 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
33.5%
Smith, Glenn rush for 1 yard to the GSU42 (Cooper, Deshon), PENALTY GS offside (Johnson III, Raymond) 5 yards to the GSU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+1
33.3%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-4
33.3%
Conner Manning sacked by Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
33.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 8
OWN 43
-5
34.2%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+12
34.4%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 39 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard line GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (19 Yards) to the GeoSo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
35.0%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+4
34.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+5
34.5%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
34.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 14 yds, downed at the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
34.4%
Smith, Glenn rush for 2 yards to the GS35 (Vildor, Kindle;Hunt, Logan), PENALTY GSU holding (Atkinson, H.) 10 yards to the GS47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+6
34.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 14
OPP 41
0
35.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 14
OPP 41
-9
35.4%
Conner Manning sacked by Joshua Moon for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 23
50
0
36.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0637% → 36%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.8%
Kado Brown run for no gain to the GeoSo 19 Kado Brown fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Wesley FieldsSimilar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
36.7%
Kado Brown run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
36.5%
Kado Brown run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
36.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
36.4%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+16
36.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Devin Gentry for 16 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
35.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Gabe Mobley) to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+3
36.3%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
36.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 12
OWN 42
-5
36.6%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Glenn Smith) to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+13
37.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 4
50
0
36.2%
Brandon Wright punt for 34 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for no gain to the GeoSo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
38.9%
Monteo Garrett run for no gain to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
38.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+5
38.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Obe Fortune for 5 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
37.6%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
37.9%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
37.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
36.9%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
38.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
40.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
40.7%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
39.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Obe Fortune for 13 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
41.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
42.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-9
41.5%
Myles Campbell run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 47 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+2
39.6%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 12
OWN 34
-5
39.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
39.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
39.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 11 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
39.0%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
38.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
40.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+22
40.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 40 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 22 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
46.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Obe Fortune for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
46.2%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
45.5%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Obe FortuneSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
44.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
39.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 9 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
38.4%
Conner Manning run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
39.5%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
38.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
40.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+25
41.4%
Brandon Wright punt for 41 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 25 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14FG
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:3247% → 47%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
46.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
47.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
47.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
47.7%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
46.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+48
49.3%
Tyler Bass 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
47.4%
Bass, Tyler kickoff 65 yards to the GSU0, touchback, PENALTY GS offside (Washington, Martial) 5 yards to the GS30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
46.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16MISSED FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 6:1753% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
47.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 12 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+12
45.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 12 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
44.2%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+17
44.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 17 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
43.1%
Conner Manning sacked by Traver Vliem and Chris DeLaRosa for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+4
45.3%
Aaron Winchester run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
48.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Kyler NealSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+17
51.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 17 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
45.9%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
45.9%
Conner Manning run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-15
48.4%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Smith, Glenn for 9 yards to the GS0, clock 09:34, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Ifedi, Jonathan) 15 yards to the GS24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 19
OPP 24
+9
50.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
51.3%
Brandon Wright 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:0655% → 78%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.6%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
55.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
55.2%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+16
56.8%
Wesley Fields run for 16 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
58.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
58.5%
Malik Henry run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+8
57.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
59.7%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
58.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+10
56.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
59.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 4 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
59.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+5
77.8%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1022% → 50%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+70
77.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 70 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
72.3%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
50.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:2258% → 55%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
58.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+5
57.7%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
57.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+2
56.2%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
55.2%
Matt Flynn punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
60.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
60.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-14
61.2%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Smith, Glenn for 19 yards to the GSU47 (Moon, Joshua), PENALTY GSU face mask (Neal, Kyler) 14 yards to the GSU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 24
OWN 14
0
61.7%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 24
OWN 14
-3
63.3%
Conner Manning sacked by Logan Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 27
OWN 11
0
64.4%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 36 yds, downed at the GeoSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
68.9%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
68.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark Michaud, broken up by Michael ShawSimilar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+6
66.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
65.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:0036% → 40%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+25
63.8%
Glenn Smith run for 25 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
61.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+15
60.4%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Chris DeLaRosa return for 15 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
72.5%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+6
72.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 6 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24MISSED FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:2336% → 33%
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
63.8%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-5
64.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+53
65.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 53 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
54.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
57.0%
Kyler Neal run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
54.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
55.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
55.3%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-10
56.7%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Hart, Penny, PENALTY GSU holding (Johnson, Lucas) 10 yards to the GS36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 15
OPP 36
0
62.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
63.2%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Kyler Neal, broken up by RJ MurraySimilar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+53
67.3%
Brandon Wright 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0071% → 74%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
70.6%
Wesley Fields run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
73.6%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 31 Wesley Fields fumbled, forced by DeAndre Applin, recovered by GeoSt James Traylor , return for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:2543% → 87%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
57.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 5 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+2
56.1%
Conner Manning run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+16
58.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 16 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
56.1%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
56.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Roger CarterSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
13.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27END OF GAME
15 plays · 61 yds · 2:0928% → 20%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
28.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 4 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+10
28.5%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
29.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 9 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
33.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
33.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
32.4%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
20.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 8 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
23.0%
Werts, Shai pass incomplete to Henry, Malik, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Smith, Jerome) 15 yards to the GSU26, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
32.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 11 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
32.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Ryan Northrup) to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
20.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+3
20.2%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:31
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)
-42.8
TD · Q3 0:27
Conner Manning pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)
-21.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com