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ODU

Old Dominion 37 at Florida International 30

FIU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-4.1FIU 64.1%Nick Rice 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 14 · Q2 2:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:10 · Nick Rice 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior+16.0Home team on offense−3.8Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:26: Ray Lawry run for 40 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +7.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:11: Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +12.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:26: Alex Gardner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 1:49: Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Nick Rice KICK) FLORIDA INTL Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — ODU win probability +23.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:20: Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:16FIU 4th & 9 at ODU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51ODU 4th & 1 at FIU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:10ODU 4th & 7 at FIU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:31FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:26FIU 4th & 2 at ODU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−1.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−8.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:26ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:30FIU 4th & 9 at ODU 35, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:07FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.0%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−3.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:43ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 13, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−4.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:52ODU 4th & 1 at FIU 1, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−4.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−16.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:32ODU 4th & 2 at FIU 6, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:20FIU 4th & 10 at ODU 11, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:48FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:20ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:26ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:31FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:11ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:26FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:49ODU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:20FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.7%
Isaiah Harper run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
78.7%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
78.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
78.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
78.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
78.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlaIn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:0378% → 77%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
78.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
78.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
78.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
78.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 10 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
78.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
78.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal touching (D'Vonte Price) to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+15
78.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 15 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
78.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
78.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
78.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Marvin BranchSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 4
OPP 28
-5
78.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
77.0%
Jose Borregales 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:2523% → 24%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
76.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
76.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Noah Ellison for 9 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
76.3%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
76.4%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
76.3%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
76.4%
Isaiah Harper run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
75.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
76.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:3777% → 80%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
77.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+32
77.1%
Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the FLAINTL 34 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
77.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
77.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
77.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2821% → 27%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
78.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 65 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
77.4%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.4%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
73.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:2076% → 75%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
75.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
75.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
75.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
76.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-15
76.3%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas, PENALTY FIU pass interference (SCOTT, Darrius) 15 yards to the FIU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+5
75.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
74.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Sean CarterSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 36
-2
74.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 50 yds , Darrell Brown returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 88 yds · 1:1126% → 34%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
73.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+39
73.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 39 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
65.6%
Ray Lawry run for 40 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5568% → 76%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
67.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 20 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
68.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
69.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 13 yds to the ODU 36 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (Thomas Owens) to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
69.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
69.5%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
69.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
69.5%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
70.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+12
70.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
70.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
75.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shermar Thornton for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:2130% → 36%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
70.2%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
69.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 5 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
69.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
69.1%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, PENALTY FIU pass interference (MUHAMMAD, Brad) 15 yards to the FIU46, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
67.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 19 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
67.3%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 29 Steven Williams fumbled, recovered by ODU Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+2
67.4%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+3
68.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
64.1%
Nick Rice 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:3966% → 65%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
66.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
68.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
66.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
66.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for no gain to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
64.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:1135% → 52%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
64.8%
Steven Williams run for 12 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
64.0%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to LAWRY, Ray, PENALTY FIU personal foul (LITTLE, Josh) 15 yards to the ODU42, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
62.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 15 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
60.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Noah Ellison for 10 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
60.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+18
60.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 18 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
60.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
47.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
50.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 4:3449% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
49.4%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
49.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+7
48.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+31
49.9%
Alex Gardner run for 31 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
52.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
52.5%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+22
52.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 22 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
54.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
54.1%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+2
52.5%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
62.2%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.8%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
59.4%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
60.9%
Steven Williams sacked by Anthony Johnson and Anthony Wint for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
59.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 14 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
62.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
62.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Pharoah McKever) to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+9
60.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+13
62.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 13 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
63.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
62.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
58.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 22 yds, downed at the ODU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16SF
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:4444% → 40%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
55.6%
Isaiah Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 13
OWN 10
-10
60.3%
Steven Williams sacked by Kevin Oliver and Fermin Silva for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY OLDDOMINION Penalty, intentional grounding (Steven Williams) to the ODU 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
64.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
64.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shermar Thornton for 6 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
64.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-3
62.7%
Stone Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:1646% → 71%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
54.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
54.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
54.1%
Ray Lawry run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
52.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bryce Canady) to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
52.3%
Steven Williams run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.0%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Nick Rice KICK) FLORIDA INTL Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:4935% → 31%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.8%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
37.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 14 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
38.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+4
35.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
32.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Darrius Scott, broken up by Oshane XiminesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
31.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 16 Darrell Brown fumbled, recovered by ODU Jamez BrickhouseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
31.2%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+2
31.8%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 9
OWN 17
-4
32.8%
Steven Williams sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
34.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 31 yds, downed at the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
33.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+17
32.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 17 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
35.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
35.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-6
33.3%
Alex McGough sacked by Daniel Appouh for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 28 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by ODU Pat Toal , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22FG
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:4777% → 86%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
22.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+65
23.7%
Ray Lawry run for 65 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
19.0%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
19.0%
Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.0%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
13.6%
Nick Rice 18 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
11.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
11.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
13.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
14.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+28
14.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds Thomas Owens fumbled, forced by Jordan Young, recovered by ODU Joe Joe Headen , return for 28 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:0990% → 98%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
9.8%
Steven Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
9.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
9.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+7
9.7%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+2
7.8%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
7.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
6.0%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+2
6.1%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
1.7%
Nick Rice 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 1:122% → 13%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
2.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 22 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
2.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 18 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
3.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
3.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Andre BernhardSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
3.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
2.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+11
12.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
13.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
12.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Sean CarterSimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
11.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete, broken up by Rob ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:49
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Nick Rice KICK) FLORIDA INTL Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
-23.4
TD · Q2 0:11
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-12.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com