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CCU

Coastal Carolina 17 at Arkansas State 51

ARST
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Centennial Bank Stadium
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Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playARST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFUMBLEEnd of GameFG+4.2ARST 96.9%Sawyer Williams 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 27 · Q3 8:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:47 · Sawyer Williams 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+16.4Home team on offense+23.9Score differential+17.8Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Dalton Demos run for 1 yd for a TD ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +4.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:58: Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 10 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +4.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:11: Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 17 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +4.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:47: Sawyer Williams 22 yd FG GOOD — ARST win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:46: Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 4 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARST made the numbers' call on 3 of 6CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:51CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:36ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47ARST 4th & 12 at ARST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:56CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:14CCU 4th & 16 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:08ARST 4th & 3 at CCU 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:06CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:47ARST 4th & 4 at CCU 4, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:40CCU 4th & 12 at ARST 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CCU 4th & 11 at ARST 37, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:45ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 18, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:20ARST 4th & 6 at CCU 17, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:58ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:58ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:11ARST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:46ARST Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:48CCU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:55ARST Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:4014% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
86.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 55 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
86.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+16
86.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 16 yds to the ArkSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
86.4%
Dalton Demos run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
86.4%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
86.4%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+25
85.5%
Evan Rabon 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 2TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 3:2286% → 86%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
85.7%
Justice Hansen run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.7%
Justice Hansen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
85.7%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 14 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
85.8%
Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
85.8%
Chris Murray run for 7 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
85.8%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 9 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
85.9%
Johnston White run for no gain to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
85.8%
Johnston White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
85.9%
Johnston White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
85.9%
Justice Hansen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+15
85.8%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 15 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
86.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 12 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
85.9%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 0
OWN 30
+5
85.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
85.7%
Malcolm Williams run for 15 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
85.5%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
85.5%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+28
85.7%
Evan Rabon punt for 55 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 28 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
85.6%
Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
85.6%
Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
85.5%
Justice Hansen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
85.3%
Cody Grace punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 5:3515% → 20%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
85.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Alex James for 5 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+7
85.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+33
85.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 33 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
84.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+12
84.5%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 12 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
84.5%
Alex James run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+10
84.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 10 yds to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+8
84.3%
Keane, Tyler pass incomplete, PENALTY A-ST pass interference (Johnson, M.) 8 yards to the A-ST6, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
83.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 1Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.8%
Dalton Demos run for 1 yd for a TD ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.3%
Justice Hansen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
82.2%
White, Johnston rush for 50 yards to the COASTAL14 (Hears, Dontay;Chesley, A.), PENALTY A-ST illegal formation 5 yards to the A-ST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+10
81.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 10 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
82.3%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 10 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-4
82.7%
Jamal Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+2
81.8%
Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
81.6%
Cody Grace punt for 49 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for no gain to the CCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
80.4%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+15
80.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 15 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
80.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
80.1%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-5
80.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+7
80.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 7 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
80.8%
Evan Rabon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 8TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:3880% → 86%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
80.4%
Justice Hansen run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+15
81.4%
Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Murray, Chris, PENALTY COASTAL pass interference (Hears, Dontay) 15 yards to the COASTAL45, 1ST DOWN A-ST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
81.6%
Jamal Jones run for 11 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
82.0%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Blake MackSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
82.0%
Jamal Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+5
81.6%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 5 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
82.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 7 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
82.1%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Blake MackSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+7
81.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Johnston White for 7 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 10 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:4016% → 16%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
84.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 18 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Alex James for no gain to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
84.3%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar Black, broken up by Nehemiah WagnerSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+11
84.7%
Keane, Tyler pass incomplete to Johnson, Shane, PENALTY A-ST holding 11 yards to the COASTAL43, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
83.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+10
83.2%
Tyler Keane run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
83.0%
Tyler Keane sacked by Ja'Von Rolland-Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 16
50
0
83.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 16
50
0
84.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 16
50
0
84.3%
Evan Rabon punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:5884% → 86%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.9%
Johnston White run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
84.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 9 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
85.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Johnston White for 31 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
85.2%
Jamal Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
85.2%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick Edwards, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+7
84.7%
Justice Hansen run for 7 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.2%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Chris Murray, broken up by Amir HowardSimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
85.2%
Johnston White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
84.4%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Dijon PaschalSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+17
85.8%
Sawyer Williams 17 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
86.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4986% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 6 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+32
86.2%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 32 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
86.8%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 18 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
86.9%
Johnston White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
86.9%
Justice Hansen run for no gain to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
91.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 17 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
91.9%
Kilton Anderson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 25 Kilton Anderson fumbled, recovered by CCaroSimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
92.2%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 20Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
92.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+50
92.3%
Evan Rabon punt for 55 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 50 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 14FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3493% → 97%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
93.0%
Justice Hansen sacked by Jonathan Clayton and Ja'ree Tolbert for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 28Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
92.9%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+18
92.6%
Justice Hansen run for 18 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
93.0%
Jamal Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
93.0%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.8%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick Edwards, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
96.9%
Sawyer Williams 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:003% → 3%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
96.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+24
96.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
50
+20
96.2%
Alex James run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
95.8%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-5
96.3%
Alex James run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+49
96.9%
Evan Rabon 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:5498% → 100%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
97.6%
Justice Hansen run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
97.6%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Dijon PaschalSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+8
97.6%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 8 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
97.7%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 11 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
97.6%
Johnston White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+11
97.6%
Johnston White run for 11 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
97.7%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 4 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+18
98.0%
Justice Hansen run for 18 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 4 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 6 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
99.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Omar Black for 22 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
99.8%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
99.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Evan Rabon punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.8%
Johnston White run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
99.8%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 16Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
99.8%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+63
99.8%
Cody Grace punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the ARKST 34 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
98.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 51 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4799% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 7 yds to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+12
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 12 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 5 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+18
99.0%
Chauncey Mason run for 18 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 23 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:210% → 1%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
Anderson, K. pass incomplete to Jones, Chris, PENALTY A-ST pass interference (Medley, Demari) 15 yards to the COASTAL36, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.9%
Alex James run for 13 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Omar Black for 10 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 26 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-11
100.0%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 11 yards to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
99.3%
Evan Rabon 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 22FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:4999% → 100%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.4%
Chauncey Mason run for 2 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
99.4%
Chauncey Mason run for 5 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
99.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.4%
Jamal Jones run for 11 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.4%
Jamal Jones run for no gain to the CCaro 21Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.4%
Chauncey Mason run for 4 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
99.4%
Logan Bonner run for no gain to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
100.0%
Sawyer Williams 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+21
100.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 21 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
100.0%
Kilton Anderson sacked by William Bradley-King for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+28
100.0%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards Kilton Anderson fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Darreon Jackson , return for 28 yds, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
100.0%
T'Qele Holmes run for 11 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+13
100.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to T'Qele Holmes, broken up by Jefferie GibsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:11
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 17 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 6:58
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 10 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)
+4.5
FG · Q3 8:47
Sawyer Williams 22 yd FG GOOD
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com