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TNST

Tennessee State 17 at Georgia State 10

GAST
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadTNST aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreTNST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:45 · Oliver Holdenson punt for 48 yds, downed at the TenSt 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense−18.2Garbage-time factor−11.1Score differential−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:32: Treon Harris run for 12 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK) — TNST win probability +18.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TNST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:40: Treon Harris pass complete to Steven Newbold for 16 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down — TNST win probability +10.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TNST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:29: Aaron Winchester pass complete to Taz Bateman for 36 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +15.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:51: Seth Rowland run for 2 yds to the TenSt 40 — TNST win probability +11.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TNST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 29 — TNST win probability +14.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TNST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7TNST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TNST 4th & 10 at TNST 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:05TNST 4th & 1 at GAST 1, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:05GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:20TNST 4th & 11 at GAST 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 29, down 3
    Close callPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:07GAST 4th & 3 at TNST 3, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:06TNST 4th & 13 at GAST 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00GAST 4th & 2 at TNST 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.9%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:17TNST 4th & 6 at GAST 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:58GAST 4th & 1 at TNST 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−4.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−16.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:19TNST 4th & 1 at GAST 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−2.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−12.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54TNST 4th & 5 at GAST 37, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:29GAST 4th & 3 at TNST 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−2.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:29TNST 4th & 3 at TNST 13, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:51TNST 4th & 2 at TNST 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:45GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−3.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:45TNST 4th & 9 at TNST 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TNST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:15TNST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:32TNST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:29GAST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TNSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
86.8%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for no gain to the TenSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
86.8%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Mahlon MedleySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
86.8%
Treon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
86.8%
Austin Rowley punt for 30 yds, downed at the TenSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
86.5%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the TenSt 42Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+17
86.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 17 yds to the TenSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
86.5%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 27 Kyler Neal fumbled, forced by Chris Collins, recovered by TenSt Justin NorthSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 3FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:4214% → 17%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
86.1%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 1 yd to the TenSt 28Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+17
86.1%
Treon Harris run for 17 yds to the TenSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
86.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Patrick Smith for 20 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
86.0%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+10
86.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to DeVon Johnson for 10 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
86.0%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Steven Newbold, broken up by Chandon SullivanSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
86.0%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
86.0%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
86.0%
Treon Harris run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Chandon Sullivan) to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
86.0%
Andrew Knox run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.0%
Andrew Knox run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.8%
Andrew Knox run for no gain to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
83.5%
Lane Clark 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.5%
Taz Bateman run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
83.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
83.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+5
83.4%
Manning, Conner pass intercepted by DUNCAN, Trevion at the GSU20, DUNCAN, Trevion return to the GSU20, PENALTY TSU OF 5 yards to the GSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+2
83.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Taz Bateman for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
83.4%
Brandon Wright punt for 26 yds, downed at the TenSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:0118% → 19%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
82.4%
Treon Harris pass complete to Steven Newbold for 21 yds to the TenSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to DeVon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+31
82.0%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 31 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
81.6%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
81.6%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by Chandon SullivanSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-3
82.0%
Treon Harris sacked by Trey Payne for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
80.9%
Lane Clark 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mackendy CheridorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:2081% → 81%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
81.0%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Smith, Glenn for 5 yards to the GSU26 (COOK, Laquarius), PENALTY GSU holding 5 yards to the GSU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
80.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+13
80.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 13 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
80.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
80.5%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 35 yds, downed at the TenSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:1120% → 28%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.8%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 3 yds to the TenSt 39Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
79.4%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Mahlon MedleySimilar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
79.8%
Treon Harris pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the TenSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
79.4%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
79.2%
Treon Harris run for 21 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
78.9%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
78.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Mahlon Medley for 5 yds to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+5
79.3%
Treon Harris run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.6%
Seth Rowland run for 4 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 6:0873% → 70%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
73.0%
Taz Bateman run for 3 yds to the TenSt 49Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
73.2%
Taz Bateman run for 4 yds to the TenSt 45Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
73.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the TenSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
73.3%
Taz Bateman run for 1 yd to the TenSt 39Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
73.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 3 yds to the TenSt 36Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+9
73.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the TenSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
74.2%
Taz Bateman run for 4 yds to the TenSt 23Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-2
74.2%
Taz Bateman run for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 25Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+15
73.2%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Boyd, Todd, PENALTY TSU pass interference (SELLERS, V.) 15 yards to the TSU10, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.2%
Taz Bateman run for no gain to the TenSt 10Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
74.2%
Conner Manning run for 8 yds to the TenSt 2Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
73.3%
Conner Manning run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 3Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
69.9%
Brandon Wright 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:0133% → 39%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.5%
Treon Harris pass complete to Andrew Knox for 11 yds to the TenSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
66.7%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 1 yd to the TenSt 37Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
66.9%
Treon Harris pass complete to Patrick Smith for 16 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
65.5%
HARRIS, Treon pass incomplete to NEWBOLD, Steven, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Applin, DeAndre) 15 yards to the GSU32, 1ST DOWN TSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
65.2%
Treon Harris run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
65.1%
CURTIS, Sabree rush for no gain to the GSU22 (Williams, Bryan), PENALTY TSU holding (MORRIS, C.) 10 yards to the GSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+10
65.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Patrick Smith for 10 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
65.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Miles Cavitt for 12 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
65.1%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Andrew KnoxSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
58.3%
TENNESSEE ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
59.0%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Mahlon MedleySimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
60.6%
Lane Clark 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
63.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
62.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 19 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
64.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Kyler Neal for 8 yds to the TenSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
65.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd, broken up by Laquarius CookSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
65.4%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the TenSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
63.8%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the TenSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.3%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Andrew KnoxSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
56.4%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 1 yd to the TenSt 48Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+3
57.2%
Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
57.9%
Austin Rowley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taz Bateman at the GeoSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:3858% → 58%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+72
57.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 59 yds to the GEORGIAST 26 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE ST Penalty, roughing passer (13 Yards) to the TenSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
63.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 2 yds to the TenSt 11Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
63.5%
Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the TenSt 9Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
59.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Emiere Scaife for 5 yds to the TenSt 4Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
57.8%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the TenSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 4:4746% → 77%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
53.9%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by Jerome Smith TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+59
54.4%
Seth Rowland run for 59 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
49.3%
Treon Harris run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
48.4%
Seth Rowland run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-2
48.4%
Seth Rowland run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
49.2%
Seth Rowland run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
50.7%
Seth Rowland run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
48.4%
Seth Rowland run for no gain to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
42.1%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by DeAndre ApplinSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
23.5%
Treon Harris run for 12 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0029% → 31%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
28.9%
Conner Manning sacked by Jason Morrow for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 33 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+5
27.6%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Gentry, Devin, PENALTY TSU offside defense 5 yards to the GSU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
29.0%
Conner Manning run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
29.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Taz Bateman for 7 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
30.4%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Hart, Penny, PENALTY TSU pass interference (COOK, Laquarius) 14 yards to the TSU38, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
31.0%
Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 4 yards to the TenSt 42 Aaron Winchester fumbled, recovered by TenSt Blair EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 16MISSED FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:4680% → 83%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
20.2%
Treon Harris pass complete to Steven Newbold for 16 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
19.7%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+4
19.8%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+2
20.0%
Treon Harris pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+54
16.8%
Lane Clark 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:2522% → 39%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
22.1%
Winchester, A. pass incomplete to Smith, Glenn, PENALTY TSU personal foul (COOK, Laquarius) 0 yards to the GSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
22.1%
Taz Bateman run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+17
22.7%
Aaron Winchester run for 17 yds to the TenSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
24.1%
Aaron Winchester run for 4 yds to the TenSt 39Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-3
24.5%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Chris Collins for a loss of 3 yards to the TenSt 42Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+6
23.5%
Aaron Winchester run for 6 yds to the TenSt 36Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+36
38.6%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Taz Bateman for 36 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-4
33.6%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TenSt 2Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 14
OWN 2
+13
34.1%
Treon Harris pass complete to Patrick Smith for 13 yds to the TenSt 15Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 1
OWN 15
-2
34.2%
Treon Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 13 Treon Harris fumbled, recovered by TenSt Treon HarrisSimilar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
36.0%
Austin Rowley punt for 38 yds, downed at the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
35.3%
Taz Bateman run for a loss of 4 yards to the TenSt 38 Taz Bateman fumbled, forced by Dell Porter, recovered by TenSt Ebenezer Ogundeko TENNESSEE ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TenSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.4%
Seth Rowland run for 2 yds to the TenSt 40Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
23.3%
Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the TenSt 46Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
23.4%
Seth Rowland run for no gain to the TenSt 46Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
25.8%
Austin Rowley punt for 33 yds , Taz Bateman returns for 5 yds to the GEORGIAST 49 GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the GeoSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:4526% → 22%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
25.5%
Aaron Winchester run for no gain to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+10
24.8%
Winchester, A. pass incomplete to Hart, Penny, PENALTY TSU holding (COOK, Laquarius) 10 yards to the GSU26, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
25.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Taz Bateman for 9 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
28.2%
Taz Bateman run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+7
26.8%
Taz Bateman run for 17 yds to the GEORGIAST 48 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Penny Hart) to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
28.7%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-10
27.1%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Neiman Armstrong for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 20
OWN 32
+14
23.5%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Taz Bateman for 14 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
21.8%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 48 yds, downed at the TenSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:4786% → 93%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
14.5%
CURTIS, Sabree rush for 3 yards to the TSU9 (Sullivan, C.;Payne, Trey), PENALTY TSU holding 3 yards to the TSU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 13
OWN 3
0
14.5%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Steven NewboldSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 13
OWN 3
0
14.7%
Treon Harris pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 13
OWN 3
+4
15.7%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 4 yds to the TenSt 7Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 9
OWN 7
+5
7.4%
Austin Rowley punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 44 , Taz Bateman returns for 5 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
17.1%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Taz Bateman for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
50
+32
19.2%
Aaron Winchester pass intercepted Dajour Nesbeth return for 32 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:32
Treon Harris run for 12 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK)
-18.7
TD · Q4 11:29
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Taz Bateman for 36 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)
+15.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 29
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com