Try the model
GAST

Georgia State 27 at Coastal Carolina 21

CCU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Oliver Holdenson punt for 31 yds , Chris Jones returns for 7 yds to the CCaro 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Home team on offense−29.9Score differential−13.3Garbage-time factor−7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Pregame prior−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:26: Kyler Neal run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +6.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:58: Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +21.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:01: Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright PAT MISSED) — GAST win probability +12.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:50: Tyler Keane pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +28.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:50: Masamitsu Ishibashi kickoff for 10 yds , Jack Walker return for no gain to the CCaro 45 — GAST win probability +13.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:11CCU 4th & 4 at GAST 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:19CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 26 at GAST 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:35CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 35, down 14
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:53CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 17, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:46GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:51CCU 4th & 3 at GAST 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−2.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:36GAST 4th & 7 at CCU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−10.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:36CCU 4th & 12 at CCU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00GAST 4th & 4 at CCU 44, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−2.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:37CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 39, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:45GAST 4th & 20 at GAST 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−3.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:44GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:25GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:58CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:26GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:58CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−1.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:01GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:50CCU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2647% → 46%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
46.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 12 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
46.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+8
46.9%
Dalton Demos run for 8 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
46.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+13
46.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 13 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
46.9%
Tyler Keane run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
46.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 6 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+16
46.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 16 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
46.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
46.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q1 14:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
46.9%
Alex James run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
46.2%
Evan Rabon 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4654% → 61%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
45.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
45.4%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
45.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+20
45.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 20 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
44.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 8 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
44.8%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
44.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 15 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
44.2%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the CCaro 17Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
44.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 9 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
44.3%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
39.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
40.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
40.6%
Dalton Demos run for 2 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
40.4%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
40.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 53 yds, downed at the GeoSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:1062% → 62%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
38.4%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
38.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+22
38.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 22 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
37.8%
Conner Manning run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+19
37.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 19 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
37.0%
Conner Manning sacked by Marcus Williamson for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 49
-5
37.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 47 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Conner ManningSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 47
-2
37.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 26
OWN 45
0
38.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 40 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for no gain to the CCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:1537% → 44%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
36.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 7 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+6
37.0%
Tyler Keane run for 6 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
37.0%
Malcolm Williams run for 10 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
37.7%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 1 yd to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
37.6%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 10 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.3%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar BlackSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
38.2%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+10
38.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 10 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
38.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
38.8%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon Tyler, broken up by Victor HeywardSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+33
44.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 33 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:2360% → 71%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.2%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
40.0%
Hart, Penny rush for loss of 2 yards to the GSU34 (Brewer, C.J.), PENALTY COASTAL face mask (Brewer, C.J.) 15 yards to the COASTAL49, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
38.7%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
38.7%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+17
38.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 17 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
38.3%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari WertsSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
38.3%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the CCaro 14Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+11
35.8%
Conner Manning run for 11 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
29.3%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4531% → 29%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
30.6%
Tyler Keane sacked by Marterious Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+10
30.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 10 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
30.9%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
28.5%
Evan Rabon punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9INT
10 plays · 38 yds · 1:2272% → 77%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
27.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Kyler Neal for 12 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
27.6%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+10
27.6%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Hart, Penny for 8 yards to the GSU42 (Wattley, Fitz), PENALTY COASTAL holding (Chesley, A.) 10 yards to the GSU44, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
26.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 16 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
25.0%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Smith, Glenn for 6 yards to the COASTAL34 (Kelly, Silas), PENALTY GSU holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 20
50
+7
25.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 7 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
25.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari WertsSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+37
23.3%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Fitz Wattley return for 37 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
26.1%
Malcolm Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 7Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+9
26.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 9 yds to the CCaro 16Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+1
26.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
26.1%
Evan Rabon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
22.2%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
22.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
22.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
24.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
24.2%
Tyler Keane run for 2 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
24.1%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for 16 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
25.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-5
26.0%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
24.3%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+11
23.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 11 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
26.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 4 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
26.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
26.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 3
OPP 45
-2
25.8%
Alex James run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 4:3484% → 86%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
16.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 31 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
15.6%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+5
15.6%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
15.6%
Conner Manning run for 7 yds to the CCaro 5Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+1
15.6%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the CCaro 4Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
16.0%
Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds to the CCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
13.8%
Kirk, Demarcus rush for 2 yards to the COASTAL0, clock 04:25, PENALTY GSU holding 10 yards to the COASTAL12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
14.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 6 yds to the CCaro 6 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Dontay Hears) to the CCaro 3Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
13.8%
Smith, Glenn rush for 2 yards to the COASTAL1 (Brewer, C.J.), PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the COASTAL8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
12.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
12.8%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the CCaro 7Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
13.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari Werts, broken up by Jave BrownSimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
13.7%
Brandon Wright 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
16.8%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by James TraylorSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
16.7%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-6
16.4%
Tyler Keane sacked by James Traylor for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 18Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
16.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:0688% → 89%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
12.0%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
11.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+14
11.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
10.3%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Hunter Atkinson) to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+5
10.4%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+7
10.3%
Glenn Smith run for 7 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-1
10.5%
Demarcus Kirk run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+7
11.2%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 31 yds , Chris Jones returns for 7 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
13.5%
Dalton Demos run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
13.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 10 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
14.0%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Maxwell KjosaSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
13.7%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for no gain to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+8
13.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 8 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
14.6%
Evan Rabon punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
5.7%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal procedure (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-13
5.7%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 18 GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Tamir Jones) to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 23
OWN 9
+3
6.0%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 20
OWN 12
0
6.2%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 20
OWN 12
0
6.2%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:339% → 32%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
9.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 22 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
10.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+16
10.4%
Tyler Keane run for 16 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.8%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:5179% → 97%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
21.0%
Glenn Smith run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+6
19.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 6 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
19.9%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+52
19.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 52 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
15.8%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+13
15.8%
Glenn Smith run for 13 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
15.8%
Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
3.3%
Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:116% → 34%
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+25
5.7%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
5.5%
Tyler Keane run for 5 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
50
0
6.3%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
50
0
6.1%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 10
50
+45
5.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 45 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
34.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0992% → 95%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
7.7%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
6.5%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
4.6%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-2
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:50
Tyler Keane pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
+28.1
TD · Q4 6:58
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
+21.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:50
Masamitsu Ishibashi kickoff for 10 yds , Jack Walker return for no gain to the CCaro 45
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com