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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Massachusetts 7

MASS
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:41 · Cycoby Burch run for 23 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:00: Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +6.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:26: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 60 yds for a TD, (Michael Schreiner KICK) — MASS win probability +15.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:04: Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 07:04 — ODU win probability +8.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:59: Jordan Hoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +13.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:33: Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 03:33 — ODU win probability +8.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 11ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:32ODU 4th & 5 at MASS 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40ODU 4th & 4 at MASS 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.5%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25MASS 4th & 11 at ODU 31, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:05ODU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:49MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:01ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:05MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:26ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:51MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:19ODU 4th & 6 at MASS 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:17MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:01ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−4.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:20MASS 4th & 7 at ODU 38, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−1.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at MASS 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    56.5%−5.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−20.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:12MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−3.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:59MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.7%−1.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:33MASS 4th & 14 at ODU 44, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    9.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:52ODU 4th & 8 at MASS 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:00ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:26MASS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:59ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:2855% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
44.9%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Da'Sean Downey and Ali Ali-Musa for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
44.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
44.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
44.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 20 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
44.9%
Blake LaRussa run for 5 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+21
44.9%
Blake LaRussa run for 21 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
44.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
44.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 4 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
44.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
45.5%
Nick Rice 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
45.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
45.9%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-5
45.6%
Andrew Ford sacked by Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 16
OWN 34
+9
45.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 9 yds to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
45.7%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+22
45.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 22 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
45.3%
Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
50
+12
45.2%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
45.2%
Brandon Simmons run for 6 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
45.2%
Blake LaRussa run for no gain to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 4
OPP 32
0
45.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
46.0%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+8
45.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 8 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+8
46.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 8 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
46.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
47.1%
Marquis Young run for 13 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
47.5%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-5
47.5%
Andrew Ford sacked by Pat Toal for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
46.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 11
OPP 31
0
45.7%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4954% → 54%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
45.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
45.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+2
45.8%
Jordan Hoy run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
46.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
46.3%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
46.4%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
45.9%
Andrew Ford run for 2 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
46.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 9 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
47.5%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
46.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Pat Toal and Miles Fox for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+5
46.2%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
46.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
45.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
45.8%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
46.1%
Jordan Hoy run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+16
46.6%
Jordan Hoy run for 16 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
44.7%
Jordan Hoy run for 1 yd to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
44.7%
Brandon Simmons run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 6
50
0
44.7%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 6
50
0
46.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
46.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jacoby Herring for 9 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
46.1%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
46.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Oshane XiminesSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
46.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-10
45.5%
FORD, Andrew rush for 16 yards to the UMASS48, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UMASS holding (THOMAS-ISHMAN SR., R) 10 yards to the UMASS22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 20
OWN 22
+3
45.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds, downed at the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
44.6%
Brandon Simmons run for 1 yd to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
44.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
45.7%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 28
-2
46.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
45.8%
Andy Isabella run for 14 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
47.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 6 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
48.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
47.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
46.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 3:0255% → 70%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
44.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Marques Little for 9 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+19
44.0%
Gemonta Jackson run for 19 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
43.0%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Gemonta Jackson for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
42.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for 1 yd to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+14
43.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 14 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
42.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+26
37.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 26 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
37.7%
Gemonta Jackson run for 2 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.6%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:0031% → 32%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.4%
FORD, Andrew pass incomplete to ISABELLA, Andy (Rob Thompson), PENALTY ODU pass interference (Rob Thompson) 15 yards to the UMASS40, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
32.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 2 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
32.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jacoby HerringSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+13
31.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 13 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
33.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
33.6%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jordan Young for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 15
50
+28
29.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Nick Orekoya for 28 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
32.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ray Thomas-Ishman Sr.) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3432% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
32.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 11 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
47.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 60 yds for a TD, (Michael Schreiner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
43.3%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
43.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
44.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 14:26
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
46.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 46 yds, downed at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
45.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
45.2%
Andrew Ford sacked by Daniel Appouh for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 28 Andrew Ford fumbled, recovered by UMass Jack Driscoll , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
43.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+18
42.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 60 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 18 yds to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
43.1%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+22
43.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Tyris Lebeau) to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
40.9%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+4
42.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
43.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 37 yds, downed at the UMass 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
43.8%
Bilal Ally run for 13 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
41.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 31Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+3
44.0%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+6
42.6%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
44.4%
Andrew Ford sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
41.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
42.4%
Gemonta Jackson run for no gain to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-5
43.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 15
OWN 26
0
44.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 15
OWN 26
0
45.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
45.8%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+8
44.4%
Ross Comis run for 8 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+17
46.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 17 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
49.2%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
49.0%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
48.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Rob ThompsonSimilar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
45.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 93 yds · 4:5258% → 61%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
42.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 12
OWN 3
0
42.0%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+8
42.4%
Jordan Hoy run for 8 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+4
43.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
41.6%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
42.0%
Jordan Hoy run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+17
43.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 17 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
40.4%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 25 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
37.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 10 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
36.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
36.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
37.0%
Jordan Hoy run for 4 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
35.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 14 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
35.3%
Gemonta Jackson run for 3 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.3%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the UMass 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.0%
Gemonta Jackson run for no gain to the UMass 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
39.3%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
40.9%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
40.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
38.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Marvin BranchSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+17
37.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 17 yds to the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:1968% → 90%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
32.5%
Jordan Hoy run for 1 yd to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
32.6%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Gemonta Jackson for 5 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+7
33.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
32.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+2
32.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
33.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
32.0%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
32.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UMass 7Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
10.5%
Jordan Hoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 16 yds · 3:2613% → 7%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
13.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 2 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
13.1%
Andrew Ford run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
13.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 5 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+5
13.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.7%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
14.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 8 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
15.7%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
15.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie BrittSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
15.3%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-6
15.1%
Andrew Ford sacked by Bunmi Rotimi and Miles Fox for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 14
OPP 44
-8
6.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Miles Fox for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:3393% → 96%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
7.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+3
7.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 12
50
+2
6.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+2
6.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
4.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, downed at the UMass 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 60 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
3.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+5
3.1%
Andrew Ford run for 5 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
3.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+11
3.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 11 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
3.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Cycoby Burch for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
3.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+23
3.6%
Cycoby Burch run for 23 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:26
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 60 yds for a TD, (Michael Schreiner KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q4 6:59
Jordan Hoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-13.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:04
Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 07:04
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com