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ODU

Old Dominion 3 at Marshall 35

MRSH
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Kaare Vedvik punt for 52 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 5 yds to the ODU 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+26.2Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:47: Nick Rice 24 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +2.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:49: Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:39: Chase Litton pass incomplete to Hyleck Foster — MRSH win probability +3.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:50: Tyler King run for 30 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:16: Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 46 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:24MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20ODU 4th & 11 at MRSH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:47ODU 4th & 7 at MRSH 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:41MRSH 4th & 9 at ODU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:41ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:29ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:50ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 29, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:21MRSH 4th & 4 at ODU 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:36ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:14MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 46, up 11
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:50ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:09ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:49MRSH 4th & 4 at ODU 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:49ODU 4th & 12 at MRSH 36, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 0:49MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:50MRSH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:16MRSH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:49MRSH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1INT
16 plays · 55 yds · 2:5219% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
81.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
81.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
81.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
81.4%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
81.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
81.4%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
81.4%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-5
80.7%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 20
OPP 48
+15
80.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Malik Gant) to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
80.4%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
80.4%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
80.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+10
80.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 10 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.4%
Steven Williams pass intercepted C.J. Reavis return for no gain to the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
80.0%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+3
79.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
79.8%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
79.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 92 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
79.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
79.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 7 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
79.5%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
79.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
79.2%
Ray Lawry run for 13 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
79.1%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
79.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-2
79.2%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
79.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
78.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
78.3%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+10
78.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 10 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
78.5%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
78.5%
Chase Litton run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
78.2%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+5
77.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 52 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 5 yds to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3023% → 23%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
77.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
77.1%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+3
77.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
77.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
77.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
77.6%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
78.1%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-5
77.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
77.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 36 yds, downed at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:2724% → 28%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
75.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+20
75.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 20 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
74.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+17
74.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Kevin Todd for 17 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
74.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+14
74.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 14 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
74.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 12Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
74.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
74.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
71.8%
Nick Rice 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:0673% → 71%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.6%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+25
73.9%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tim Ward) to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
74.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rob Thompson) to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
75.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyler King for 16 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
75.4%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
75.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+1
74.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 1 yd to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 4
OPP 5
-5
73.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
71.4%
Kaare Vedvik 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bunmi RotimiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
69.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+1
70.2%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+52
70.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 52 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:5069% → 80%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
69.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 20 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
71.1%
Keion Davis run for 9 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+23
71.9%
Keion Davis run for 23 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
72.9%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+15
72.9%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, PENALTY ODU offside declined, PENALTY ODU pass interference (ADDISON, B.) 15 yards to the ODU7, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
72.9%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
77.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.7%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
75.9%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
75.9%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-2
76.5%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
75.0%
Chase Litton sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+5
74.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 48 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 5 yds to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
74.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
74.3%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-5
75.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 22Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 14
OWN 22
0
75.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
76.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds, downed at the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:4979% → 86%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
78.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyler KingSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
77.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+24
76.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 24 yds to the MARSHALL 30 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
79.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
79.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+30
86.3%
Tyler King run for 30 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.1%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
85.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 6 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+2
85.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+6
85.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 6 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
86.6%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+16
86.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Obi Obialo for 16 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
87.2%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
87.2%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
86.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Denzel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
85.8%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
85.8%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
86.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+6
86.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
87.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
87.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
87.6%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
86.8%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
87.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 5 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
87.2%
Steven Williams sacked by Frankie Hernandez for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
88.4%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
89.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:0889% → 97%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
88.7%
Tyler King run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-3
88.5%
Tyler King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+17
87.5%
Tyler King run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
90.1%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
90.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Lawrence HolleySimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+46
97.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 46 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Ray Lawry for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Kevin ToddSimilar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.0%
Steven Williams sacked by Omari Cobb for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 18 OLDDOMINION Penalty, intentional grounding (Steven Williams) to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+20
98.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 20 yds to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.5%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
99.5%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-1
99.5%
Tyler King run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+31
99.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 31 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Kevin ToddSimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 12 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
99.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jake Herslow for 15 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.8%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-5
99.8%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 35 Steven Williams fumbled, forced by Channing Hames, recovered by ODU Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-1
99.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jake Herslow for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 12
OPP 36
-2
99.8%
Steven Williams sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 6 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 15 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+7
99.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 7 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:16
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 46 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+7
TD · Q3 9:50
Tyler King run for 30 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q2 0:49
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com