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UAPB

Arkansas-Pine Bluff 3 at Arkansas State 48

ARST
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Centennial Bank Stadium
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Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadUAPB aheadconfidence bandkey playARST scoreUAPB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:59 · Jamie Gillan punt for 43 yds, downed at the ArkSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+48.9Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:51: Jamie Gillan 30 yd FG GOOD — UAPB win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UAPB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:24: Warren Wand run for 12 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:18: Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 73 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:14: Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 23 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK) — ARST win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UAPB made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:59UAPB 4th & 2 at ARST 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:24UAPB 4th & 3 at ARST 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:51UAPB 4th & 10 at ARST 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:06UAPB 4th & 15 at ARST 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:06ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24ARST 4th & 1 at UAPB 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:12UAPB 4th & 10 at UAPB 2, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:46ARST 4th & 18 at UAPB 38, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:52UAPB 4th & 11 at UAPB 9, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:55ARST 4th & 6 at UAPB 19, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:12UAPB 4th & 1 at UAPB 46, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 30, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:36UAPB 4th & 8 at ARST 9, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:07ARST 4th & 10 at ARST 24, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:20UAPB 4th & 8 at UAPB 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:04ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:44ARST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:24ARST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:18ARST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:14ARST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:12ARST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:41ARST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UAPBDrive 1INT
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+32
99.8%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tyrin Ralph for 32 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
99.8%
KeShawn Williams run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.8%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tryvarious Cole for 3 yds to the ArkSt 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Brandon Duncan pass intercepted Blaise Taylor return for no gain to the ArkSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
99.7%
Warren Wand run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 22Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+17
99.7%
Warren Wand run for 17 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.7%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 12 yds to the ArkPB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.7%
Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 45Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
99.7%
Johnston White run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.7%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Christian Booker for 38 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tyrin Ralph for 4 yds to the ArkPB 38Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ArkPB 43Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
KeShawn Williams run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
KeShawn Williams run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 46Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+1
99.7%
KeShawn Williams run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 47Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+6
99.7%
Brandon Duncan run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Jamie Gillan punt for 43 yds, downed at the ArkSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
99.6%
Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 5Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+1
99.6%
Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 6Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+2
99.6%
Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 8Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+24
99.6%
Cody Grace punt for 33 yds, downed at the ArkSt 41 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, illegal fair catch signal (-9 Yards) to the ArkSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.5%
KeShawn Williams run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
99.5%
KeShawn Williams run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
99.5%
Brandon Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+41
99.5%
Jamie Gillan 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Johnston White run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+25
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Christian Booker for 25 yds to the ArkPB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.5%
Justice Hansen run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 38Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Johnston White for 5 yds to the ArkPB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 3 yds to the ArkPB 30Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 2 yds to the ArkPB 28Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+11
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 11 yds to the ArkPB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Chris MurraySimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Justice Hansen run for no gain to the ArkPB 17Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+14
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 14 yds to the ArkPB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 3 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 7FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:531% → 1%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.4%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Kolby McNeal for 16 yds to the ArkPB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.4%
Tryvarious Cole run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Brandon Duncan pass incomplete to Paris MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+8
99.4%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to KeShawn Williams for 8 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
99.4%
Brandon Duncan sacked by Kyle Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkPB 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
Christian Jordan run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+29
99.4%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Kolby McNeal for 29 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.3%
Christian Jordan run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+7
99.3%
Brandon Duncan run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+1
99.2%
Brandon Duncan run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Brandon Duncan pass incomplete to Paris MackSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tyrin Ralph for no gain to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Brandon Duncan pass incomplete to Tyrin RalphSimilar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
99.0%
Jamie Gillan 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 9 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 7 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+25
99.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 25 yds to the ArkPB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.1%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 10 yds to the ArkPB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.1%
Wand, Warren rush for 4 yards to the UAPB18 (Odom, Jamal;Wallace,Joshua), PENALTY UAPB offside 5 yards to the UAPB17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+5
99.1%
ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the ArkPB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.4%
Warren Wand run for 12 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:181% → 1%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
99.2%
KeShawn Williams run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.2%
KeShawn Williams run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
99.2%
KeShawn Williams run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+9
99.2%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tyrin Ralph for 9 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.1%
Brandon Duncan sacked by Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 15
OPP 37
-9
99.2%
Brandon Duncan sacked by Clifford Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the ArkSt 46Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 24
OPP 46
+9
99.2%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Christian Jordan for 9 yds to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 15
OPP 37
+54
99.1%
Jamie Gillan 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.2%
Jamal Jones run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.3%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 1 yd to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Dijon PaschalSimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jamal JonesSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Cody Grace punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 11INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:121% → 1%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
99.0%
KeShawn Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkPB 5Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
99.0%
KeShawn Williams run for no gain to the ArkPB 5Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
99.0%
Brandon Duncan pass intercepted Nehemiah Wagner return for no gain to the ArkPB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.2%
Johnston White run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 13Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-5
99.2%
Hansen, Justice pass complete to Mack, Blake for 13 yards to the UAPB0, clock 01:19, PENALTY A-ST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UAPB18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+13
99.2%
Justice Hansen run for 13 yds to the ArkPB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.1%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.1%
Johnston White run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 1Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.0%
Johnston White run for no gain to the ArkPB 1Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.8%
Justice Hansen run for no gain to the ArkPB 1 Justice Hansen fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Justice HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.8%
Brandon Duncan run for no gain to the ArkPB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:3799% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
98.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 8 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+73
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 73 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Brandon Duncan pass intercepted Kyle Wilson return for no gain to the ArkPB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Jefferie Gibson for 1 yd to the ArkPB 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Christian Booker for 4 yds to the ArkPB 25Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
99.5%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 8 yds to the ArkPB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
99.5%
Justice Hansen run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkPB 23 Justice Hansen fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Justice HansenSimilar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 23 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
99.9%
KeShawn Williams run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 4Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Brandon Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 4
-2
99.9%
KeShawn Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkPB 2Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+26
99.9%
Jamie Gillan punt for 54 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 26 yds to the ArkPB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-8
99.9%
Justice Hansen sacked by Kevin Agee for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkPB 38Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 18
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Chris MurraySimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Cody Grace punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkPB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.9%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to KeShawn Williams for 3 yds to the ArkPB 13Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-4
99.9%
Brandon Duncan sacked by Jarrod Chandler for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkPB 9Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Brandon Duncan pass incomplete to Kolby McNeal, broken up by Nehemiah WagnerSimilar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 11
OWN 9
-4
99.9%
Jamie Gillan punt for 45 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkPB 44 Blaise Taylor fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Blaise Taylor , return for 14 yds to the ArkPB 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Johnston White run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 41Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-1
99.9%
Johnston White run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 42Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+19
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 19 yds to the ArkPB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Johnston White run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 18Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-4
99.9%
Justice Hansen sacked by Tashad Charity for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkPB 22Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Johnston White run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 19Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
99.9%
Sawyer Williams 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Christian Jordan run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 24Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tyrin Ralph for 14 yds Tyrin Ralph fumbled, forced by Trent Ellis-Brewer, recovered by ArkSt Tajhea ChambersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Jamal Jones run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 33Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnisSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 10 yds to the ArkPB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Tryvarious Cole run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 28Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
100.0%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to Tryvarious Cole for 9 yds to the ArkPB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Tryvarious Cole run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 38Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Duncan, Brandon sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UAPB35 (Harris, T.J.), PENALTY A-ST offside 5 yards to the UAPB43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Brandon Duncan pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremy SmithSimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Brandon Duncan pass complete to KeShawn Williams for 3 yds to the ArkPB 46Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jamie Gillan punt for 27 yds, downed at the ArkSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jamal Jones run for no gain to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Logan Bonner run for no gain to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Cody Grace punt for 36 yds , Kevin Crayton returns for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ArkSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkPB 47Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+16
100.0%
Christian Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkPB 32 Christian Jordan fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Michael Johnson , return for 16 yds to the ArkPB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 26TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 31Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+11
100.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McInnis for 11 yds to the ArkPB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
100.0%
Warren Wand run for 11 yds to the ArkPB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Christian Booker for 9 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 78 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
100.0%
Christian Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 12Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+2
100.0%
Tryvarious Cole run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 14Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+75
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson pass complete to Orion Smith for 75 yds to the ArkSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 6Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
100.0%
Christian Jordan run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 5Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
100.0%
ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 10Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+1
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 9Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 8
OPP 9
0
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson pass incomplete to Orion Smith, broken up by Darreon JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
100.0%
Johnston White run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 16Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+8
100.0%
Logan Bonner run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Chauncey Mason run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
Logan Bonner sacked by Nick Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Cody Grace punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkPB 32 , Kevin Crayton returns for 3 yds to the ArkPB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Tryvarious Cole run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 35Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
100.0%
Tryvarious Cole run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 41Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Tryvarious Cole run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson run for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkPB 35Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
LaEarl Patterson pass complete to Tryvarious Cole for 9 yds to the ArkPB 44Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Tryvarious Cole run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 45Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Jamie Gillan punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
100.0%
Armond Weh-Weh run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
100.0%
Carson Coats run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:18
Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 73 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q3 12:14
Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 23 yds for a TD, (Sawyer Williams KICK)
+0.4
FG · Q2 9:51
Jamie Gillan 30 yd FG GOOD
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com