Try the model
GAST

Georgia State 28 at Charlotte 0

CLT
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:32 · Jeff Hollingsworth punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense−5.4Score differential−2.1Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Pregame prior+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:29: Glenn Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +6.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:44: Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 32 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +11.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:08: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 4 — GAST win probability +4.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. MISSED FG · Q3 5:25: Nigel Macauley 45 yd FG MISSED — GAST win probability +7.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:10: Shamarious Gilmore 0 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Wright Kick) — GAST win probability +8.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 11GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44GAST 4th & 9 at CLT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:44CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:07GAST 4th & 7 at CLT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:15CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:29CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:22GAST 4th & 5 at CLT 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:56CLT 4th & 7 at GAST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:22GAST 4th & 3 at CLT 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:49CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:32GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:15CLT 4th & 12 at GAST 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00GAST 4th & 4 at CLT 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:35CLT 4th & 2 at GAST 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−0.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−7.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:25CLT 4th & 27 at GAST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:10CLT 4th & 7 at midfield, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:32GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:24CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 12:29GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:44GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:10GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:22GAST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
51.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
51.3%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+2
51.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+13
51.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 57 yds , Taz Bateman returns for 13 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:5649% → 48%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
51.5%
Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
51.5%
Taz Bateman run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+8
51.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 8 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
51.4%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
51.4%
Glenn Smith run for 8 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
51.4%
Conner Manning run for 2 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
51.4%
Demarcus Kirk run for 5 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
51.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
51.3%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
51.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
51.4%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+51
51.9%
Brandon Wright 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
52.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 5 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
52.6%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
52.4%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
52.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
52.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Devin Gentry for 8 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
51.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
52.2%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
52.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
52.2%
Glenn Smith run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
51.8%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
51.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
50
+3
51.3%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
51.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
51.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
52.2%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 40 yds, downed at the Charl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
52.7%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
52.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+3
52.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 7
OWN 10
+5
51.8%
HART, Arthur punt 30 yards to the CHA40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY GSU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the CHA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
51.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:2048% → 56%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
52.0%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
51.7%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+13
51.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 13 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
50.9%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+6
50.9%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+8
51.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 8 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
50.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+13
50.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 13 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
50.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 8 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
44.0%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
46.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 7 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-1
47.1%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+2
45.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 2 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
45.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
50
+5
43.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
43.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Tamir Jones, broken up by Ed RolleSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
44.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
44.9%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+31
45.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 31 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
47.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-2
48.1%
Chris Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
47.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Chandon SullivanSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
45.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0055% → 56%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
44.7%
Penny Hart run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
44.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 12 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
43.0%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
43.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 5 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
43.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
44.0%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 37 yds, downed at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
42.9%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
43.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Jerome SmithSimilar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+2
42.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
41.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 22 , Penny Hart returns for no gain to the GeoSt 22 Penny Hart fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
42.0%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
42.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Devin Gentry, broken up by Karrington KingSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+2
43.0%
Conner Manning run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
43.5%
Jeff Hollingsworth punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0345% → 42%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
45.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 13 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
46.4%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
44.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
43.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
41.6%
Nigel Macauley 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:3161% → 74%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
39.4%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+20
41.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 20 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
37.7%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
37.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 6 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
37.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 6 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
26.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 32 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15INT
6 plays · 63 yds · 0:2829% → 31%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
29.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+52
28.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 52 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
31.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Bryan Williams return for 6 yds to the GeoSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
26.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
27.5%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+23
27.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 23 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
26.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 4 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
25.9%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
26.2%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
27.4%
Brandon Wright punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18MISSED FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 7:1026% → 20%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
26.2%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
26.5%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
26.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
28.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+23
27.9%
Benny LeMay run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
29.1%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
28.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 10 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
29.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Montgomery for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-4
29.4%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 16 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Workpeh Kofa) to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+11
29.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 11 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-1
28.7%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+6
28.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
29.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (R.J. Tyler) to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-8
29.1%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Michael Shaw for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
0
28.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q3 12:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
-4
27.5%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Julien Laurent for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 27
+45
20.3%
Nigel Macauley 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD
14 plays · 0 yds · 6:1583% → 96%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
17.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 7 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
17.1%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
16.4%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+18
16.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 18 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
16.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
15.4%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+6
15.6%
Conner Manning run for 6 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
15.4%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
15.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 6 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+10
15.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Tamir Jones for 10 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
15.4%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-2
15.4%
Conner Manning run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+5
12.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 5 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 8
0
3.8%
Shamarious Gilmore 0 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20INT
22 plays · 18 yds · 7:254% → 2%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
4.1%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
4.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
4.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
4.4%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
50
0
4.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 7
50
0
4.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 7
50
+9
4.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 9 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
4.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
4.5%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+7
4.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 7 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
4.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
4.8%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
4.9%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
5.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Uriah LeMay) to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
4.8%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 15
OPP 24
-10
4.6%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for no gain to the GSU24, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CHA holding (GERMAN, Eugene) 10 yards to the GSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 25
OPP 34
-1
4.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 26
OPP 35
-10
4.4%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for 15 yards to the GSU20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CHA holding (BROWN, Chris) 10 yards to the GSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 36
OPP 45
0
4.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 36
OPP 45
0
1.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted, touchback. Bryan Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
1.0%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
1.0%
Glenn Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
1.0%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-2
1.0%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+6
0.7%
Glenn Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
0.6%
Jeff Hollingsworth punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+3
0.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+7
0.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+6
0.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 6 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-8
0.9%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.4%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+15
0.4%
Glenn Smith run for 15 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.4%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
0.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:44
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 32 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q4 14:10
Shamarious Gilmore 0 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Wright Kick)
-8.3
MISSED FG · Q3 5:25
Nigel Macauley 45 yd FG MISSED
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com