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CLEM

Clemson 38 at NC State 31

NCSU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:55 · A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior−7.9Home team on offense+4.6Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:31: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +19.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: Tavien Feaster run for 89 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +20.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:23: Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 15 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +23.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 6:31: Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK) — CLEM win probability +13.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:51: Kyle Bambard 22 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +13.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 11:09CLEM 4th & 9 at NCSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:59NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45NCSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.6%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:15CLEM 4th & 5 at NCSU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−6.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:42NCSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:02NCSU 4th & 14 at NCSU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−2.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:36CLEM 4th & 1 at NCSU 46, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−4.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:01NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−2.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:17CLEM 4th & 4 at NCSU 43, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−2.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:55NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:05NCSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:12CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 30, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.0 ptsPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−7.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:16CLEM 4th & 5 at NCSU 22, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    67.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−15.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:51NCSU 4th & 4 at CLEM 4, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−4.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:24CLEM 4th & 4 at NCSU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:00NCSU 4th & 2 at NCSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00NCSU 4th & 15 at CLEM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−4.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:09NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:25NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:04CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:29NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:31CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:23NCSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:31CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3570% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
29.9%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted Tim Kidd-Glass return for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:0730% → 31%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
30.0%
Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+1
30.3%
Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+40
31.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 40 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3569% → 67%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
31.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+18
31.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 18 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
31.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+5
32.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-5
32.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
32.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
32.6%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Gavin Locklear at the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1033% → 32%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
32.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 1 yd to the NCSt 16Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+6
33.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 6 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-2
33.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Ryan Finley for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+77
31.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 57 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 77 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:3432% → 41%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
32.4%
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+16
32.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 16 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
33.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 8 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-1
34.0%
Ryan Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
34.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
34.1%
Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
35.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 6 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+15
35.6%
Jaylen Samuels run for 15 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
35.9%
Jaylen Samuels run for 7 yds to the Clem 8Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
36.1%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
36.0%
Finley, Ryan pass incomplete to Cook, Cole, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Smith, Chad) 4 yards to the CLEMSON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.5%
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the Clem 1Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.0%
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:1061% → 66%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
39.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
39.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+10
40.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 10 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
39.3%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
39.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+7
40.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 7 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
40.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
39.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
40.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+15
40.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 15 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
39.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+15
39.5%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to McCloud, Ray-Ray, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Stevens, Mike) 15 yards to the NCSTATE10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
33.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3537% → 49%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
38.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
38.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 6 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
39.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
39.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 21 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
40.6%
Ryan Finley run for 12 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
41.1%
Jaylen Samuels run for 10 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
42.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
42.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
49.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 7 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:1453% → 55%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
47.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
46.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
48.2%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
48.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to T.J. Chase for 6 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
48.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Travis Etienne for 10 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
47.9%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Cain, Deon, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Stevens, Mike) 15 yards to the NCSTATE33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
47.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
47.1%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+14
48.6%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Cain, Deon, PENALTY NCSTATE roughing passer (Chubb, Bradley) 14 yards to the NCSTATE14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
47.6%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the NCSt 9Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
47.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
49.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
45.4%
Alex Spence 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:1847% → 49%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
46.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
47.1%
Nyheim Hines run for 7 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
47.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 24 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
50.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 13 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
51.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
51.8%
Ryan Finley run for 15 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
52.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
52.2%
Jaylen Samuels run for no gain to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
51.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
49.3%
Carson Wise 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10DOWNS
17 plays · 58 yds · 1:4251% → 51%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
49.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 11 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
49.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
47.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 7 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
48.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
47.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 7 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+10
46.6%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (10 Yards) to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
46.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
47.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+9
48.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 9 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
47.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+39
49.2%
Alex Spence 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:5849% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
51.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
51.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
51.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
48.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
48.1%
A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:2650% → 48%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
49.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
50.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+29
51.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 29 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
47.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 7 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-2
46.4%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 5
50
+4
49.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
51.7%
Kelly Bryant punt for 45 yds, downed at the NCSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3555% → 54%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
55.2%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 3Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
55.5%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
54.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+11
54.1%
A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 11 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4450% → 47%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
50.5%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
50.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
51.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
53.1%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Gavin Locklear at the NCSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1657% → 55%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
57.2%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
57.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
55.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
55.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:2449% → 68%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
51.2%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
51.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+8
52.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 8 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
51.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+12
50.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 12 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
50.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
50.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-14
50.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyrone Crowder) to the NCSt 21Similar
Q3 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
+9
51.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
31.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:1339% → 42%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
38.8%
Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-1
38.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+23
37.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 23 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
42.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
40.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Gavin Locklear for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 2
50
+1
43.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
41.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
1 play · 89 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+89
20.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 89 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3720% → 47%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
20.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+22
24.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 32 yds to the NCSTATE 30 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
22.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 9 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+13
23.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 13 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
23.5%
Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
46.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 15 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1165% → 66%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
35.0%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
33.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
33.9%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
33.9%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gavin Locklear at the NCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21INT
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:3837% → 37%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-9
37.0%
Ryan Finley sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 19Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 19
OWN 19
0
36.5%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted Ryan Carter return for no gain to the NCSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5374% → 90%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
26.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
25.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
27.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+16
30.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds to the NCSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
25.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the NCSt 5Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
24.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the NCSt 1Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23FG
15 plays · 81 yds · 4:4011% → 22%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
11.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the NCSt 16Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+12
10.9%
Ryan Finley run for 12 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
11.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+22
10.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
50
0
12.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
50
+11
12.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 11 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
12.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 11 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
15.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+11
14.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
13.0%
Ryan Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 10Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
10.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
8.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 6 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
22.2%
Kyle Bambard 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:2692% → 95%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
8.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 7 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
4.8%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-1
4.4%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
5.5%
Will Spiers punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25INT
13 plays · 47 yds · 1:2011% → 9%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
10.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
10.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 8 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
9.9%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+5
8.9%
Ryan Finley run for 5 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
9.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
50
+22
10.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 22 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
16.2%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
13.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
11.2%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 10
OPP 28
-5
10.2%
NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+55
8.9%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted K'Von Wallace return for 55 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:23
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 15 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)
+23.2
TD · Q3 0:00
Tavien Feaster run for 89 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)
-20.6
TD · Q3 3:31
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Spence KICK)
-19.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com