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SYR

Syracuse 25 at NC State 33

NCSU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+8.3NCSU 96.3%Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd for a TD,(Carson Wise KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 33 · Q4 9:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:52 · Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Pregame prior+6.0Home team on offense+26.0Score differential+11.6Garbage-time factor+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:12: Eric Dungey run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +5.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 60%).
  2. TD · Q2 9:50: Reggie Gallaspy II run for 10 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise PAT MISSED) — NCSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:21: Jaylen Samuels run for 16 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK) — NCSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:52: Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK) — NCSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:39: Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 10 yds for a TD, (E. Dungey Run For Two-point Conversion) — SYR win probability +6.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00NCSU 4th & 1 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01NCSU 4th & 5 at SYR 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:44NCSU 4th & 15 at SYR 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:29SYR 4th & 9 at NCSU 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 8 at NCSU 33, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:44SYR 4th & 1 at NCSU 17, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:24SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 47, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56SYR 4th & 2 at NCSU 43, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−2.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:54NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 10, down 12
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:57NCSU 4th & 7 at midfield, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:34SYR 4th & 19 at NCSU 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−4.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:28NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 35, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 26 at SYR 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−3.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:47SYR 4th & 4 at NCSU 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:47SYR 4th & 10 at NCSU 15, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−2.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:57NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 17, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:53NCSU 4th & 1 at SYR 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:25NCSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:12SYR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:50NCSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:21NCSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:00SYR Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:52NCSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:39SYR Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 6:5983% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 10 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
82.7%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
-3
82.7%
Nyheim Hines run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 41 Nyheim Hines fumbled,Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+10
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+7
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
82.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+7
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 7 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+9
82.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for 9 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
82.7%
Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+10
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 10 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
82.7%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-1
82.7%
Nyheim Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+4
82.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
81.4%
Carson Wise 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
81.3%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Johnathan Alston return for no gain to the NCSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:4781% → 81%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
81.4%
Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+16
81.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 16 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
81.5%
Nyheim Hines run for 11 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
81.6%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
81.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 24
-5
81.4%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 13
OPP 29
-2
81.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+48
81.4%
Carson Wise 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 3:1519% → 19%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
81.5%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+22
81.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 22 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
81.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 8 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
80.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
80.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+11
80.7%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
80.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-2
80.8%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 30Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
80.6%
Cole Murphy 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:0481% → 86%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
81.3%
Dakwa Nichols run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46 Dakwa Nichols fumbled, forced by Parris Bennett, for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Parris Bennett) to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
81.9%
Jaylen Samuels run for 22 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.1%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
82.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jonathan Thomas) to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
82.1%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
86.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 20 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1316% → 22%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.5%
Chris Elmore run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+37
84.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 37 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
83.6%
Eric Dungey sacked by Justin Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+6
84.3%
Chris Elmore run for 6 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
84.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+9
84.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
83.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+4
83.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+10
83.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
78.0%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2281% → 87%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.0%
Nyheim Hines run for 17 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
81.8%
Nyheim Hines run for 5 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
81.9%
Nyheim Hines run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+39
81.5%
Nyheim Hines run for 39 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 10 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
84.5%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+47
84.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 47 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
83.2%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
83.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Shawn BooneSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
83.9%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
84.0%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the NCSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 5:2686% → 93%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
86.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the NCSt 18Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+12
86.0%
Ryan Finley run for 12 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
86.0%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
86.1%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+10
85.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive holding (D.M. Butler) to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
86.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
86.6%
Gavin Locklear pass complete to Ryan Finley for 20 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
86.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
86.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for 10 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
86.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+16
93.0%
Jaylen Samuels run for 16 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:5210% → 9%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
90.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+16
90.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 16 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
89.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 20
OWN 43
-9
90.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 29
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 29
OWN 34
+13
90.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
90.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 1:0693% → 95%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
92.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 9 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
92.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
93.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
94.9%
Nyheim Hines run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
50
0
95.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels, broken up by D.M. ButlerSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
50
+30
94.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 30 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
94.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 6 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+31
95.1%
Carson Wise 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
90.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (Eric Dungey) to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
90.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Airius MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:569% → 15%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
91.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+18
90.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 18 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
90.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 13
OWN 46
0
91.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+11
91.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+38
90.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 38 yds to the NCSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.9%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
87.9%
Nyheim Hines run for 4 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
87.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 8 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
87.8%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
87.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
87.1%
A.J. Cole III punt for 65 yds, downed at the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
87.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+6
87.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 4
OWN 10
0
87.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
87.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nyheim Hines at the NCSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
89.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-2
89.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 7
50
0
88.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Christopher FredrickSimilar
Q3 8:57
4TH & 7
50
0
88.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 4:5812% → 14%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
88.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 9 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+3
87.6%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
88.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Ravian Pierce) to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+6
88.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-4
88.3%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+17
88.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 17 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
87.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-5
86.7%
Nykeim Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+32
87.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 32 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
85.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 8 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+10
85.5%
NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Bradley Chubb) to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
85.5%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd to the NCSt 10Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
85.5%
Chris Elmore run for 2 yds to the NCSt 8Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-6
86.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal formation (-6 Yards) to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+9
87.1%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 4
OPP 5
-15
87.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (Airon Servais) to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+38
86.3%
Sterling Hofrichter 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
86.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 2 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
86.5%
Nyheim Hines run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
86.1%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Christopher FredrickSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 4
OWN 35
-2
85.3%
A.J. Cole III punt for 53 yds , Sean Riley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:5614% → 13%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-15
85.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.7%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
84.5%
Chris Elmore run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
84.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 11 yards to the Syrac 25 SYRACUSE Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 21
OWN 25
0
86.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 21
OWN 25
0
86.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 21
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 25
-5
87.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Shyheim Cullen) to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 26
OWN 20
0
87.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nyheim Hines at the NCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:0287% → 96%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 1 yd to the NCSt 36Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
86.8%
Nyheim Hines run for 13 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
87.8%
Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
50
0
87.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Nyheim HinesSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
50
+10
86.7%
Ryan Finley run for 10 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
87.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 10 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
88.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
88.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive offside (McKinley Williams) to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+4
88.1%
Jaylen Samuels run for 4 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
88.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 19 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
94.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 12 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
94.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-5
94.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Airon Servais) to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
94.5%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+5
94.6%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive offside (Dakwa Nichols) to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
94.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Kentavius StreetSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+22
94.8%
Eric Dungey run for 22 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to D.M. ButlerSimilar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
94.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael SYRACUSE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 10
OPP 15
0
94.7%
D.M. Butler pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:3296% → 97%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
96.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-9
96.2%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Terronne Prescod) to the NCSt 8Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 17
OWN 8
+4
96.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+5
97.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 5 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+34
97.1%
A.J. Cole III punt for 50 yds , Sean Riley returns for 34 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:034% → 10%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
96.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+10
96.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
96.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 5 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
96.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean Riley, broken up by Shawn BooneSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
90.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 10 yds for a TD, (E. Dungey Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 18 yds · 1:4695% → 96%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.4%
Nyheim Hines run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
95.4%
Ryan Finley run for 9 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
95.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for no gain to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
95.8%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.5%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
96.8%
Jaylen Samuels run for 9 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 12
OPP 27
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 13
OPP 28
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:52
Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)
+8.3
TD · Q2 2:21
Jaylen Samuels run for 16 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q4 4:39
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 10 yds for a TD, (E. Dungey Run For Two-point Conversion)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com