Try the model
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Lane Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:58 · Bailey Cate punt for 48 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+21.0Home team on offense+31.7Score differential+27.2Blowout margin+14.1Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:33: OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (A.J. Davison) to the ODU 9 — ODU win probability +1.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:07: Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 17 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:40: Steven Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:48: Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 43 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:06: Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 14:27ODU 4th & 1 at VT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:30VT 4th & 10 at ODU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:35ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:29VT 4th & 12 at ODU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:45ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:53VT 4th & 5 at VT 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:31ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:19VT 4th & 11 at VT 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:35ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:56ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:53ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:00ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:08VT 4th & 3 at ODU 42, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:58ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 15, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:31ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:04VT 4th & 1 at VT 49, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:45ODU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 6:07VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:40VT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:48VT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:06VT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:31VT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:334% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.0%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 17 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
95.9%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+9
95.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 9 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 14:27
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
95.9%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:4396% → 95%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
50
+3
95.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 3 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete, broken up by Oshane XiminesSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+17
95.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 17 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
95.6%
Travon McMillian run for 10 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
95.6%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
95.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
95.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 10Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.0%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
94.9%
Joey Slye 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:555% → 5%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.9%
Steven Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
94.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
94.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+2
94.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+16
94.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 16 yds to the ODU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:2995% → 94%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
94.7%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
94.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+29
94.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 29 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
94.7%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-2
94.7%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
94.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
94.1%
Joey Slye 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:396% → 6%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Isaac Weaver) to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
94.2%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 12 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
94.1%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 13 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
94.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
93.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
93.6%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
93.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4494% → 93%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
93.6%
Travon McMillian run for 12 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
93.6%
Josh Jackson run for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
93.6%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
93.6%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.0%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
93.0%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:067% → 8%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.8%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Brandon Simmons for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.4%
Brandon Simmons run for 2 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
92.5%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
92.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
92.3%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
91.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
91.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-3
91.7%
Josh Jackson sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
91.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:219% → 9%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
91.3%
Brandon Simmons run for 8 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
91.0%
Brandon Simmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
90.5%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah Harper, broken up by Andrew MotuapuakaSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
90.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10INT
5 plays · 57 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.1%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+23
91.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 23 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
91.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 17 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
92.0%
Sean Savoy run for 11 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
92.0%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Sean Carter return for no gain to the ODU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
90.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (A.J. Davison) to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
90.7%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+5
90.8%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
90.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass intercepted Divine Deablo return for no gain to the ODU 14 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:3691% → 94%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
91.3%
Steven Peoples run for 9 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+15
91.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam Phillips, clock 06:14, PENALTY ODU pass interference (Rob Thompson) 15 yards to the ODU17, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
93.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 17 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:077% → 7%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
93.1%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+15
93.3%
Steven Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
92.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson, broken up by Houshun GainesSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+3
93.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 3 yds to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 3:0493% → 97%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
92.7%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
92.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Rob ThompsonSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
93.0%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+23
92.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 23 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
93.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 19 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
93.6%
Steven Peoples run for 12 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
93.7%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
93.6%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+5
92.8%
Josh Jackson run for 5 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0695% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
95.4%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+26
95.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 26 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
98.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 43 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:453% → 2%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 30 yds, downed at the VTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:3698% → 100%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
98.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 13 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 11 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.2%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
98.2%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+10
98.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 10 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chris Cunningham, broken up by Jamez BrickhouseSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
98.3%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+11
98.3%
Josh Jackson run for 11 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.3%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.3%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 35 Jeremy Cox fumbled, forced by Reggie Floyd, recovered by ODU Jeremy Cox for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.7%
Steven Williams Jr. sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Steven Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 16 yds to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
Steven Peoples run for 12 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.8%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 34 yds, downed at the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.8%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.8%
Brandon Sinclair run for 3 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+4
99.8%
Steven Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 3
OWN 15
+48
99.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 48 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
99.8%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 7 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+24
99.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 24 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
99.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Brandon Simmons run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Brandon Simmons run for 8 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 52 yds, downed at the VTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
99.9%
AJ Bush run for 13 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 8 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (Juwan Ross) to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 6 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-6
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
AJ Bush pass incomplete VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
AJ Bush run for 9 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 31 yds, downed at the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, clock 08:53, PENALTY VT pass interference (Bryce Watts) 15 yards to the ODU35, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass complete to Marques Little for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Steven Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 9
50
0
99.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Bryce WattsSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 9
50
0
99.9%
Steven Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 9
50
0
99.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26END OF GAME
13 plays · 66 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 3 yds to the VTech 11Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+7
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 7 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
AJ Bush run for 4 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for no gain to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+13
99.9%
AJ Bush pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 13 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+16
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 16 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
AJ Bush run for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+21
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 21 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Coleman Fox run for 1 yd to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 12
OPP 25
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:40
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q3 13:48
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 43 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 6:07
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 17 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com