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ODU

Old Dominion 10 at Middle Tennessee 41

MTSU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1MTSU 99.9%Crews Holt 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 41 · Q4 6:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:32 · Crews Holt 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior+4.1Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+30.0Garbage-time factor+12.6Blowout margin+16.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:25: Canon Rooker 28 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +1.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:06: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 44 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:36: Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 8 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:27: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 22 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:11: Terelle West run for 6 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:46ODU 4th & 3 at MTSU 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:46MTSU 4th & 7 at ODU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:25MTSU 4th & 9 at ODU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07ODU 4th & 8 at MTSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:07MTSU 4th & 11 at ODU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:06ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:36ODU 4th & 3 at MTSU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:31ODU 4th & 3 at MTSU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:11ODU 4th & 16 at MTSU 40, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:06ODU 4th & 2 at MTSU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:18ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:53MTSU 4th & 7 at ODU 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:11ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:50ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 44, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:32MTSU 4th & 10 at ODU 24, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 11:06MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:36MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:27MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:11MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:50MTSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:51ODU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1417% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
83.1%
Ray Lawry run for 28 yds to the MIDDLETENN 47 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
83.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+17
83.1%
Blake LaRussa run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
83.1%
Brandon Sinclair run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+3
83.1%
Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
83.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for no gain to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
82.0%
Nick Rice 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FG
15 plays · 40 yds · 5:2182% → 81%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
50
-1
82.3%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+5
82.1%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+6
82.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
82.3%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
82.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
82.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+12
82.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 12 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
82.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+15
82.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 15 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
82.3%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
82.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
82.3%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the ODU 10Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
82.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
80.8%
Canon Rooker 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:1820% → 22%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.4%
Brandon Sinclair run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
80.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Khalil BrooksSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
80.6%
Blake LaRussa run for 10 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
80.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 25 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
79.8%
Blake LaRussa run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-2
79.6%
Brandon Sinclair run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+9
79.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
79.6%
Blake LaRussa run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-3
79.6%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
79.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
78.3%
Nick Rice 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Darryl Randolph Darryl Randolph return for no gain to the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
80.0%
Terelle West run for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
80.2%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-2
80.2%
Terelle West run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
79.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
79.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds, downed at the ODU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:1322% → 21%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
78.1%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+10
78.1%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
77.8%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-2
77.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+6
78.2%
Brandon Sinclair run for 6 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 25
-5
78.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+60
78.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MIDDLETENN 35 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4178% → 83%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.7%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+23
77.4%
Terelle West run for 23 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
78.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+44
82.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 44 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
81.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 26 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
80.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
80.5%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
81.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
81.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:0782% → 86%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
81.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 14 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
81.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 8 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
82.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
82.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+1
82.7%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 4
50
+13
82.7%
Terelle West run for 13 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
82.7%
Jocquez Bruce run for 20 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
82.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
83.1%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
86.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 8 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
85.7%
Steven Williams run for 7 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
85.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
85.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+4
84.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
84.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
84.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Noah Ellison for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
84.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Noah EllisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:3887% → 96%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
87.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 8 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+9
87.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 9 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
87.1%
Brent Stockstill run for 14 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
87.1%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 22 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11DOWNS
14 plays · 26 yds · 1:167% → 6%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
93.4%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+11
93.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 11 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.2%
Steven Williams run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-1
92.9%
Steven Williams sacked by Myles Harges for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+4
94.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+10
93.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 10 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
93.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 8 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
93.1%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
93.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Mike MinterSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-15
93.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
94.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson, broken up by Darius HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.7%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+17
95.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 17 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
95.7%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
95.7%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Miles Fox for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+28
95.6%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Sean Carter return for 28 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
94.9%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+6
95.1%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Marques Little for 6 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
95.0%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by Darius HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
96.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Rob Thompson) to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
96.5%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+24
96.4%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Rob Thompson return for 24 yds to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
95.7%
Blake LaRussa run for 7 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-5
95.6%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
95.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, downed at the MTnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:4297% → 100%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+44
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 44 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
96.9%
Terelle West run for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 45 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 16
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+9
96.7%
Terelle West run for 9 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+12
96.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 12 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
96.9%
Terelle West run for 8 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-2
96.9%
Terelle West run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+8
96.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 8 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for 4 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Terelle West run for 6 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for no gain to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.7%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
99.7%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+23
99.7%
Terelle West run for 23 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.8%
Jocquez Bruce run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+3
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+36
99.8%
Terelle West run for 36 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
99.8%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+9
99.8%
Isaiah Harper run for 9 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-1
99.8%
Isaiah Harper run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, downed at the MTnSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 6:31100% → 100%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.8%
Jocquez Bruce run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-1
99.8%
Jocquez Bruce run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+35
99.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 35 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+10
99.8%
Jocquez Bruce run for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.8%
Jocquez Bruce run for 11 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.8%
Desmond Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Desmond Anderson run for no gain to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Crews Holt 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+58
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 58 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Brandon Sinclair run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 62 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+24
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 9 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 13 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 14 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Will Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:27
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 22 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q2 11:06
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 44 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q2 5:36
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 8 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com