Try the model
FAU

Florida Atlantic 58 at Old Dominion 28

ODU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:23 · Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kamrin Solomon at the FlAtl 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−11.1Pregame prior−10.5Score differential−4.8Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:39: Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +9.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:32: Jason Driskel run for 39 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +8.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:16: Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +9.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:31: Jason Driskel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +10.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:52: Devin Singletary run for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:25FAU 4th & 3 at ODU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:51ODU 4th & 5 at FAU 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 20, up 10
    Close callPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:31ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.6%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:32ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09ODU 4th & 11 at FAU 40, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%
    34% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:08FAU 4th & 17 at FAU 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−2.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:23ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:31ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:40FAU 4th & 1 at ODU 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−2.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:12FAU 4th & 5 at ODU 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:15FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 35, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:50ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:02ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 28, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:20FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 22, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 6:56ODU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:15FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:51FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:39FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:55ODU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:32FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:16ODU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:31FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:52FAU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:35FAU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:18ODU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:07FAU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FG
19 plays · 72 yds · 5:3572% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
28.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
28.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 17 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-4
28.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+11
28.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
28.4%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+13
28.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 13 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
28.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+6
28.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 6 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
28.4%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to SOLOMON, Kamrin, PENALTY ODU offside defense (ROSS, Juwan) 4 yards to the ODU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.4%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the ODU 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Tim WardSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
30.4%
Greg Joseph 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2931% → 34%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.5%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
30.5%
Steven Williams run for 23 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
31.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 24 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
31.3%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
31.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 12 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
31.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to DeAndre Woods for 3 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
31.3%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
33.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 12 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4167% → 69%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
33.3%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
33.1%
Devin Singletary run for 18 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
32.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
32.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+17
32.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 17 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
32.1%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to SOLOMON, Kamrin, PENALTY ODU pass interference (BRICKHOUSE, J.) 15 yards to the ODU11, 1ST DOWN FAU(1), NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
30.9%
Jason Driskel run for 11 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
31.7%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to HAYES, Eri'Reon, PENALTY FAU(1) pass interference (HAFIZ, Quran) 15 yards to the ODU43, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
32.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+31
31.9%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Jalen Young return for 31 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:0068% → 72%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
31.6%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+27
31.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 27 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
31.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Raine for 1 yd to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
28.2%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
28.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 23 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
29.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
29.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
29.4%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
28.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Willie Wright at the FlAtl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
28.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+2
28.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
29.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Sean CarterSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 4
OWN 20
+17
29.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 54 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 17 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:4029% → 29%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
28.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
28.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+16
28.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 16 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
29.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
29.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+14
29.1%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Chris Tooley return for 14 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:1271% → 82%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
28.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
28.9%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+14
28.9%
Devin Singletary run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
28.0%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
27.9%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+17
28.2%
Devin Singletary run for 17 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
27.8%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+7
27.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+6
28.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
27.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
27.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 13 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4421% → 28%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.2%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
21.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
20.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 10 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
21.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
21.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
22.2%
Steven Williams run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
22.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
22.3%
Steven Williams pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
22.5%
Josh Marriner run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
22.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+29
22.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 29 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
28.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:1874% → 85%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
25.7%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 11
OWN 26
-4
26.3%
Jason Driskel sacked by N/A for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 21 Jason Driskel fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+37
27.0%
Devin Singletary run for 37 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
24.5%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-1
24.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+39
15.5%
Jason Driskel run for 39 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Eri'Reon HayesSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
18.4%
Steven Williams sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
18.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
18.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds , Willie Wright returns for no gain to the FlAtl 39 Willie Wright fumbled, recovered by ODUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5319% → 24%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
19.4%
Gemonta Jackson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-5
19.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+4
18.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 9
OPP 38
-2
19.0%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 11
OPP 40
-4
24.1%
Steven Williams sacked by N/A for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
12.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
12.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Raine for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+20
13.0%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Rob Thompson return for 20 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
50
0
24.4%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
50
+5
24.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:4417% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
17.4%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to VAUGHN, Melvin, PENALTY FAU(1) pass interference (LEWIS, Shelton) 15 yards to the ODU45, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
18.3%
Steven Williams run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
18.2%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to HARPER, Isaiah, PENALTY FAU(1) holding (MILLER, Herb) 10 yards to the FAU(1)42, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
18.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
18.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+15
18.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
27.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
23.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 17
OWN 41
0
24.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 17
OWN 41
0
24.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
25.5%
Ryan Rickel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
23.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
23.6%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Rashad SmithSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+2
22.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
22.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kamrin Solomon at the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:2977% → 88%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
23.0%
Devin Singletary run for 17 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
22.9%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
22.9%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+11
23.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 11 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
22.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 17 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
22.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
22.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
11.8%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
13.9%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
13.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
13.5%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to DeAndre WoodsSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
13.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kamrin Solomon at the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:4888% → 97%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
11.6%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+16
11.3%
Devin Singletary run for 16 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
11.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
11.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
11.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
12.4%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
11.1%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
11.4%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
3.3%
Devin Singletary run for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
4.5%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Ocie Rose return for 12 yds to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
3.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 14 yds to the ODU 28 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 6
OPP 38
0
3.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
3.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+1
3.1%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-1
3.4%
Jason Driskel sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.7%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+28
3.7%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Shelton Lewis return for 28 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:0498% → 100%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
2.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
2.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
2.3%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
2.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
2.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
2.3%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to FRANKLIN, John, PENALTY ODU offside defense (WARD, Tim) 5 yards to the ODU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+35
0.5%
Jason Driskel run for 35 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
2.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
2.0%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
2.0%
Marcus Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+3
2.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
2.0%
Ryan Rickel punt for 53 yds, downed at the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
2.0%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
2.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+19
2.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 19 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
2.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Gemonta Jackson, broken up by Ernest BagnerSimilar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
2.0%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
2.2%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Rashad SmithSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
2.1%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:3399% → 100%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
1.1%
Gerald Hearns run for 18 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
1.1%
Gerald Hearns run for 9 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
John Franklin III run for 11 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.2%
Brandon Sinclair run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Brandon Sinclair run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 68 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
0.3%
Tyrek Tisdale run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.2%
Tyrek Tisdale run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
0.2%
Gerald Hearns run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+4
0.2%
Tyrek Tisdale run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+10
0.1%
Ryan Rickel punt for 45 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 10 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 32END OF GAME
9 plays · 55 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
0.1%
Steven Williams run for 4 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+16
0.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the OLDDOMNION 37 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.1%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+23
0.1%
Steven Williams pass complete to Noah Ellison for 23 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
0.1%
Steven Williams run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Gemonta JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:31
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q2 10:39
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q3 13:16
Steven Williams pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com