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RICE

Rice 21 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:45 · Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+3.9Home team on offense+6.8Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score differential+0.8Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:21: Ray Lawry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +13.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:45: Nahshon Ellerbe run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +19.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 2:05: Miklo Smalls run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +48.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:37: Steven Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +57.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:21: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 48 — ODU win probability +17.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:39ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:25RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00RICE 4th & 4 at ODU 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:53ODU 4th & 15 at RICE 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:53RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 26, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:21ODU 4th & 16 at RICE 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:24RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28ODU 4th & 11 at RICE 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:02ODU 4th & 8 at RICE 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:06RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−2.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:45ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:10RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:46ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:39RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:09ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:21ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:45RICE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:05RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−1.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:37ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.8%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-9
69.8%
Steven Williams sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+12
69.8%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:3231% → 33%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
69.4%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Walter for 14 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
69.4%
Miklo Smalls run for 14 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
69.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+17
69.3%
Austin Trammell run for 17 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
67.2%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
67.7%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
67.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Martin NwakammaSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
67.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
66.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+2
66.7%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-10
66.7%
SMALLS, Miklo pass complete to WALTER, Austin for 40 yards to the ODU13, PENALTY RICE holding (MARTIN, Trey) 10 yards to the RICE37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+11
67.1%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Parker Smith for 11 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
66.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Rice Miklo SmallsSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
67.0%
Jack Fox punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:5266% → 69%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
65.7%
Brandon Sinclair run for 19 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
66.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 7 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
66.5%
Brandon Sinclair run for 5 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
66.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
66.7%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+10
66.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 10 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
67.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 2 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
69.3%
Steven Williams run for 24 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:0333% → 34%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
50
+15
66.7%
Miklo Smalls run for 15 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
66.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 8 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
66.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
66.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
66.4%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Will Phillips for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+7
66.4%
Miklo Smalls run for 7 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
66.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 6 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
66.4%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
65.6%
Miklo Smalls pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
66.3%
Will Harrison 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Pat Toal TEAM return for 1 yd to the ODU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 7:0768% → 70%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
68.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 9 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
68.9%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
68.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 3 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
68.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 10 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
69.1%
Brandon Sinclair run for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+8
68.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 8 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+15
68.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 15 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
69.6%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
70.0%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
70.4%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+15
69.7%
Ray Lawry run for 15 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-13
70.4%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the Rice 3 OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 0
OPP 18
+1
71.1%
Brandon Sinclair run for 1 yd to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+2
69.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 2 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
69.5%
Nick Rice 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
70.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
70.6%
Miklo Smalls run for 5 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
70.9%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Marvin BranchSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Jack Fox run for no gain to the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5773% → 69%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
72.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-6
72.6%
Steven Williams sacked by Roe Wilkins and Emmanuel Ellerbee for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 16
OPP 32
0
70.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+49
68.8%
Nick Rice 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Zach Abercrumbia TEAM return for a loss of 20 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:5730% → 28%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
69.9%
Miklo Smalls run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
70.0%
MONTGOMERY, C. rush for 11 yards to the RICE45 (THOMPSON, Rob), PENALTY RICE illegal shift (MONTGOMERY, C.) 5 yards to the RICE29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-4
70.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+1
71.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
72.2%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 24 , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 2:4870% → 68%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
69.7%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
70.7%
Steven Williams run for 5 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
70.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 8 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
71.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Marques LittleSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
71.1%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
71.9%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
71.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+14
71.7%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.8%
Steven Williams run for no gain to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
72.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Brandon Sinclair for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
70.6%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
68.2%
Nick Rice 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
69.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.4%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
66.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
67.5%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 4 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
66.8%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 36 Miklo Smalls fumbled, recovered by ODU Pat Toal , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
71.6%
Isaiah Harper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+4
71.4%
Steven Williams run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-1
71.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
68.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 27 yds, downed at the Rice 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
67.7%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
68.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+8
68.8%
Miklo Smalls run for 8 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
67.2%
Miklo Smalls run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 18Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+26
67.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 26 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
64.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
64.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-7
64.4%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Oshane Ximines and Daniel Appouh for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
68.5%
Jack Fox punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 8:4569% → 85%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
68.5%
RICE Penalty, Defensive holding (Martin Nwakamma) to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
70.1%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+17
68.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 17 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.3%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Destri WhiteSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
71.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+13
70.6%
Ray Lawry run for 13 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
72.1%
Steven Williams run for 6 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+18
72.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 18 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.4%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3617% → 38%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.9%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+21
83.1%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Jordan Myers for 21 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
81.3%
Miklo Smalls run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+10
82.7%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Walter for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
50
+10
82.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
82.3%
Austin Trammell run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
82.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 8 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
80.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+17
80.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Trammell for 17 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
61.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.0%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
71.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 8 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
72.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
70.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.9%
Miklo Smalls run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
68.9%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
70.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 5 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+24
70.7%
Jack Fox punt for 53 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 24 yds to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.2%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
73.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+6
72.4%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
72.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 31 yds , Austin Trammell returns for no gain to the Rice 20 Austin Trammell fumbled, recovered by Rice Austin TrammellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:4732% → 89%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.4%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
70.0%
Miklo Smalls run for 13 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
66.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
67.0%
Austin Trammell run for 10 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
63.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 10 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-7
62.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (Will Phillips) to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
67.1%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for no gain to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+8
68.5%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
62.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (Will Phillips) to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-4
65.5%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+51
65.6%
Austin Walter run for 51 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
60.5%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:2828% → 94%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.1%
Steven Williams run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
31.1%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
30.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 15 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
34.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 24 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.9%
Marques Little run for no gain to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
37.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 6 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+10
36.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 10 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.6%
Steven Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0022% → 26%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
78.4%
Miklo Smalls run for 15 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
73.9%
Miklo Smalls pass intercepted Sean Carter return for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
50
-2
90.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:37
Steven Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
+57.5
TD · Q4 2:05
Miklo Smalls run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
-48.1
TD · Q4 11:45
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
-19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com