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WKU

Western Kentucky 35 at Old Dominion 31

ODU
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2017 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:48 · Jake Collins punt for 51 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 18 yds to the ODU 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior−0.2Home team on offense−30.9Garbage-time factor−14.3Score differential−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:53: Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +10.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:30: Ray Lawry run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +15.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:57: Ray Lawry run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +20.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:03: Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +20.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 7:41: Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +33.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:04ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:43WKU 4th & 3 at ODU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:56ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:45ODU 4th & 14 at WKU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−9.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:37WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:55WKU 4th & 20 at WKU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:31ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.1%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:25ODU 4th & 1 at WKU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−4.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−18.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:48WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−4.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:54ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:18WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:35ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:02WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:30ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:57ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:03WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:41WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
31.8%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
31.8%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
31.8%
Mike White run for 2 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
31.8%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 4 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+8
31.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
31.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
31.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
50
-1
31.8%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-5
31.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 44
0
31.8%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
31.8%
Jake Collins punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:3734% → 38%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+54
33.8%
Ray Lawry run for 54 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
34.4%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
34.4%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+12
34.3%
Steven Williams run for 12 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
34.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the WKent 7Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
34.4%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:3163% → 66%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
37.4%
MOSES, Jakairi rush for no gain to the WKU28 (WILLIAMS, D.), PENALTY WKU illegal formation 5 yards to the WKU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
37.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kylen TownerSimilar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+22
37.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 22 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
37.0%
Drew Eckels run for 11 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
34.5%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 44 yds for a TD OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
35.5%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
35.5%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+1
35.1%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
34.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0064% → 65%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
35.8%
BAKER, Quinton rush for no gain to the WKU33 (WILLIAMS, D.), PENALTY ODU offside defense (XIMINES, Oshane) 5 yards to the WKU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+4
35.2%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+17
35.1%
Quinton Baker run for 17 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
35.0%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-5
34.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+19
35.0%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 19 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
34.6%
Mike White sacked by Oshane Ximines and Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
34.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+5
35.1%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 3
OPP 15
0
35.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to D'Andre FerbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:4938% → 49%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
38.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+14
38.4%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
38.7%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+31
38.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 31 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
40.4%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+16
40.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 16 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
40.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
40.4%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
40.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 8 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
40.4%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
40.4%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
48.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:2754% → 63%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
46.4%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 10 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
45.9%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
45.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Denzel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+17
46.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 17 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
44.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+17
44.9%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 17 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
43.7%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+2
43.7%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+6
44.7%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 6 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
43.7%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
43.7%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the ODU 4Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.1%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
42.5%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
42.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 5 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
41.8%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
41.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 69 yds · 0:0060% → 63%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+28
39.9%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 28 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
37.5%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+39
37.5%
Cameron Echols-Luper pass complete to Deon Yelder for 39 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
36.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 4Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.6%
Mike White pass intercepted Joe Joe Headen return for no gain to the ODU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
43.6%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
43.5%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Kyle Bailey return for no gain to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:0963% → 74%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
36.8%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+4
36.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
26.5%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:2231% → 31%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
31.0%
WILLIAMS, S. pass complete to VAUGHN, Melvin for 13 yards to the ODU34 (IYIEGBUNIWE, J.;BERTRAM, D.), PENALTY ODU holding (WEAVER, Isaac) 10 yards to the ODU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 20
OWN 11
-2
31.8%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 22
OWN 9
+2
31.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+16
30.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 16 yds to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:2232% → 50%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
31.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
32.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
33.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-5
33.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 41 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (Melvin Vaughn) to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+8
32.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 8 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+9
32.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 9 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
34.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Kevin Todd for 12 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
33.9%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
33.9%
Steven Williams run for 6 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+14
49.7%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
42.6%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 17 Quinton Baker fumbled, forced by Oshane Ximines, recovered by ODU Pat ToalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2651% → 52%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
51.4%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 14
OPP 21
0
50.3%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
47.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+38
52.2%
Nick Rice 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
48.9%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 17 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
46.8%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 6 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
46.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-5
47.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Matt Nord) to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-7
47.8%
Mike White sacked by Oshane Ximines and Pat Toal for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 49 Mike White fumbled, recovered by WKent Miles Pate , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 16
OWN 49
+45
52.4%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) to the ODU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 4:5653% → 77%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
53.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+13
52.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 13 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
54.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+16
53.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Kevin Todd for 16 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
56.3%
Steven Williams run for 6 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
57.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
56.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 6 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
58.4%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 11
50
+4
56.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+46
76.9%
Ray Lawry run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0027% → 23%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
72.6%
Mike White sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 20
OWN 31
0
75.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 20
OWN 31
0
76.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 20
OWN 31
+6
76.9%
Jake Collins punt for 48 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 6 yds to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:4678% → 78%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
77.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
79.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 38 Jeremy Cox fumbled, forced by Nicholas Coffey, recovered by ODU Justin Cooper for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
80.5%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
79.2%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+1
78.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
77.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:5722% → 48%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
78.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
76.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
77.1%
Mike White run for 1 yd to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
77.1%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 4 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
50
+5
76.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
75.5%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+15
74.9%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 15 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
73.4%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
73.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+10
75.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Denzel Williams) to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
73.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
52.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
66.5%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Drell Greene return for 13 yds to the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:0545% → 80%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
55.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
52.6%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
53.3%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
20.1%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23FUMBLE
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:0634% → 30%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
34.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 11 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
35.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
35.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
34.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Gemonta Jackson for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+11
35.2%
Steven Williams run for 11 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
40.5%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
40.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
42.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
42.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 6 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+3
40.1%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
30.1%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 26 Ray Lawry fumbled, recovered by WKent Daeshawn BertramSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3386% → 93%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
14.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
14.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-5
9.4%
Mike White run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+18
7.1%
Jake Collins punt for 51 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 18 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
17.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
18.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Kevin ToddSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+13
17.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Gemonta Jackson for 13 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
20.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal formation (-3 Yards) to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 13
OPP 43
0
18.8%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Leverick Johnson return for no gain to the WKent 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:41
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
-33.2
TD · Q4 9:03
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
-20.9
TD · Q3 1:57
Ray Lawry run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
+20.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com